Killarney 20:15 20 Aug 2026
20 Aug 2026

Thursday 20 August Peadar's Pub Glenbeigh Flat Race

Peadar's Pub Glenbeigh Flat Race · 2m1f0y

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  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Killeedy Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Con Did It silks
Con Did It
Age 6 · 12-0
64
6
12-0
40/1 50/1 33/1
Unexposed and making his debut, Con Did It arrives without a form line to read but that very inexperience leaves plenty of improvement on the table; carrying 168 lb is the immediate challenge for a gelding whose ceiling remains entirely unknown.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Stary Notions silks
Stary Notions
Age 6 · 12-0
64
6
12-0
40/1 20/1 40/1
Stary Notions makes his debut carrying 168 lb, entirely unexposed and open to improvement — a blank slate whose potential remains untapped with everything still to learn.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Suresuresure silks
Suresuresure
Age 5 · 12-0
8P-075
57
87
5
12-0
100/1
Winless in his last five starts and pulling up on one occasion, Suresuresure does at least bring distance experience and a solid speed rating of 88 to the table, though the weight burden of 168 lb looks the chief obstacle to reversing his recent struggles.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

4
The Last Line silks
The Last Line
Age 6 · 12-0
2/
91
6
12-0
11/2 6/1 5/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, The Last Line was runner-up last time out — his only recent start — and returns after a lengthy absence of over two years carrying 168 lb, with plenty still to find out about him.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Iron Sword silks
Iron Sword
Age 4 · 11-11
53
92
98
4
11-11
15/8 32/17 31/19
Third last time out and winless in recent starts, Iron Sword nonetheless heads the ratings and a run just 16 days ago keeps him fit; carrying 165 lb for a trainer in lean current form are the notes of caution against a profile that otherwise demands respect.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rocky Alfonso silks
Rocky Alfonso
Age 4 · 11-11
4
82
95
4
11-11
5/1 4/1 9/2
Rocky Alfonso was fourth last time out and, carrying 165 lb on just 16 days' rest, he arrives fresh and third on our ratings on a rating of 95; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Walkineezy silks
Walkineezy
Age 4 · 11-11
60
53
82
4
11-11
100/1 50/1 100/1
Winless in his last two starts and ranked fifth of nine on our figures, Walkineezy is hard to fancy at the weights, carrying 165 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 24-day break.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Killeedy silks
Killeedy
Age 5 · 11-7
4
102
97
5
11-7
7/4 18/13 31/19
Killeedy has run over today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 42% in the last fortnight gives her strong support off the back of a 34-day freshener, but she heads into this yet to score in recent starts and must convert that promise under a hefty 161 lb.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Streamhill silks
Streamhill
Age 7 · 11-7
/45-55
80
7
11-7
12/1 FCST 10/1
Unexposed and yet to win in her last four starts, Streamhill returns after 66 days carrying 161 lb, but that consistent run of fifths and a fourth hints at a mare still finding her feet and open to better.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Con Did It 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 Bet365
2 Stary Notions 40/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 Paddy Power
3 Suresuresure 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 open 126.00 100/1 Bet365
4 The Last Line 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
5 Iron Sword 15/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 7/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.88 15/8 Bet365
6 Rocky Alfonso 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 11/2 Paddy Power
7 Walkineezy 100/1 open 51.00 110/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 110/1 Paddy Power
8 Killeedy 7/4 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.38 7/4 Bet365
9 Streamhill 12/1 14/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 15.00 14/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Iron Sword

Speculative

Iron Sword owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Andrew Slattery Mr A P Ryan(5)
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Killeedy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · W P Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Con Did It

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Iron Sword
59.4 15/8
2 8. Killeedy
56.7 7/4
3 4. The Last Line
54.3 11/2
4 6. Rocky Alfonso
51.7 5/1
5 9. Streamhill
48.9 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Killeedy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 5 · 11-7
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 11-11
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 11-11
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 12-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 11-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Killeedy
Confidence: Speculative

Killeedy (SR 102, 11/8) is the class standout in this amateur bumper field, holding a meaningful SR edge over Iron Sword (SR 92) and every other runner. Crucially, it carries only 11-7 — the lightest weight in the field — giving it a real physical advantage over the 12-0 brigade. The yard combination of W P Mullins (21% career strike rate, 1,285 runners) and P W Mullins (29%, 182 runners) is the most powerful pairing in Irish racing and represents serious intent; bumpers are exactly the sphere where Mullins dominates. The tongue-tie addition is a positive signal, suggesting connections have worked on something at home, and 11/8 from a stable that runs to win cannot be dismissed despite limited form. Each-way alternative: Iron Sword. Main danger: Iron Sword — Iron Sword (SR 92, 2/1) is the market's second string with an experienced conditional jockey (Mr A P Ryan, 20% strike rate), trained by Andrew Slattery who operates at a solid 10%, and at 4 years old is likely progressive — the 53 form in just two bumper starts gives him the upside to improve significantly on today's trip.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Killeedy's entire form reads '4' — a single fourth place — giving connections and punters almost nothing to assess whether it can handle a competitive bumper field at Killarney.
  • The tongue-tie addition can indicate a horse that has shown issues at home settling or breathing; in a flat bumper where relaxation is critical, a first-time hood/tie can as easily unsettle as improv…
  • Iron Sword (SR 92, 2/1) ran just 16 days ago, arrives race-fit and sharp, with a high-strike-rate amateur (20%, 101 runners) up; Killeedy at 34 days absence may be a step behind fitness-wise.
  • At 11/8 in a bumper with one bare run, the market is pricing in the Mullins name heavily — if Killeedy underperforms its reputation rather than its form, there is very little margin for error built i…
Shortlist Killeedy, Iron Sword, The Last Line, Rocky Alfonso
Each-way: Iron Sword Danger: Iron Sword

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting