Stratford 19:06 RESULTED
Class 3 20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Quinnbet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Quinnbet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m6f125y

Official Result

Quinnbet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dunkerque (DEN) Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish
    11/8F
  2. Second Krak (FR)
    5/2
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dunkerque silks
Dunkerque
Age 6 · 11-10
1-1112
128
131
127
6
11-10
6/5 Evs 11/10
Dunkerque won four of his last five starts, with a runner-up finish last time out the only blemish, and he returns after 31 days in excellent recent nick; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 164 lb is the one query against a confident profile.
AI verdict

SR 131 backed by market confidence at 11/10 — a genuine contender.

2
Samuel Spade silks
Samuel Spade
Age 7 · 11-6
8-4152
124
128
127
7
11-6
2/1 3/2 32/17
Samuel Spade caught the eye with a win three starts back and returns here in solid nick after 36 days off, his experience over today's trip and a rating of 127 marking him as a leading threat; the worry is he was only fifth two starts back.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Krak silks
Krak
Age 6 · 10-12
0P-243
116
116
123
6
10-12
11/4 9/4 2/1
Krak has shaped with plenty of promise in recent starts, finishing third last time out and second three starts back, and he arrives here fresh enough after 31 days off carrying 152 lb; the main risk is that he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dunkerque 6/5 open 2.10 11/10 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 Bet365
2 Samuel Spade 2/1 open 2.50 9/4 15/8 15/8 15/8 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Paddy Power
3 Krak 11/4 open 4.50 9/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 2/1 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dunkerque

Live signal

Dunkerque owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Jennie Candlish Sean Quinlan
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Samuel Spade

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Ben Pauling
✓ Value Signal

Krak

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/4 · Dan Skelton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
73 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Dunkerque
68.4 6/5
2 2. Samuel Spade
64.9 2/1
3 3. Krak
61.8 11/4
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🤖 AI view
Dunkerque
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-10
6/5
★★★★☆ SR 131 🐾

SR 131 backed by market confidence at 11/10 — a genuine contender.

2
Age 7 · 11-6
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 128 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 6 · 10-12
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dunkerque
Confidence: Speculative

Dunkerque (SR:131, 11/10) leads the field on ability by 3lb over Samuel Spade and 15lb over Krak, and his form string 1-1112 shows consistent front-running success at this class level — four places from five recent runs including back-to-back wins. Carrying 11-10 is heavy but in a 3-runner race the weight differential (4lb over Samuel Spade, 12lb over Krak) is manageable given the SR gap. Jennie Candlish at 14% paired with Sean Quinlan, who has strong festival form over fences, provides solid connections. The MarkMv:+3 is a mild concern but not prohibitive in a small field where the SR advantage is clear. Each-way alternative: Krak. Main danger: Krak — The Mkt:in14% steam in a 3-runner race is hard to ignore — Dan Skelton's 21% yard strike rate and Harry Skelton's 27% booking suggest inside confidence, and Krak's 12lb weight advantage over Dunkerque on good-to-firm ground could prove decisive if the favourite is not yet fully at ease over fences at this trip.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Dunkerque's form string 1-1112 includes a second last time out — his front-running pattern may have been disrupted, and with only 3 runners today any early challenge from Samuel Spade could compromis…
  • Carrying 11-10 is the joint-heaviest weight seen in his recent runs and represents a +3 mark rise (MarkMv:+3), meaning the handicapper believes he has more to give — at odds-on he is being asked to p…
  • Krak is trained by Dan Skelton (21% strike rate) and ridden by Harry Skelton (27%), the most potent jumps combination in the field by trainer/jockey metrics — Krak's market move of -14% suggests sign…
  • Sean Quinlan's 14% strike rate from 78 rides is modest, and his record specifically over fences at Stratford's tight, turning track is not highlighted — a front-runner needs a clean round here and an…
Shortlist Dunkerque, Krak, Samuel Spade
Each-way: Krak Danger: Krak

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m6f125y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade