Redcar 15:02 RESULTED
Class 6 16 Oct 2026

Today Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap Stakes

Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f

1 cub picking Leading: Lion of Persia (100%) Join the pack
Official Result

Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cavan Lady (GB) Cieren Fallon · Stephen Hanlon
    13/2
  2. 7/2
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 1 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mubehir silks
Mubehir
Age 2 · 9-9
07285
64
60
71
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 13/2 9/2
Mubehir is yet to win in his last five starts, but he was second three starts back, returned just 23 days ago after a fifth last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 70, he looks the one to beat, though an eighth two starts back is a reservation.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Cavan Lady silks
Cavan Lady
Age 2 · 9-8
3443
63
64
70
2
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 9/4 4/1
Cavan Lady is consistent, third last time out and a fourth two starts back, with a third four starts back too, and she has run over today's trip; our rating of 70 ranks her second of nine. The main risk is that she is yet to win in her last four starts, and 134 lb is a notable burden.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lion of Persia silks
Lion of Persia FAV
Age 2 · 9-6
842
61
61
66
2
9-6
★★☆☆☆
1
5/2 FCST 9/4
Lion of Persia bounces back from a poor eighth three starts back with a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip, so he rates a leading danger from stall one; the one concern is a 93-day break since that run.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Classyfied silks
Classyfied
Age 2 · 9-5
54404
60
64
67
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 4/1 9/2
Classyfied is consistent, finishing fourth last time out, and fourth again three and four starts back, and she's fresh from an 11-day turnaround. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 67 sits above her official 60, though she is yet to win and carries 131 lb from stall 5.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Luna Lacy silks
Luna Lacy
Age 2 · 9-4
654
59
57
60
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 4/1
Luna Lacy has finished fourth, fifth and sixth in her last three starts, so she is consistent but yet to win, though she's fresh enough after 17 days and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 130 lb from stall two, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 60 putting her sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Dadawada silks
Dadawada
Age 2 · 8-12
54607
53
47
57
2
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 22/1
Dadawada is hard to fancy, having finished seventh last time out and being winless in her last five, with a fourth four starts back her best effort in that spell. She has run over today's trip and going and is back after 18 days, but ranks seventh of nine on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Johns Power silks
Johns Power
Age 2 · 8-10
647034
51
53
63
2
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 6/1 15/2
Johns Power arrives fairly fresh after 16 days, fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; yet to win in his last six, though, he looks a midfield type from draw 9, with our rating of 63 only fifth best of nine.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Redrosecastana silks
Redrosecastana
Age 2 · 8-4
9796
40
17
37
2
8-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
200/1 33/1 200/1
Redrosecastana is winless in his last four, finishing sixth last time out, and a ninth and a seventh before that, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 16 days, but our rating of 37 ranks him last of nine.
AI verdict

SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

9
Mr de Maggs silks
Mr de Maggs
Age 2 · 8-4
000
39
16
37
2
8-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 20/1 80/1
Mr de Maggs is hard to fancy, unplaced in each of his last three starts and returning after 80 days off, while our figures rank him eighth of nine. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going before and is rated just 39 officially, carrying 116 lb from draw 8.
AI verdict

SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mubehir 9/2 open 9.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Cavan Lady 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Lion of Persia 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 5/2 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
4 Classyfied 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Luna Lacy 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
6 Dadawada 25/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Johns Power 17/2 open 8.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.00 17/2 Bet365
8 Redrosecastana 200/1 open 34.00 200/1 open 34.00 200/1 open 34.00 200/1 open 34.00 250/1 open 34.00 200/1 open 41.00 250/1 William Hill
9 Mr de Maggs 100/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 29.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lion of Persia

Speculative

Lion of Persia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Robert Cowell George Wood
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Classyfied

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Dadawada

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Christopher Kellett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Lion of Persia
50.3 5/2
2 4. Classyfied
49.5 9/2
3 2. Cavan Lady
48.8 9/2
4 1. Mubehir
48.4 9/2
5 5. Luna Lacy
47.1 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Classyfied
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Lion of Persia is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-6
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 1

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-5
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-4
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 8-10
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Classyfied
Confidence: Speculative

Classyfied (SR:64, 4/1, Wgt:9-5) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Cavan Lady, but carries 3lb less than the favourite and has been backed in sharply — 28% market support is the second-strongest move in the race, behind only Dadawada's suspicious-looking 48% steam at 14/1. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) is a positive, and Tim Easterby (11% strike rate, 4,714 runners) is a prolific northern nursery handler who knows how to place a 2-year-old in Class 6. The going concern (GoingFit:-) is noted but at 5f on Good ground the penalty is modest, and Duran Fentiman's 7% strike rate is the one soft spot — offset by the clear weight and market edge over the co-favourite. Each-way alternative: Luna Lacy. Main danger: Cavan Lady — Cavan Lady (SR:64, 7/2) matches Classyfied on SR, has a confirmed DistFit:+ at 5f — the only runner in the field with proven distance form — and Cieren Fallon (17% career strike rate) is a significant jockey upgrade; the drift from opening price is the main concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 54404 shows Classyfied has not won in 5 career starts, including a 4th last time out — no victory to underpin confidence despite multiple opportunities.
  • Cavan Lady holds the same SR:64 but is ridden by Cieren Fallon (17% strike rate) vs Fentiman's 7% — a significant jockey quality gap at the sharp end of a tight nursery.
  • Classyfied is just 11 days since last run; that quick turnaround in a 2yo can indicate a horse being placed opportunistically rather than brimming with fresh form.
  • GoingFit:- flagged by the analyst themselves — if conditions at Redcar are on the softer side of Good, a horse with a going concern at 5f has limited margin for error against rivals without that flag.
Shortlist Classyfied, Cavan Lady, Dadawada, Luna Lacy
Each-way: Luna Lacy Danger: Cavan Lady

🗺 The Course Class 6

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade