Dundalk (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
16 Oct 2026

Today Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden

Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden · 6f

Official Result

Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Firewalker (GB) Donagh O'Connor · Robson De Aguiar
    15/8F
  2. 5/2
  3. Third Otsana (IRE)
    100/30
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17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Firewalker silks
Firewalker FAV
Age 3 · 9-8
2-9402
75
81
75OR
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 7/2 32/17
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Monmouth silks
Monmouth
Age 3 · 9-8
7032
77
82
77OR
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 32/17 2/1
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Blessed By Faith silks
Blessed By Faith
Age 4 · 9-4
8
—
126
—
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
125/1 66/1 100/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cape Blue Point silks
Cape Blue Point
Age 3 · 9-3
—
—
124
—
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Dusty Rock silks
Dusty Rock
Age 3 · 9-3
6-26
68
59
68OR
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 9/1 14/1
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Emiza silks
Emiza
Age 3 · 9-3
5246
67
71
67OR
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 7/1
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Otsana silks
Otsana
Age 3 · 9-3
53
—
154
—
3
9-3
★★★★☆
—
4/1 11/4 7/2
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Palmeira silks
Palmeira
Age 3 · 9-3
-65558
84
87
84OR
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Rosanella silks
Rosanella
Age 3 · 9-3
00
—
127
—
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 100/1 150/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Firewalker 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 15/8 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 Bet365
2 Monmouth 5/2 open 3.25 2/1 open 2.88 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
3 Blessed By Faith 125/1 open 81.00 110/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 Bet365
4 Cape Blue Point 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
5 Dusty Rock 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Emiza 8/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 Bet365
7 Otsana 4/1 open 4.33 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 9/2 William Hill
8 Palmeira 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
9 Rosanella 200/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 200/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Otsana

Live signal

Otsana owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 P. Twomey W. J. Lee
86% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Firewalker

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Robson De Aguiar
✓ Value Signal

Blessed By Faith

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Daniel James Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Otsana
69.6 4/1
2 1. Firewalker
59.5 2/1
3 8. Palmeira
55.1 6/1
4 3. Blessed By Faith
53.5 125/1
5 4. Cape Blue Point
52.5 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Firewalker
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-8
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-3
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-3
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-3
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Firewalker
Confidence: Speculative

Firewalker (SR:81, 3/1) is the most compelling case here on a convergence of signals: a 16% market move in (the sharpest steam in the field), proven on today's going (GoingFit:+), and the moderate distance fit (DistFit:~) is not a red flag at 6f given the recent form includes a placed effort. The trainer Robson De Aguiar at 12% strike rate is decent for the level and the Donagh O'Connor booking is workmanlike. Monmouth is the morning-line favourite at 5/2 but has drifted 13%, carries blinkers first-time which add unpredictability, and has an unknown going record (GoingFit:?) — three specific negatives against the market leader. Otsana holds the standout SR (154) and would be a clear class edge, but has drifted 12%, is unproven at this trip and on this going (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?), and a 42-day absence adds risk — the market is clearly not convinced. Each-way alternative: Otsana. Main danger: Otsana — Otsana's SR of 154 is dramatically higher than any rival in this field — if the tongue-tie and the step up in class confidence clicks into place, that raw ability advantage could simply overpower everything else regardless of the unproven trip and going.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Firewalker's SR of 81 is below the class average here — Monmouth (82), Palmeira (87), Otsana (154), Blessed By Faith (126), and Cape Blue Point (124) all rate higher on raw ability metrics.
  • Jockey Donagh O'Connor strikes at only 8% from 702 rides — a notably weak book for a horse being backed in, and well below Keane (16%), Lordan (16%), and Lee (15%) on rival mounts.
  • Recent form reads 2-9402: the '9' and '4' suggest a horse that has been well beaten in recent starts, and the placed effort cited may have come at a lower level than today's competitive Dundalk AW he…
  • DistFit marked as '~' (moderate) at 6f on the AW is a tangible gap versus rivals with confirmed trip suitability, and trainer Robson De Aguiar's 12% strike rate with only 241 runners suggests a yard…
Shortlist Firewalker, Otsana, Monmouth
Each-way: Otsana Danger: Otsana

🗺 The Course Race conditions

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting