Stratford 19:36 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple Chase

Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple Chase · 3m3f119y

Official Result

Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Glenmalure Flyer (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    3/1J
  2. 13/2
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Glenmalure Flyer silks
Glenmalure Flyer
Age 8 · 12-0
351-13
100
89
96
8
12-0
7/2 18/13 10/3
Glenmalure Flyer arrives here as a dual winner in her last five starts, with a third last time out no great setback in a lively recent spell, and she handles today's going, making her the one to beat off 168 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Winning Paddy silks
Winning Paddy
Age 8 · 11-6
57-154
92
81
89
8
11-6
13/2 7/1 11/2
Winning Paddy showed he knows how to get his head in front with a win three starts back, and at 160 lb he carries a stiff weight burden that may just blunt his finishing effort after 48 days off.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Yes And Yes silks
Yes And Yes
Age 9 · 11-4
7F51-1
90
87
88
9
11-4
9/4 31/19 32/17
Yes And Yes arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip, making him a serious threat, though 92 days off the track is the obvious query on fitness.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Illogical Logic silks
Illogical Logic
Age 8 · 10-9
346P-5
81
77
90
8
10-9
6/1 9/2 11/2
SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Flashy Boy silks
Flashy Boy
Age 9 · 10-2
P1P-45
73
79
85
9
10-2
5/1 6/1 4/1
Pulled up twice in his last five starts makes Flashy Boy hard to fancy, and he ranks last on our figures here; a winner four starts back offers some encouragement, but two non-completions in recent form are a significant concern.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
The Kings Soldier silks
The Kings Soldier
Age 5 · 10-2
4-6335
71
74
87
5
10-2
13/2 11/1 11/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked fifth of six on our figures, The Kings Soldier faces a stiff ask here, though back-to-back thirds two and three starts ago hint at some consistency, and 55 days between runs leaves him fresh if not perhaps race-fit.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Glenmalure Flyer 7/2 open 2.63 7/2 open 2.38 7/2 open 2.50 7/2 open 2.50 7/2 open 2.50 10/3 open 2.75 7/2 Bet365
2 Winning Paddy 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
3 Yes And Yes 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
4 Illogical Logic 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 Paddy Power
5 Flashy Boy 5/1 open 10.00 9/2 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Betfred
6 The Kings Soldier 13/2 open 19.00 6/1 open 19.00 6/1 open 19.00 6/1 open 19.00 6/1 open 19.00 11/2 open 12.00 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Glenmalure Flyer

Speculative

Glenmalure Flyer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Yes And Yes

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Belinda Clarke
✓ Value Signal

Winning Paddy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

13/2 · Alexandra Dunn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Glenmalure Flyer
55.3 7/2
2 3. Yes And Yes
54.2 9/4
3 5. Flashy Boy
53.1 5/1
4 4. Illogical Logic
52.3 6/1
5 6. The Kings Soldier
52.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Flashy Boy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 9 · 11-4
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 9 · 10-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 10-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 11-6
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 10-2
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Flashy Boy
Confidence: Speculative

Flashy Boy (SR:79, 11/2) is the standout play on market intelligence alone — a 32% market move in from 11/2 opening price is a significant steamer in a 6-runner Class 5 field and demands attention. At 10-2, he carries a notable weight advantage over top-weight Glenmalure Flyer (12-0) and second-weight Yes And Yes (11-4), which at 3m3f on Good to Firm ground is a meaningful edge over the full trip. His form shows a win (P1P-45) and while the recent 4-5 finishes are modest, the market confidence suggests connections expect an improved showing, possibly as the course conditions or trip suit today. Trainer Robbie Llewellyn's runners without a headline strike rate are often ignored by punters, making the 32% move all the more significant as it reflects informed money rather than public drift. Each-way alternative: Glenmalure Flyer. Main danger: Glenmalure Flyer — Despite the 21% drift, Glenmalure Flyer holds the highest SR in the field at 89 with the Skelton yard's formidable trainer-jockey combination (21%/27% strike rates) and a drop in class — if he handles the weight, he is the most talented horse in the race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Charlie Price has a 3% strike rate from 29 rides — one of the weakest jockey records in the field, directly undermining the significance of any market move at 10-2.
  • Recent form shows 4th and 5th finishes in his last two runs, and his only win in the sequence (P1P-45) came sandwiched between pulls-up — inconsistency is a major red flag at 3m3f.
  • Yes And Yes (5/2) has a Course W1P1 record at Stratford and is trained by Belinda Clarke who specialises locally — Flashy Boy has no course win recorded, a meaningful disadvantage on a track that rew…
  • The market move of 32% in isolation is undermined by the fact The Kings Soldier also steamed 36% yet is a 12/1 shot — suggesting possible market noise or hedging activity rather than singular informe…
Shortlist Flashy Boy, Glenmalure Flyer, Yes And Yes, Illogical Logic
Each-way: Glenmalure Flyer Danger: Glenmalure Flyer

🗺 The Course Class 5

3m3f119y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade