Boasting two wins in his last five starts, including a victory three starts back, Big Cigar has experience over today's trip and going and heads the ratings convincingly; the quick turnaround from just yesterday is the one query on an otherwise strong profile.
Form last 615177
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR105RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Revels bounced back to winning form last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving connections every reason for optimism at 131 lb; the wide draw from stall 20 is the one factor to monitor.
Form last 6191
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR99RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shadow King won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing consistent ability at this level, and he has experience over today's trip and going; the risk is that ninth last time out — a sharp drop in form he needs to put firmly behind him.
Form last 651319
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Perfect Nation arrives on the back of two consecutive wins and a second in his last three starts, making him a compelling threat at 129 lb from stall four, though that weight could prove the critical test against a strong field.
Form last 6211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR91RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Backed up a win two starts back with a runner-up finish last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; rated 86 by both assessors, yet ranked 11th of 22 here, suggesting he faces stiffer opposition than recent form has tested.
Form last 612
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR86RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Back-to-back wins heading into this, though he steps up in company here — ranked ninth of 22 on our figures — and 127 lb from stall 16 will test his resolve; the trainer's 38% strike rate over the past fortnight is a meaningful boost.
Form last 6311
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR88RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts despite three runner-up finishes, Rising Tiger heads here ranked well down the field on our figures, and carrying 125 lb from stall 21 adds further complication; experience over today's trip and going is genuinely in his favour, but he remains frustratingly hard to place.
Form last 6222
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR82RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bymiddaytomorrow arrives on the back of consecutive wins and is fittingly fresh at just 13 days since her last run, with experience over today's trip and going also in her favour; however, her earlier finishes in recent starts show inconsistency, and a rating of 90 ranks her seventh of twenty-two here.
Form last 665811
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR90RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed second in each of his last two starts, The Ginger Kid brings solid recent consistency to the table, and he has run over today's trip and going before; however, ranked eighth of twenty-two on our rating and carrying 124 lb from stall ten, he faces a stiff ask against the top-rated runners.
Form last 601022
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR89RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed second last time out and a winner two starts back, Mirzimaan arrives on a 26-day break with experience of today's trip and going to his credit, though carrying 123 lb from stall 11 and ranked 12 of 22 on our rating suggests he faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 6012
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Telegraphic won two starts back and ran second last time out, so fitness and form are both live; he has experience over today's trip and carries 123 lb from stall 14, though our rating of 84 leaves him with ground to make up on the principals.
Form last 6412
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR84RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Caeruleus won two starts back and shaped with promise when third three starts back, but that fifth last time out tempers confidence; he has run over today's trip, returns on a reasonable 21-day break, and a trainer firing at 27% is a plus against a big field of 22.
Form last 64315
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR91RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third two starts back and a winner three starts back, Mia Fantasia brings fair claims with a distance experience and an 11-lb pull between official and our rating suggesting untapped potential; however, a below-par sixth last time out and a trainer firing at just 4% in recent weeks are real negatives to weigh.
Form last 6136
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR90RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Roosike faces a stiff ask from stall eight off 120 lb, and while her recent form reads encouragingly — a winner last time out, second and third in the two starts prior — her speed rating of 69 leaves plenty to find on the 17-of-22 ranking.
Form last 6321
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR79RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Koodini won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him obvious claims, but a struggling trainer — just one winner from twenty-four runners in the last fortnight — and a large field from stall twenty-two offer genuine reasons for caution.
Form last 6902231
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR83RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
High Hazard arrives on the back of an unplaced effort latest, though he showed promise with a third two starts back and a second three starts back; yet to win in recent starts, and a trainer striking at just 4% adds concern, though experience over today's trip and going offers some encouragement.
Form last 69230
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR84RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Regal Tiger has shown consistency without converting, finishing second twice in his last three starts, yet he remains winless in that spell and ranks 18th of 22 on our figures, making it hard to fancy at these weights with a trainer firing at just 4% recently.
Form last 6422
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Theheatison faces a stiff ask from stall 15 carrying 114 lb, and his speed rating of 68 gives little encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win in his last five starts at least shows he can find the front.
Form last 655143
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR77RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, High Calibre faces a stiff ask from stall 18 carrying 114 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and was runner-up last time out.
Form last 65662
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR76RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 19 of 22 on our figures, Rbflying makes a tough case to press, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 21-day break carrying 114 lb from stall 17.
Form last 665370
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR78RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well down the field on our figures, Fasthope is hard to fancy despite winning last time out, as two fifth-place finishes in the runs before that and a lowly speed rating of 64 tell against him, though he has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 63551
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR78RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Perfect Nation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1George BougheyBilly Loughnane
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mia Fantasia
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Hugo Palmer✓ Value Signal
Big Cigar
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Perfect Nation (SR:97, 9/2, Wgt:9-3) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and arrives on a sharp 2-1-1 form line — two consecutive wins building into today's step up in class. The market has backed this forcefully, steaming in 27%, the strongest move in the field, with top juvenile jockey Billy Loughnane (19% career SR) booked by a Boughey yard running at 18%. The 7f trip is untried (DistFit:?) but at 2 years old stepping up from shorter wins this is a natural progression rather than a red flag, and York's galloping 7f suits a horse that has been winning with authority. The class rise (↑1) is the only check mark, but the SR edge — six points clear of the next-best Weleyff and Mia Fantasia on 92 — combined with the dramatic market move makes this the standout selection.
Each-way alternative: Mia Fantasia.
Main danger: Weleyff — Weleyff (SR:92, 5/1, Wgt:9-1) arrives on a 3-1-1 sequence including two consecutive wins, carries a light weight, and at 5/1 is attractively priced — the only concern is the two-class jump (↑2) and an unproven distance record, but ability-wise it is right in contention.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
7f is completely untried (DistFit:?) — Perfect Nation's two wins came at shorter trips, and York's stiff 7f galloping track may expose a stamina limitation rather than suit a speedier profile.
Weleyff (SR:92, 5/1) and Mia Fantasia (SR:92, 10/3 favourite) both have prior form at this distance or class level; Mia Fantasia in particular is shorter in the market and represents a more exposed f…
The class rise (↑1) combined with an untested trip simultaneously is a double unknown — Perfect Nation has never been tested on either count, making the 9/2 price feel optimistic for a horse whose ce…
Boughey runs a second string in this race (Mirzimaan, SR:85, 9/1, William Buick aboard) — the stable's 'best' horse for this race may not be Perfect Nation if Buick, their number-one jockey by SR, ch…
ShortlistPerfect Nation, Mia Fantasia, Weleyff, Mirzimaan