Newcastle (AW) 16:43 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Oct 2026

Today Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f42y

Official Result

Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Patrol (IRE) Jack Callan · Dylan Cunha
    11/2
  2. 7/2
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Wanderlust silks
Wanderlust
Age 4 · 10-1
435200
81
83
87
4
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
10/3 13/2 10/3
Wanderlust has been unplaced on his last two runs since finishing second three starts back, and at 20 days since his last outing he should be fit. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 87 backs him, though he remains winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Model Yuko silks
Model Yuko
Age 4 · 10-0
38-764
80
64
89
4
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 15/2 16/1
Fit after 14 days off and a fourth last time out, Model Yuko has run over today's trip and going, and our top-ranked runner at 89 is clear of her official 80; the risk is she's yet to win in her last five, with a sixth, seventh and eighth in that run.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Patrol silks
Patrol
Age 4 · 9-11
632315
77
88
85
4
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 10/3 5/1
Patrol is a leading danger, a winner two starts back and placed in three of his last six, and he's fit after just nine days off, with experience of today's trip and going. The one concern is a fifth last time out, while our rating of 85 ranks him third of 11 from draw four.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Krissy silks
Krissy
Age 5 · 9-9
492257
75
65
75
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 12/1 18/1
Krissy is winless in her last six and was only seventh last time out, though she was second twice before that and has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 10 of 11 on our figures, she looks hard to fancy carrying 135 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Porth Eilian silks
Porth Eilian
Age 3 · 9-9
131382
79
71
84
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 7/1 11/1
Porth Eilian showed solid form with a second last time out, and she has won twice in her last six starts, while having run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a stable struggling for form, with just one winner from 28 in the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Qitaal silks
Qitaal
Age 7 · 9-9
465177
75
56
81
7
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1
Qitaal has run over today's trip and going before and won three starts back, but he's finished seventh in each of his last two outings. Fitness isn't a concern after 23 days off, and our rating of 81 sits above his official 75, though 135 lb from draw 2 leaves little margin.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Yafaarr silks
Yafaarr
Age 4 · 9-8
324611
74
79
77
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 3/1 13/2
Yafaarr arrives on a two-race winning streak, successful last time out and again two starts back, and he's fresh from a run 13 days ago, having already tackled today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from stall three, though, he's ranked only eighth of eleven on our rating of 77, which tempers the optimism.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Yafreh silks
Yafreh
Age 3 · 9-3
422756
73
72
79
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 17/2 11/1
Yafreh has been in the frame twice, with a second four starts back and another second five starts back, but he's yet to win in his last six and has finished sixth last time out, then a fifth, and a seventh before that. He has run over today's trip and returns after 25 days, while our rating of 79 sits above his official 73.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Guesstimate silks
Guesstimate FAV
Age 3 · 9-3
351272
73
88
77
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 9/2 3/1
Guesstimate was second last time out, 22 days ago, and has a winner four starts back, but a seventh two starts back shows her inconsistency. Ranked ninth of 11 on our figures, she carries 129 lb from draw 9, though she has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Variety Act silks
Variety Act
Age 3 · 9-1
2-3441
71
79
78
3
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 11/2
Variety Act won last time out and has been in the first four in each of his last five starts, with a fourth two starts back and another three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Fitness looks fine after 18 days, but 127 lb from draw 11 and a modest speed rating of 64 hold him back, with our rating of 78 putting him seventh of 11.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Clatford silks
Clatford
Age 3 · 9-0
420
70
46
68
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 66/1
Clatford is winless in his last three and unplaced last time out, and 120 days off the track makes him hard to fancy, though a second two starts back and previous experience on today's going give him something to work with. Our rating has him last of eleven, and he carries 126 lb from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Wanderlust 10/3 open 15.00 10/3 open 11.00 7/2 open 13.00 7/2 open 13.00 10/3 open 13.00 10/3 open 7.50 7/2 Coral
2 Model Yuko 16/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 Paddy Power
3 Patrol 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Coral
4 Krissy 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
5 Porth Eilian 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Bet365
6 Qitaal 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
7 Yafaarr 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 Coral
8 Yafreh 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Paddy Power
9 Guesstimate 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 Coral
10 Variety Act 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
11 Clatford 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Guesstimate

Speculative

Guesstimate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 William Haggas Daniel Tudhope
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Wanderlust

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Clatford

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Scott Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Guesstimate
58.1 3/1
2 1. Wanderlust
53.2 10/3
3 3. Patrol
51.6 5/1
4 10. Variety Act
51.3 7/1
5 7. Yafaarr
51.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Guesstimate
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-3
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-1
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Guesstimate
Confidence: Medium

Guesstimate (SR:88, 7/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Patrol yet carries a full 8lb less than Patrol (9-3 vs 9-11), a substantial weight advantage in a competitive Class 4 handicap. William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2,130 runners) is the standout trainer in the field and Daniel Tudhope (18%) is a superior booking, both signalling yard confidence. The market has moved in 24%, confirming money is following connections' intention. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on AW Good means this horse is proven at today's exact conditions — no question marks on trip or surface. Each-way alternative: Patrol. Main danger: Patrol — Patrol (SR:88, 9/2) matches Guesstimate on raw ability, has GoingFit:+ and a course placing, has been backed in 26% since opening, and while carrying 8lb more, a visor first time under a 13% trainer is a live each-way threat.

Case against 3
  • Mark has risen +3 since last run — the handicapper has already reacted to Guesstimate's form, narrowing the weight-for-ability edge the primary analyst is banking on.
  • Form reads 351272: the most recent figure is a '2' but prior to that a '7' and a '2' — no win in last 6 starts suggests a horse that consistently runs into a place but finds one too good at the finis…
  • Yafaarr (Course:W1P5) has dominant course form at Newcastle AW and is drifting in the market (out 52%) yet remains 11/2 — if Yafaarr leads or dictates pace, Guesstimate's finishing effort could be sw…
Shortlist Guesstimate, Patrol, Wanderlust, Yafaarr
Each-way: Patrol Danger: Patrol

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f42y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade