Newcastle (AW) 18:15 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Oct 2026

Today Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap Stakes

Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap Stakes · 1m5y

Official Result

Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nepal (IRE) Jack Callan · Ivan Furtado
    18/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 3/1F
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  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Thunder Wonder silks
Thunder Wonder
Age 4 · 10-1
048359
81
82
86
4
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 4/1
Thunder Wonder has a solid profile for a gelding yet to win in his last six, with a third three starts back and a fifth two runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating ranks him second of ten, but a ninth last time out is the concern after 37 days off.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nepal silks
Nepal
Age 4 · 10-1
-81040
81
56
84
4
10-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 20/1 22/1
Nepal has a win four starts back and a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 84 ranks him third of ten. The risk is an unplaced last run, now 37 days ago, with 141 lb to carry from draw 1.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Rogue Encore silks
Rogue Encore
Age 5 · 9-13
-50906
79
83
87
5
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/4 4/1
Rogue Encore is yet to win in his last five, with a sixth last time out and nothing better than a fifth five starts back, but he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 86 tops the field against his official 79. The risk is a break of 83 days, with 139 lb to carry from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Jungle Ruler silks
Jungle Ruler
Age 3 · 9-13
432760
82
78
84
3
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 11/2 13/2
Jungle Ruler is yet to win in his last six starts, with an unplaced effort last time out and a sixth two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and was second four starts back. Back after just one day off, he carries 139 lb from stall two, and our rating of 84 sits two pounds above his official 82.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Media Legend silks
Media Legend FAV
Age 3 · 9-13
-53421
76
85
82
3
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 11/4 5/2
Winner last time out and a second two starts back, Media Legend arrives fresh from an 11-day turnaround and has run over today's trip and going, though 139 lb is a hefty burden and our rating of 82 only ranks him fifth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Matter of Britain silks
Matter of Britain
Age 3 · 9-10
2310
79
74
70
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 8/1
Unplaced last time out after a win two starts back, Matter of Britain has run over today's trip and returns after 26 days, but our rating of 70 ranks him ninth of ten, and carrying 136 lb from draw 10 off an official 79 makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
They All Know Me silks
They All Know Me
Age 4 · 9-7
180427
73
69
81
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 8/1
They All Know Me was seventh last time out, though a second two starts back and a fourth three starts back show he can run into the frame, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 133 lb from draw 5 after 29 days off, he's only one win in his last six, and our rating of 81 ranks him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Intrusively silks
Intrusively
Age 4 · 9-7
479751
68
83
81
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 10/3 5/2
Intrusively won last time out and returns just four days later, a quick turnaround, with the gelding having run over today's trip and on this going before. Our 81 rating, seventh of ten, tempers things, but the recent win marks him out as our pick.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Urban Road silks
Urban Road
Age 7 · 9-2
235009
68
45
72
7
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 18/1 28/1
Urban Road is winless in his last six and was only ninth last time out, now returning after 102 days off, so he is hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going, and a second six starts back is the best of his recent form.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Coolree silks
Coolree
Age 7 · 9-2
243731
68
57
68
7
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/1 28/1
Coolree won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he's hard to fancy as our lowest-ranked runner, ranked 10 of 10 on our figures. He carries 128 lb from stall four, and a seventh three starts back shows he can trail home too.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Thunder Wonder 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Coral
2 Nepal 25/1 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
3 Rogue Encore 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 2.75 9/2 Betfred
4 Jungle Ruler 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 7/1 Bet365
5 Media Legend 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 4.50 10/3 Bet365
6 Matter of Britain 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
7 They All Know Me 9/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 15.00 9/1 Bet365
8 Intrusively 3/1 open 4.33 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365
9 Urban Road 33/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 50/1 Paddy Power
10 Coolree 28/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Media Legend

Speculative

Media Legend owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Harry Charlton Lewis Edmunds
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Encore

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Peter Chapple-Hyam
✓ Value Signal

Nepal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Ivan Furtado
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Media Legend
55.8 10/3
2 3. Rogue Encore
54.8 4/1
3 1. Thunder Wonder
54.6 9/2
4 8. Intrusively
53.0 3/1
5 4. Jungle Ruler
50.7 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rogue Encore
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 4 · 9-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-13
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-1
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-13
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-10
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rogue Encore
Confidence: Speculative

Rogue Encore (SR 83, 3/1) combines the joint-top SR in the field with an outstanding course record of W3P5 at Newcastle AW — a specialist track where course form is a genuine differentiator. The 27% market support (Mkt:in27%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race and far outweighs the 83-day absence; connections have clearly had the horse ready. The MarkMv:-5 drop means he runs off a reduced mark compared to his last win, and the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest sharpened focus. Intrusively (SR 83, 11/4), the favourite, is a real danger but carries a ClassMv:↑1 and has a DistFit:- flag at this 1m5y trip — two specific flaws Rogue Encore does not share. Each-way alternative: Thunder Wonder. Main danger: Intrusively — Intrusively (SR 83, 11/4) is the market's choice, has a course win at Newcastle (Course:W1P1), is backed 27% in (Mkt:in27%), and won last time out — if the trainer has schooled her over the extra yardage at 1m5y, the DistFit:- flag may be misleading.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads -50906 — the '0' and '6' placings suggest Rogue Encore has not been firing at his best lately, and the 83-day absence makes it harder to trust a return to peak form today.
  • Media Legend (SR:85) is the top-rated horse in the field, is fresh off 11 days, and carries identical weight at 9-13 — the primary pick does not actually hold a ratings edge over this rival.
  • Intrusively matches the in27% steaming signal and is shorter in the market at 11/4 vs 3/1, meaning the market still favours the rival despite Rogue Encore's course record.
  • Trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam runs at only 15% strike rate from a small yard of 232 runners; a stable with limited AW ammunition returning a horse after 83 days is a meaningful operational risk.
Shortlist Rogue Encore, Intrusively, Thunder Wonder, Media Legend
Each-way: Thunder Wonder Danger: Intrusively

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade