Newmarket (July) 15:45 RESULTED
Class 3 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August National Stud Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

National Stud Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m4f0y

Official Result

National Stud Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Race To The Stars (IRE) Toby Moore · Charlie Appleby
    15/8F
  2. 13/2
  3. 100/30
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Astro King silks
Astro King
Age 9 · 10-4
90/005
97
72
107
9
10-4
16/1 12/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Astro King nonetheless carries a rating of 107 — top of these on our figures — and a fifth last time out represents his sharpest recent effort; quick enough in ground he has encountered before and fit off a 14-day break, he appeals as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Tycoon silks
Tycoon
Age 4 · 10-1
-53032
94
91
102
4
10-1
6/1 9/2 5/1
Tycoon has been knocking persistently at the door, third two starts back and runner-up last time out 26 days ago, and he has experience of today's distance and going — our rating of 102 marks him as a leading threat here, though remaining winless in recent starts is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Race To The Stars silks
Race To The Stars
Age 4 · 9-10
142-
89
91
95
4
9-10
9/4 9/4 2/1
Runner-up last time out and a winner three starts back, Race To The Stars brings strong recent form to the table, with his trainer firing at 48% in the last fortnight a significant boost — though 266 days off the track is the obvious question mark.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Round The Table silks
Round The Table
Age 3 · 8-13
511
87
97
80
3
8-13
15/8 FCST 32/17
Round The Table has won two of his last three starts, including last time out, and comes here fresh enough on going he has encountered before, but our rating of 80 ranks him last of six in this field and that gulf makes him hard to recommend despite the recent winning profile.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Be Patient silks
Be Patient
Age 3 · 8-12
31-12
86
101
83
3
8-12
3/1 7/2 5/2
Be Patient won back-to-back races before finishing second last time out, and the trainer is firing at 38% recently, but our figures rank him fifth of six and his speed rating gives little encouragement at this level.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
First Officer silks
First Officer
Age 7 · 8-12
3-5224
77
88
89
7
8-12
7/1 6/1 13/2
Consistent place-getter, First Officer has finished second twice in his last five starts and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating of 88 suggesting he's better than his official mark; the risk is he remains yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Astro King 16/1 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
2 Tycoon 6/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 6/1 Bet365
3 Race To The Stars 9/4 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
4 Round The Table 15/8 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 2/1 2/1 Coral
5 Be Patient 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
6 First Officer 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Round The Table

Speculative

Round The Table owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Tom Clover Jack Mitchell
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Be Patient

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Astro King

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Daniel & Claire Kubler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Round The Table
58.1 15/8
2 5. Be Patient
58.0 3/1
3 3. Race To The Stars
56.3 9/4
4 6. First Officer
54.2 7/1
5 2. Tycoon
54.0 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Be Patient
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 8-13
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 8-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-1
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 8-12
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 10-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Be Patient
Confidence: Speculative

Be Patient (SR 101, 11/4) carries the joint-lowest weight at 8-12 and holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field — a meaningful SR edge over Round The Table (SR 97) and Tycoon/Race To The Stars (both SR 91). The market has moved decisively in its favour, shortening 28% since opening, which is a significant steaming signal in a six-runner Class 3 handicap. The form line of 31-12 shows a win last time out (rightmost digit) and consistent competitiveness, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at a solid 16% strike rate. The class rise (↑1) and a mark 7lb higher than at last win are genuine negatives, but the weight advantage over top-weight Astro King (10-4) and the SR superiority over all rivals make this the most compelling multi-signal case in the field. Each-way alternative: Round The Table. Main danger: Round The Table — Round The Table (SR 97, 2/1) carries a featherweight 8-13 as a progressive three-year-old with a form line of 511 — two consecutive wins — and while distance and going are unproven, the light weight and upward trajectory make it the most dangerous rival to Be Patient's claim.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Be Patient has a 32-day gap since last run and the '1' in form is not the most recent outing — the horse finished 2nd last time, not a winner, and is now up 7lb on that effort.
  • Round The Table (SR 97, odds 2/1) is on a 3-race winning streak (Form:511), is fresher at 28 days, and the market has it as clear favourite — a rival in sharper form on a rollicking sequence.
  • Race To The Stars (Charlie Appleby, 31% trainer strike rate) has been off 266 days — if returning fresh and cherry-picked for this spot by Appleby's powerful operation, that represents a serious dark…
  • Be Patient is a 3yo stepping into a mixed-age handicap at Newmarket's July course, carrying a 7lb higher mark than when last winning — a combination of class rise and penalty that historically narrow…
Shortlist Be Patient, Round The Table, Tycoon
Each-way: Round The Table Danger: Round The Table

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m4f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade