Dundalk (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
16 Oct 2026

Today BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap

BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap · 7f

Official Result

BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ocean's Breath (IRE) Colin Keane · G. M. Lyons
    2/1F
  2. 17/2
  3. 50/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Spicy Margarita silks
Spicy Margarita
Age 4 · 10-0
487097
90
55
91
4
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 50/1
Spicy Margarita is our selection on profile despite a winless recent run, having returned just 21 days ago and with experience of both today's trip and the going. She runs off 140 lb from stall 10, and the main reservation is that her last finish was a seventh.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Valiant Force silks
Valiant Force
Age 5 · 9-12
907775
88
78
96
5
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 10/1
Valiant Force steps up from a fifth last time out just 14 days ago, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 96 ranks him first of 13, so he looks a leading threat from draw 2. The risk is a winless run in his last six starts, with three sevenths in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Ocean's Breath silks
Ocean's Breath FAV
Age 3 · 9-11
4-1913
89
96
89
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 5/2 31/19
Third last time out, and a winner two starts back, Ocean's Breath has won twice in his last five and has run over today's trip and going, but 104 days off the track and 137 lb from stall nine temper the appeal, while our rating of 89 ranks him fifth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Frescobaldi silks
Frescobaldi
Age 3 · 9-9
3-5060
87
58
88
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 33/1 18/1
Frescobaldi is winless in his last five, with a sixth two starts back and a third five starts back the best of it, and he was unplaced last time out 20 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 88 is a fraction above his official 87, but 135 lb from stall five asks plenty.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

5
Howd'yadoit silks
Howd'yadoit
Age 3 · 9-9
748058
87
78
93
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/2 14/1
Howd'yadoit has run over today's trip and going before, and our ratings put him second of 13 at 93 against an official mark of 87, so he looks a real threat from stall seven; the concern is a winless run in his last six, including an eighth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Headmaster silks
Headmaster
Age 4 · 9-8
120000
84
78
87
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/1 7/1
Headmaster has gone unplaced in his last four starts, a poor run after a second five starts back and a win six starts back, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 20 days. Carrying 134 lb from stall one, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 87 ranking him eighth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
City House silks
City House
Age 5 · 9-7
407258
83
78
91
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 15/2 11/2
City House is yet to win in his last six, but a second three starts back shows he has ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 91 ranks him third of 13; the main risk is an eighth last time out just six days ago.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Exquisite Acclaim silks
Exquisite Acclaim
Age 7 · 9-6
046342
82
83
82
7
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 9/2 5/1
Exquisite Acclaim was second last time out and is back within a week, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and a tenth-ranked profile on our figures makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and carries 132 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Kindergarten silks
Kindergarten
Age 3 · 9-6
1-4665
84
67
83
3
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 9/1 22/1
Kindergarten has been slipping since a win five starts back, finishing a fourth, then a sixth, a sixth and a fifth last time, though 20 days off suits fitness and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 132 lb from stall 8, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 83 ranking her ninth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

10
Cool Azul silks
Cool Azul
Age 3 · 9-0
237120
78
83
88
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 8/1 13/2
Fresh from a run 12 days ago, Cool Azul was unplaced last time after a second two starts back and a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 88 sits well above his official 78, but ranking seventh of 13 shows the task from 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Brewing silks
Brewing
Age 7 · 8-13
223094
75
57
80
7
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 28/1
Winless in his last six, Brewing was a fourth last time out but comes back after 150 days off and has a ninth two starts back to overcome; he has run over today's trip and going, and a pair of seconds further back offer some hope, though our rating of 80 ranks him 11th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Ohailbhic silks
Ohailbhic
Age 5 · 8-12
311767
74
69
74
5
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 14/1
Ohailbhic is hard to fancy after a seventh last time out, a sixth and another seventh before that, a clear drop from back-to-back wins four and five starts back. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after seven days, but our rating of 74 ranks him 12th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Boston Benjamin silks
Boston Benjamin
Age 3 · 8-9
740-19
73
56
73
3
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 22/1 18/1
Boston Benjamin was a ninth last time out just five days ago, and with only one win in his last five starts, a winner two starts back, he looks hard to fancy as our bottom-ranked runner of 13. He has run over today's trip and going, which is about the best that can be said.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Spicy Margarita 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
2 Valiant Force 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Ocean's Breath 15/8 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 15/8 Bet365
4 Frescobaldi 22/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 22/1 Bet365
5 Howd'yadoit 14/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 Paddy Power
6 Headmaster 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 Paddy Power
7 City House 13/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
8 Exquisite Acclaim 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 Betfred
9 Kindergarten 22/1 open 10.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 28/1 Paddy Power
10 Cool Azul 15/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
11 Brewing 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Ohailbhic 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
13 Boston Benjamin 22/1 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ocean's Breath

Speculative

Ocean's Breath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 G. M. Lyons Colin Keane
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Headmaster

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Edward Lynam
✓ Value Signal

Kindergarten

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Mrs J. Harrington
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Ocean's Breath
58.8 15/8
2 6. Headmaster
52.6 7/1
3 8. Exquisite Acclaim
52.4 11/2
4 7. City House
51.7 13/2
5 2. Valiant Force
50.2 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ocean's Breath
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-11
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-6
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-7
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 8-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ocean's Breath
Confidence: Speculative

Ocean's Breath (SR 96, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field — the next best SR is 83, a gap of 13 points — and crucially is the only runner confirmed fit for both today's trip and going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+). The 104-day break is a slight query but G. M. Lyons (16%, 973 runners) is a yard that targets specific races and Colin Keane (16%, 2390 runners) is the stable's clear #1 booking over stablemate Howd'yadoit who gets Robert Whearty. The MarkMv:+5 means she runs off a slightly higher mark than at her last win, but with a 9-11 weight that still gives her a lbs edge over most rivals, and her recent 4-1-9-1-3 form at this venue (Course:W1P1) demonstrates she handles Dundalk. No other runner combines SR leadership, proven trip, proven going, and a top handler/jockey pairing. Each-way alternative: Exquisite Acclaim. Main danger: Headmaster — Headmaster (SR 78, 15/2) has steamed in 33% in the market, carries a light 9-8, GoingFit:+ confirmed, and Dylan Browne McMonagle (17%, 1730 runners) is among the sharpest jockeys in Ireland — if the market move reflects stable confidence, the tongue-tie fitting could unlock the form that produced a '2' and '1' in recent starts.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 104-day layoff is a significant absence for a 3yo filly; the 'HG:t' flag suggests she may need the run to find full fitness despite trainer targeting.
  • MarkMv:+5 means she runs off a 5lb higher mark than her last win — combined with 9-11 weight, she is conceding less to rivals than the raw weight gap implies and has yet to prove she can win off this…
  • Exquisite Acclaim (SR:83, Course:W7P16) has a massive course-specific record and is shortening in the market (in7%), suggesting on-the-day confidence that could make the SR gap less decisive on this…
  • Stable companion Howd'yadoit is the only runner beaten directly by Ocean's Breath in recent form (4-1913 vs 748058) and gets a 2lb pull in the weights at 9-9 vs 9-11, narrowing the margin if Ocean's…
Shortlist Ocean's Breath, Exquisite Acclaim, Headmaster, Cool Azul
Each-way: Exquisite Acclaim Danger: Headmaster

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting