Shape Engineering Handicap Stakes · 5f
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 43 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Woolisle | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Vingegaard | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 3 Charlie Mason | 17/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 | 9/1 Coral |
| 4 Our Absent Friends | 20/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Harry's Halo | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 Betfred |
| 6 Spoof | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Smart Vision | 9/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Duran | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 Coral |
| 9 Stirrup Cup | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 10 J Street | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Irish Nectar | 7/4 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 Coral |
| 12 American Bay | 33/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Moonstone Boy | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Fordham Flyer | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Irish Nectar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Duran (SR:72, 6/1, Wgt:9-6) is the most compelling multi-signal case in this race. He holds Course:W1P2 at Haydock — the specialist-track edge matters — carries a light weight relative to his SR, and has been backed meaningfully (Mkt:in23%), which on a 14-runner Class 5 heavy-ground sprint is a significant live signal. His mark has dropped 11lb since his last win (MarkMv:-11), giving him a significant handicap advantage, and he drops a class (ClassMv:↓1). Tom Marquand, a 16% career strike-rate jockey, is a clear upgrade booking. The favourite Irish Nectar (SR:81, 15/8) has the top SR but is unproven at 5f on heavy (DistFit:-, GoingFit:?) and carries a jockey (Dylan Hogan, 11% strike rate) who is a notable downgrade; the market has only edged in 9% — modest confidence for a favourite — and the combination of an unproven trip and unknown heavy-ground response is a concrete flaw in the data. Each-way alternative: Harry's Halo. Main danger: Irish Nectar — Irish Nectar holds the top SR (81) in the field, comes off a recent win (Form:494341, rightmost digit 1), and has received some market support (Mkt:in9%), so if the unproven heavy ground and 5f trip prove no barrier, it is simply the classiest horse in the race.