Ireland 3yo Market Favourite

Guesstimate (GB)

T: William Haggas · J: Daniel Tudhope · O: Ian Christine Beard Family

By Sea The Moon (GER) out of Approximate (GB)

Form 2-033512720

3/1 Current odds

1/11 W/R

77 RPR

73 TS

Join as Cub to vote → View in Race Explorer BETA

Running today

11 runs
1 wins
placed
9% strike
0 d off
83 best RPR

Running today

Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

16:43 · Newcastle (AW) · 1m2f42y · Good · Class 4

#9 No.

9-3 Weight

Daniel Tudhope Jockey

3/1 9/2 3/1 View racecard →

Recent form

Form figures 2-033512720 0 days off

0 2 7 2 1 5

At Newcastle (AW) 0/1 0 wins · 0 placed

On Good 0/3 0 wins · 2 placed

Best RPR 83 Career peak

Best TS 73 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 11 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 51
Win %: 9%
Placed %: 64%
Trend: Fading

Course Record

10 venues

Career strike 64%; best at Kempton (AW) (50% from 2 runs).

Kempton (AW) 50% 0-1-2
Goodwood 100% 0-1-1
Lingfield (AW) 100% 0-1-1
Newmarket 100% 0-1-1
Nottingham 100% 1-0-1
Southwell (AW) 100% 0-1-1
Wolverhampton (AW) 100% 0-1-1
Newbury 0% 0-0-1
Newcastle (AW) 0% 0-0-1
Redcar 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

8 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

Cieren Fallon 67% 0-2-3
Tom Marquand 50% 0-1-2
Harry Burns 100% 0-1-1
Harry Davies 100% 1-0-1
Pat Dobbs 100% 0-1-1
Ross Coakley 100% 0-1-1
Daniel Tudhope NOW 0% 0-0-1
Jason Hart 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

William Haggas NOW 64% 1-6-11

Going Record

11 classifiable runs

Firmleaning Fires on firmer ground — 50% in-the-money on a fast surface vs 0% on softer ground.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 50% 1-0-2
Good 71% 0-5-7
Good to Soft 50% 0-1-2
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy — 0 runs

Distance Record

11 classifiable runs

Leaning Best at mile trips (67% itm) but capable elsewhere.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f 100% 0-1-1
Mile 7f – 1m1f 67% 0-2-3
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 57% 1-3-7
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

16 Oct 2026 Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Newcastle (AW) Class 4 11th/11 11 Standard 1m2f Daniel Tudhope OR 73 3/1F

24 Sep 2026 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes Southwell (AW) Class 5 2nd/12 1 Standard 1m3f Ross Coakley OR 72 6/1

26 Aug 2026 Sheldrake Training Limited 'train An Apprentice' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Newbury Class 4 7th/7 14 Good To Firm 1m2f Tom Marquand OR 73 7/1

11 Aug 2026 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Lingfield (AW) Class 4 2nd/9 1.5 Standard 1m2f Cieren Fallon OR 72 8/1

17 Jul 2026 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) Nottingham Class 4 1st/5 +0 Good To Firm 1m2f Harry Davies OR 70 15/8

19 Jun 2026 Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Redcar Class 4 5th/9 1.5 Good 1m2f1y Jason Hart OR 72 11/2

23 May 2026 Darley British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Goodwood Class 2 3rd/8 1.25 Good 1m2f Pat Dobbs OR 69 9/2

5 May 2026 Get Raceday Ready Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Wolverhampton (AW) Class 5 3rd/6 0.1 Standard 1m142y Tom Marquand OR 70 15/2

6 Apr 2026 Virgin Bet Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Kempton (AW) Class 4 10th/10 1 Standard To Slow 1m Cieren Fallon 2/1F

19 Nov 2025 British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Kempton (AW) Class 2 2nd/13 1.25 Standard To Slow 1m Harry Burns 5/1

Connections

Trainer: William Haggas 23%
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope 18%
Owner: Ian Christine Beard Family
Sire: Sea The Moon (GER)
Dam: Approximate (GB)
Dam sire: Dubawi
Country: Ireland
Age: 3yo

Cubs backing

No cubs have backed this horse yet.

Join free as a Cub →

💬 Horse Chat

Choose a line from the list below — keep it sporting. One post per race per Cub.

No posts yet — be the first Cub to comment on Guesstimate (GB).