Haydock 14:17 RESULTED
Class 3 16 Oct 2026

Today M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)

M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f212y

Official Result

M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Viper (GB) Rowan Scott · Brian Ellison
    11/2
  2. 16/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tina's Indian silks
Tina's Indian
Age 5 · 10-0
-40430
89
76
102
5
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 6/1 14/1
Our top-rated runner, Tina's Indian has run over today's trip and on this going, and a third two starts back is his best recent finish, while our rating of 102 puts him clear of this field from draw 8. A 61-day break and no win in his last five are the only concerns.
AI verdict

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

2
Empire of Light silks
Empire of Light
Age 5 · 9-11
110029
86
74
87
5
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 10/1
Won twice in his last six, though not since five starts back, and a ninth last time out leaves him needing to bounce back after just six days; a second two starts back shows he can still run well, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 137 lb from stall two, he sits seventh of ten on our rating of 87.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Desperate Dan silks
Desperate Dan FAV
Age 5 · 9-9
41-964
84
94
90
5
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 5/2 2/1
Desperate Dan arrives fresh from a fourth last time out, 20 days ago, and has run over today's trip and on the going before, with a win four starts back showing his ceiling. Our rating of 90 sits well above his official 84, but a sixth and a ninth in the two runs before that are the worry.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Rajapour silks
Rajapour
Age 6 · 9-9
F51720
84
79
88
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 20/1
Rajapour showed a bit of life with a second two starts back and has won once in his last six, but he was unplaced last time and has been inconsistent since. He has run over today's trip and going, is fresh enough after 13 days, and our rating of 88 ranks him fifth of ten from draw 5.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sujet silks
Sujet
Age 4 · 9-9
002098
84
58
88
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 20/1 66/1
Sujet has been well beaten in his last two, an eighth last time out and a ninth two starts back, though a second four starts back shows he has some ability, and he has run over today's trip. Our rating of 88 sits above his official 84, but 135 lb from draw 10 is no easy task.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Viper silks
Viper
Age 3 · 9-7
321961
85
90
88
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 10/3 11/2
Viper won last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, so this gelding arrives in good heart after 27 days off, with our rating of 88 ranking him fourth of ten. The main risk is inconsistency, as a sixth and a ninth sit between his two wins in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Monoceros silks
Monoceros
Age 3 · 9-6
359517
84
89
91
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 4/1
Monoceros won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 91 ranks him second of ten, making him a leading threat from stall seven. The risk is a laboured seventh last time out, and he must bounce back off 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Food For Thought silks
Food For Thought
Age 3 · 9-5
412257
83
84
87
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 6/1 13/2
Food For Thought is hard to fancy, having slipped to a seventh last time out and a fifth two starts back after a pair of seconds earlier in the run. She has run over today's trip and is fit enough after 27 days, but our figures rank her last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
On The River silks
On The River
Age 7 · 9-3
275327
78
77
87
7
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 11/1 9/1
On The River is winless in his last six, and a seventh last time out after a second two starts back leaves him hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Fresh enough after 24 days, he carries 129 lb from stall 4, and our rating has him eighth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Empirestateofmind silks
Empirestateofmind
Age 8 · 9-0
001212
75
91
87
8
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 7/1 5/1
Empirestateofmind is in cracking recent form, a second last time out, a winner two starts back, and he is fit after just eight days off, with experience of today's trip and going. Even so, our rating of 87 ranks him ninth of ten, and a speed figure of 74 makes him hard to fancy carrying 126 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tina's Indian 25/1 open 7.00 18/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 22/1 open 7.50 22/1 open 8.00 25/1 Bet365
2 Empire of Light 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 William Hill
3 Desperate Dan 9/4 open 5.50 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 5/2 5/2 Paddy Power
4 Rajapour 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
5 Sujet 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Viper 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 William Hill
7 Monoceros 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
8 Food For Thought 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Bet365
9 On The River 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
10 Empirestateofmind 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Desperate Dan

Speculative

Desperate Dan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Peter Chapple-Hyam Marco Ghiani
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Empirestateofmind

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · John & Sean Quinn
✓ Value Signal

Rajapour

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · David O'Meara
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Desperate Dan
57.9 9/4
2 10. Empirestateofmind
55.6 5/1
3 6. Viper
54.7 11/2
4 7. Monoceros
54.1 9/2
5 8. Food For Thought
53.1 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Desperate Dan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 8 · 9-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 7 · 9-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Desperate Dan
Confidence: Speculative

Desperate Dan (SR:94, 9/4) is the standout SR in the field and the only runner proven on heavy going (GoingFit:+), which is a crucial filter on a day when the ground will mercilessly expose horses without that evidence. He drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries a manageable 9-9, and a 26% market move in (Mkt:in26%) confirms significant support — the strongest steaming in the field. The MarkMv:+2 is negligible and the trainer Chapple-Hyam (15%) with Ghiani (16%) is a competent booking. The recent form showing a '4' last time is the one concern, but the heavy-ground fit separates him meaningfully from the field. Each-way alternative: Empirestateofmind. Main danger: Empirestateofmind — Empirestateofmind (SR:91, 15/2) has proven heavy-ground form (GoingFit:+), a course placing (Course:W0P1), a recent 001212 form string showing strong progression, and carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-0 — a real lbs advantage that could matter in a stamina test on heavy going over nearly a mile.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reading '41-964' shows a '4' last time out after a significant break — the dash suggests a lengthy absence before this sequence, and the most recent figures (964) trend badly, not a horse buildi…
  • Viper (SR:90) and Monoceros (SR:89) are closely matched on ratings and carry 2lb and 3lb less respectively — in heavy ground where every pound counts, that weight advantage over a class dropper is ma…
  • Empirestateofmind (SR:91, HG:b) has headgear fitted which often signals a trainer expecting a peak effort, and at 15/2 the market has NOT supported Desperate Dan at the expense of this rival who also…
  • The 26% market move in looks impressive but Desperate Dan drifted +2 on MarkMv, suggesting the early steam was followed by some money coming back out — a conflicted market signal rather than a clean…
Shortlist Desperate Dan, Empirestateofmind, Viper, Monoceros
Each-way: Empirestateofmind Danger: Empirestateofmind

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f212y Distance to cover
Heavy Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Haydock Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade