Newcastle (AW) 19:15 RESULTED
Class 6 16 Oct 2026

Today Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f14y

Official Result

Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cavallo Pazzo (IRE) Shane Gray · Daragh Bourke
    13/2
  2. 7/4F
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cavallo Pazzo silks
Cavallo Pazzo
Age 7 · 9-9
7976-8
55
56
59
7
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 4/1 11/2
Winless in his last five, with finishes of eighth, sixth, seventh, ninth and seventh, Cavallo Pazzo is a modest sort, but he has run over today's trip and returns after 29 days off. Our rating of 59 puts him top of this nine-runner field, with a speed figure of 63 to back that up, and he drops in off an official mark of 55.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Orbital Chime silks
Orbital Chime
Age 6 · 9-8
266860
54
33
57
6
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 11/1 40/1
Ranked second of nine by our rating of 57, Orbital Chime has run over today's trip and going before and sits three pounds above his official mark of 54, a strong threat on that basis. The main risk is a 99-day absence after a string of sixth and eighth-place finishes, with a second six starts back his only top-three finish.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
Hey Havana silks
Hey Havana
Age 3 · 9-7
524380
55
54
55
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 7/2 11/2
Hey Havana looks a leading threat, having been second five starts back and third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a 21-day break. The risk is a recent dip, unplaced last time out and eighth two starts back, while still yet to win in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Trais Fluors silks
Trais Fluors
Age 12 · 9-6
507618
52
54
54
12
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 9/1 11/2
Trais Fluors was a winner two starts back but was only eighth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fitness is fine after 21 days off, though 132 lb from draw 8 and an official mark of 52 leave him a midfield sort, ranked fifth of nine by our rating of 54.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Neapolitan silks
Neapolitan
Age 5 · 9-4
006-77
50
37
54
5
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 14/1 18/1
Neapolitan is a leading danger on our figures, with a speed rating of 66 and a mark of 50 that looks workable, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a 31-day break. The risk is a winless run in his last five, finishing seventh on his last two starts.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Kitaab silks
Kitaab
Age 7 · 9-2
708470
48
48
49
7
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 15/2
Kitaab is winless in his last six, with a fourth three starts back the best of a poor run, and he returns after 77 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and his official mark of 48 is modest, but it is hard to make a case for him.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Coulsty Exchange silks
Coulsty Exchange FAV
Age 4 · 9-2
7366
48
56
53
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
15/8 FCST 32/17
Coulsty Exchange is yet to win in her last four, though a third three starts back shows some ability, and two sixths since leave her midfield. Fit after 14 days off, she has run over today's trip and going, but 128 lb from stall five is a stiff ask on an official 48.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Sadiiki silks
Sadiiki
Age 5 · 9-0
70-076
40
14
33
5
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 33/1
Sadiiki is hard to fancy, winless in her last five and coming off a sixth last time out, a seventh two starts back and a seventh five starts back, with nothing to suggest a sudden jump. She has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days, but our rating ranks her last of nine.
AI verdict

SR 14 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

9
Dream Forever silks
Dream Forever
Age 3 · 8-12
001284
46
58
43
3
8-12
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 7/2 3/1
Fourth last time out and back in just 14 days, but an eighth two starts back and a win four starts back leave him patchy, and he has run over today's trip and going before without that being a standout. Our rating of 42 ranks him eighth of nine, so he is hard to fancy from stall 9.
AI verdict

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cavallo Pazzo 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
2 Orbital Chime 40/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Hey Havana 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Trais Fluors 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Neapolitan 22/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Kitaab 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
7 Coulsty Exchange 15/8 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 Paddy Power
8 Sadiiki 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Dream Forever 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Coulsty Exchange

Speculative

Coulsty Exchange owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Iain Jardine Andrew Mullen
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dream Forever

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Jedd O'Keeffe
✓ Value Signal

Orbital Chime

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Helen Cuthbert
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
27 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Coulsty Exchange
53.5 15/8
2 9. Dream Forever
48.8 3/1
3 1. Cavallo Pazzo
44.6 6/1
4 3. Hey Havana
42.4 6/1
5 4. Trais Fluors
42.3 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cavallo Pazzo
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-2
15/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 12 · 9-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cavallo Pazzo
Confidence: Speculative

Cavallo Pazzo (SR:56, 4/1) is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Coulsty Exchange and Dream Forever, but carries only 9-9 and has been dramatically cut from its opening price — a 16% market move inward on a 9-runner Class 6 handicap is a strong stable signal. The MarkMv:-17 is the most significant drop in the field, meaning connections are running him off a mark 17lb lower than his last win, which represents a genuine opportunity to exploit. The Shane Gray booking (15% career strike rate, 977 runners) is solid for this level. DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are negatives, but the combination of SR leadership, the substantial mark reduction, and the aggressive market move outweigh those concerns in a weak Class 6 field. Each-way alternative: Dream Forever. Main danger: Dream Forever — Dream Forever (SR:58, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner, carries the lightest weight at 8-12 giving it a real pounds advantage, has been backed 15% inward, and the form string of 001284 shows a horse that has been competitive recently — the biggest threat to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 7976-8 — five consecutive finishes outside the places, including a last-time-out 8th; no win in this sequence and no obvious bounce-back trigger visible in the data.
  • DistFit:- and GoingFit:- both flagged negative; Newcastle AW Tapeta has specific surface demands and if this horse has a poor fit, the -17lb mark reduction may simply reflect connections acknowledgin…
  • Dream Forever (SR:58, 7/2) holds a higher SR, is trained by the sharper Jedd O'Keeffe yard (14% strike rate vs Bourke's 11%), has also been market-supported (in 15%), and crucially has a positive rec…
  • At 7 years old and running off what is effectively a career-low mark, the -17 MarkMv could signal physical regression rather than a handicap opportunity — age-related decline is a concrete reason for…
Shortlist Cavallo Pazzo, Dream Forever, Coulsty Exchange, Trais Fluors
Each-way: Dream Forever Danger: Dream Forever

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade