James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Green Sparkle | 7/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 1 This That | 3/1 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 10/3 William Hill |
| 2 Just One Show | 11/1 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Our Boy Bailey | 12/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Lake Lugano | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Cyclone Code | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Hip Hop Chrissy | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Lusted | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Heart Of You | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Yellow Sky | 7/2 open 8.00 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 7.00 | 3/1 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 3/1 open 7.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Gabby Hayes | 14/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 11 Violet Be Humble | 28/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Closefield Beau | 15/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 13 Matavai Bay | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Two Brigade | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
This That owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Yellow Sky (SR:78, 7/2) sits second in the SR rankings and carries a favourable 9-4, 8lb lighter than top-weight This That (9-12). The standout signal is the Mkt:in37% — the most dramatic market move in the field by a wide margin — which tells us the market has materially re-assessed this horse's chances since opening. The tongue-tie (HG:p) first-time application often unlocks improvement in juveniles, and the J.P. Murtagh yard (11%, 1380 runners) with Ben Coen aboard (11%, 1899 runners) is a competent booking. Crucially, while DistFit:- is a concern, it is shared by nearly every runner in this field bar the favourite and Hip Hop Chrissy, so it provides no meaningful differentiation. Each-way alternative: This That. Main danger: This That — This That (SR:83, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, proven at the trip (DistFit:+), backed by Colin Keane and the G.M. Lyons yard, and despite carrying top-weight 9-12 and a MarkMv:+2, the superior SR and distance credentials make it the likeliest alternative if Yellow Sky's market move proves speculative.