Ranked second of 14 on our figures, The Bear Trap has run over today's trip and going before, and a 66 against an official mark of 59 hints at more to come, though he is winless in his last five and was ninth last time out just four days ago.
Form last 650-409
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR66RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Fit after just seven days, Battleforsupremacy was fourth last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 58 ranks him fourth of 14 and sits above his official 54. The risk is that he's yet to win in his last five starts and carries 135 lb from stall four.
Form last 6-73004
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR58RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Boston Max was third last time out and is only seven days since that run, with a pair of wins five and six starts back, though he has since drifted to a fourth and a fifth. He has run over today's trip and going, but 141 lb from draw 13 and a mark of 60 against our rating of 58 leave little in hand.
Form last 6112543
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR58RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-up after nine days, Four Blondes has run over today's trip and is yet to win in her last six, yet our rating of 70 ranks her top of the 14 on an official mark of 58. Her recent finishes are modest, but she looks the one to beat from draw 11.
Form last 6405690
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR70RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Simmering Seas has been consistent without a win, with a second three starts back and a second five starts back, but she was unplaced last time out, 17 days ago. She has run over today's trip and carries 138 lb from draw 6, which looks a stiff ask off an official mark of 57.
Form last 6024240
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR55RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dervo Annie has run over today's trip and going, and a second five starts back shows she has ability, while our rating of 59 ranks her third of 14 and she's back after 25 days. The risk is a form line that has tailed off to eighth, then unplaced last time, and she's yet to win in her last six.
Form last 6526780
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR59RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jazzit was fourth last time out and was second three starts back, so he has shown enough to stay in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last six, he returns after 36 days carrying 133 lb from stall 12, with our rating of 54 only eighth best of 14.
Form last 6883204
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR54RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Seventh last time out after a third three starts back, Hot To Foxtrot is winless in her last six and returns 28 days later, though she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 55 sits seventh of 14, and she carries 132 lb from draw 15.
Form last 6436307
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR55RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Will Be King has been unplaced last time out, though a second four starts back shows some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going. An 83-day layoff and a yard in poor form (1/36 in the last 14 days) hold him back, with 132 lb from draw 9 to carry.
Form last 66/2050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR48RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last six, Are You In Or Out was fourth two starts back but unplaced last time, though she is fresh from a nine-day turnaround and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 130 lb from stall 16, she looks held by an official mark of 47, with our rating of 52 offering modest support.
Form last 6080040
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR52RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Polanco is hard to fancy, winless in his last five starts with four unplaced efforts before a third last time out 28 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 130 lb from draw 8, our figures rank him 13th of 14.
Form last 6-00003
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR43RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fontaine Khaled has been unplaced last time out and winless in her last six, though a third four starts back shows some ability and she has run over today's trip. A 48-day break and 129 lb from draw 14 leave her a midfield sort, ranked tenth of 14 on our rating.
Form last 6083750
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR52RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Whatsin The Stars is hard to fancy, having finished ninth last time out and unplaced in each of her four runs before that, so she is winless in her last five starts. She has run over today's trip and going, but 126 lb from draw 10 and our lowly rating of 26 give her plenty to find.
Form last 600009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
14SR26RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 14 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Lady Landhort is winless in her last six, with two sixths and a fifth the best of that run, and she's rated bottom of the 14 on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going and returns after 21 days, but little here suggests a step up from stall two.
Form last 6500066
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR43RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Alandownunder is winless in her last five, finishing seventh last time out after a run of ninth and unplaced efforts, so she's hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and returns after 17 days, while our rating of 44 ranks her 12th of 14.
Form last 6-09907
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR44RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Thumama Sands is hard to fancy, having finished eighth last time out and been unplaced in each of his five runs before that, so he is winless in his last six. He has run over today's trip and is back after 15 days, but our rating of 39 leaves him ranked among the lowest of the field.
Form last 6000908
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
18SR39RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Battleforsupremacy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Daniel McLoughlinTBA
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Boston Max
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Gordon Elliott✓ Value Signal
Thumama Sands
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Adrian McGuinness◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Boston Max (SR:60, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 6 points over the next best, carries 10-1 but that weight is justified by his ability advantage. His form string 112543 shows consistent competitiveness, he is proven at this course (Course:W1P1), has a confirmed going fit (GoingFit:+), and moderate distance fit (DistFit:~). Gordon Elliott's yard runs at 18% strike rate from 4,077 runners — comfortably the strongest training hand in this field. The MarkMv:+4 is a modest rise and not a red flag given the form trajectory. The market has held him at 5/2 as the clear favourite without a drift, which is a meaningful signal in a 16-runner €6,000 handicap where the SR gap is significant.
Each-way alternative: Dervo Annie.
Main danger: Dervo Annie — Dervo Annie (SR:51, 7/1) has steamed in 16% in the market — the only runner in the field showing significant support — Colin Keane takes the ride at 16% career strike rate, and while the form line 526780 shows a recent last-place run, the market confidence here is impossible to ignore and she carries a manageable 9-10.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 112543 shows a notable decline across the last four runs — Boston Max has not won or placed in his most recent four outings, suggesting he may be past his peak form cycle.
Jockey Nina Doherty has only 10 recorded mounts in the data, flagging very limited experience; in a competitive 16-runner AW handicap, inexperience in traffic could cost crucial ground.
DistFit is only moderate (~), and at top weight of 10-1 in a 16-runner handicap, any stamina shortfall in the closing stages could be exploited by fresher, lighter-weighted rivals.
Battleforsupremacy (Course:W1P2) and Dervo Annie (Mkt:in16%) both show live market support at bigger prices, suggesting shrewd money is not exclusively on Boston Max despite his SR lead.