Barretstown was a fourth last time out just seven days ago, but he is winless in his last six and unplaced in three of those before an eighth two starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 50 ranks him tenth of 14 from stall three.
Form last 6700084
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
14SR50RPR38OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 14 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Aiteall comes here in decent shape, third last time out and a second two starts back, with just seven days since that run and experience of today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last six, he carries 137 lb from draw 14, and our rating of 56 ranks him only ninth of 14.
Form last 6500823
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR56RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sherekiya is winless in her last five, though a third three starts back shows she can get involved, and she's fit enough after 11 days off. Carrying 137 lb from stall five, she looks held on an official mark of 67, with our rating of 66 placing her sixth of 14.
Form last 64-7386
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR66RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Autocrat won two starts back and was third three starts back, but he was unplaced last time and returns just four days later, with a run of eighth and ninth finishes further back. He has run over today's trip and going, yet carrying 131 lb from stall 10, our figures rank him 11th of 14.
Form last 6986310
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR50RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six, Trishuli River has run over today's trip and going before and is fresh enough after 18 days, but a sixth two starts back is her best recent finish. Carrying 129 lb from stall one, she sits seventh of 14 on our rating of 62 against an official 69.
Form last 6008060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR62RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Ranked fourth of 14 by our rating of 69, Daonethatgotaway has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 28 days off, but he is winless in his last six and was unplaced last time out, so form is the concern.
Form last 6079050
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR69RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, with unplaced efforts last time out and two starts back, Haeret In Pectore is hard to fancy off 127 lb from stall eight. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 18 days, but the form offers little encouragement.
Form last 6-50600
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
12SR33RPR30OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 12 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Last seen finishing eighth and without a win since scoring five starts back, Tyson Fury has to bounce back, but he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 23 days. Our rating of 92 tops the field of 14, 7 lb clear of his official 85, which makes him the one to beat from stall 4.
Form last 6610608
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR92RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Earthwatch has been well beaten in recent starts, with a ninth last time out and a eighth four starts back, but he's back after just 15 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 73 sits six above his official 67 and ranks him third of 14, though the main risk is that he's yet to win and hasn't finished closer than eighth lately.
Form last 6089-09
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last two, Vivere A Colori was fifth last time out 28 days ago and unplaced the run before, so she is hard to fancy from stall 13 with 126 lb. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 49 ranks her 13th of 14.
Form last 605
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR49RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beat The Devil is winless in his last six, with a ninth last time out and a ninth three starts back, so form is the concern, though he has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after seven days. Our rating of 58 sits above his official 51, but he carries 124 lb from stall two.
Form last 6060989
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR58RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Goldrush Kid won three starts back but has been unplaced in his last two, and he's back quickly after just four days. He has run on today's going and our rating of 67 ranks him fifth of 14, though 124 lb from draw 12 leaves him with plenty to prove.
Form last 685P100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR67RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jazz Dreamers is winless in his last six, unplaced last time out and no better than a seventh two starts back, so he is hard to fancy; he has at least run over today's trip and going and is back after 18 days. Ranked last of 14 on our figures, he carries 124 lb from draw 7.
Form last 6980070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR43RPR34OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
My Vonnie is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out and without a win in her last six starts, with a fifth two starts back her best recent finish. She has run over today's trip and going and comes in after 21 days off, but our rating of 50 ranks her twelfth of 14.
Form last 6660050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR50RPR37OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Fifteen days since a sixth last time out keeps Plontier fit, and he showed his best with a second three starts back, while our rating of 80 ranks him second of 14 and supports his claims from stall 15. The main risk is that he is winless in his last five starts and has finished unplaced twice in that spell.
Form last 660-206
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR80RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tyson Fury owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Denis Gerard HoganMel Sheridan(7)
92%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Autocrat
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · P Sweeney✓ Value Signal
Earthwatch
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Daonethatgotaway (SR:64, 11/1) is the most compelling convergence of signals in this field. The market has hammered it in by 39% — the sharpest move in the race — suggesting informed money is backing this down from a much longer price. It is proven at Dundalk (Course:W3P13), confirmed on today's going (GoingFit:+, the only runner in the field with a '+' on going), carries a light 9-2, and runs off a mark just 1lb below last win (MarkMv:-1). Against the field-topping SR:90 favourite Tyson Fury, the key negatives are plain: Tyson Fury is drifting 14% in the market, has DistFit:- at this trip, and his form reads 610608 — the last run a 8th. The favourite's market is moving the wrong way while Daonethatgotaway's is moving sharply in the right direction, and the going advantage is a real edge on an AW card where ground preferences carry weight.
Each-way alternative: Goldrush Kid.
Main danger: Tyson Fury — Tyson Fury holds the field's highest SR (90) by a clear margin, carries a featherweight 9-1, has course form (Course:W2P5), and a -11lb mark drop (MarkMv:-11) — if he handles the trip better than his DistFit:- suggests, his raw ability could overwhelm the field regardless of the drift.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 079050 — that '0' last time out 28 days ago is a non-completion or last-place finish, and the sequence shows only one placing in six runs; this is not a horse in the form of its life.
Goldrush Kid (SR:63, 10/1) has sharper recent form (85P100, won last), is even more heavily backed in (47% market move), ran just 4 days ago suggesting peak fitness, and is a near-identical SR to Dao…
Beat The Devil (10/1) also shows a 37% market move in, matching the 'informed money' narrative, yet at lower weight (8-12) and fresher recent run — the smart-money signal the analyst attributes solel…
A 5lb apprentice (Reese Holohan, 10% strike rate on 332 rides) claiming at Dundalk in a competitive 15-runner handicap is a tangible negative; the claim does not offset the rider's modest record at t…
ShortlistDaonethatgotaway, Tyson Fury, Goldrush Kid, Beat The Devil