Spicy Margarita is our selection on profile despite a winless recent run, having returned just 21 days ago and with experience of both today's trip and the going. She runs off 140 lb from stall 10, and the main reservation is that her last finish was a seventh.
Form last 6487097
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR91RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Valiant Force steps up from a fifth last time out just 14 days ago, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 96 ranks him first of 13, so he looks a leading threat from draw 2. The risk is a winless run in his last six starts, with three sevenths in that spell.
Form last 6907775
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR96RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out, and a winner two starts back, Ocean's Breath has won twice in his last five and has run over today's trip and going, but 104 days off the track and 137 lb from stall nine temper the appeal, while our rating of 89 ranks him fifth of 13.
Form last 64-1913
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR89RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Frescobaldi is winless in his last five, with a sixth two starts back and a third five starts back the best of it, and he was unplaced last time out 20 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 88 is a fraction above his official 87, but 135 lb from stall five asks plenty.
Form last 63-5060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR88RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Howd'yadoit has run over today's trip and going before, and our ratings put him second of 13 at 93 against an official mark of 87, so he looks a real threat from stall seven; the concern is a winless run in his last six, including an eighth last time out.
Form last 6748058
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR93RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Headmaster has gone unplaced in his last four starts, a poor run after a second five starts back and a win six starts back, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 20 days. Carrying 134 lb from stall one, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 87 ranking him eighth of 13.
Form last 6120000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR87RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
City House is yet to win in his last six, but a second three starts back shows he has ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 91 ranks him third of 13; the main risk is an eighth last time out just six days ago.
Form last 6407258
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR91RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Exquisite Acclaim was second last time out and is back within a week, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and a tenth-ranked profile on our figures makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and carries 132 lb from stall four.
Form last 6046342
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR82RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kindergarten has been slipping since a win five starts back, finishing a fourth, then a sixth, a sixth and a fifth last time, though 20 days off suits fitness and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 132 lb from stall 8, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 83 ranking her ninth of 13.
Form last 61-4665
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR83RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Fresh from a run 12 days ago, Cool Azul was unplaced last time after a second two starts back and a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 88 sits well above his official 78, but ranking seventh of 13 shows the task from 126 lb.
Form last 6237120
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR88RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six, Brewing was a fourth last time out but comes back after 150 days off and has a ninth two starts back to overcome; he has run over today's trip and going, and a pair of seconds further back offer some hope, though our rating of 80 ranks him 11th of 13.
Form last 6223094
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR80RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ohailbhic is hard to fancy after a seventh last time out, a sixth and another seventh before that, a clear drop from back-to-back wins four and five starts back. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after seven days, but our rating of 74 ranks him 12th of 13.
Form last 6311767
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR74RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Boston Benjamin was a ninth last time out just five days ago, and with only one win in his last five starts, a winner two starts back, he looks hard to fancy as our bottom-ranked runner of 13. He has run over today's trip and going, which is about the best that can be said.
Form last 6740-19
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR73RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ocean's Breath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8G. M. LyonsColin Keane
78%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Headmaster
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Edward Lynam✓ Value Signal
Kindergarten
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Mrs J. Harrington◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ocean's Breath (SR 96, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field — the next best SR is 83, a gap of 13 points — and crucially is the only runner confirmed fit for both today's trip and going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+). The 104-day break is a slight query but G. M. Lyons (16%, 973 runners) is a yard that targets specific races and Colin Keane (16%, 2390 runners) is the stable's clear #1 booking over stablemate Howd'yadoit who gets Robert Whearty. The MarkMv:+5 means she runs off a slightly higher mark than at her last win, but with a 9-11 weight that still gives her a lbs edge over most rivals, and her recent 4-1-9-1-3 form at this venue (Course:W1P1) demonstrates she handles Dundalk. No other runner combines SR leadership, proven trip, proven going, and a top handler/jockey pairing.
Each-way alternative: Exquisite Acclaim.
Main danger: Headmaster — Headmaster (SR 78, 15/2) has steamed in 33% in the market, carries a light 9-8, GoingFit:+ confirmed, and Dylan Browne McMonagle (17%, 1730 runners) is among the sharpest jockeys in Ireland — if the market move reflects stable confidence, the tongue-tie fitting could unlock the form that produced a '2' and '1' in recent starts.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
104-day layoff is a significant absence for a 3yo filly; the 'HG:t' flag suggests she may need the run to find full fitness despite trainer targeting.
MarkMv:+5 means she runs off a 5lb higher mark than her last win — combined with 9-11 weight, she is conceding less to rivals than the raw weight gap implies and has yet to prove she can win off this…
Exquisite Acclaim (SR:83, Course:W7P16) has a massive course-specific record and is shortening in the market (in7%), suggesting on-the-day confidence that could make the SR gap less decisive on this…
Stable companion Howd'yadoit is the only runner beaten directly by Ocean's Breath in recent form (4-1913 vs 748058) and gets a 2lb pull in the weights at 9-9 vs 9-11, narrowing the margin if Ocean's…