Redcar 15:37 RESULTED
Class 5 16 Oct 2026

Today Sam Hall Memorial Handicap Stakes

Sam Hall Memorial Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

Sam Hall Memorial Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sergeant Mayer (IRE) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler
    9/2
  2. Second Castan (GB)
    11/2
  3. 5/2F
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  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hanney Girl silks
Hanney Girl FAV
Age 3 · 9-9
944235
70
74
77
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 3/1 10/3
Hanney Girl is consistent without a win, finishing third and second in two of her last three before a fifth last time, and she's fresh enough after 16 days. She has run over today's trip and going, and our 77 is the top figure in the field; 135 lb is the one concern.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Castan silks
Castan
Age 6 · 9-9
096389
70
72
75
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 13/2 9/2
Castan's form figures look modest, but he has run over today's trip and going, and a third three starts back is his best recent effort. Our rating of 75 ranks him second of ten, so he's a genuine threat from stall one; the risk is an eighth and a ninth in his last two, the ninth last time out, 27 days ago.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Emperor's Son silks
Emperor's Son
Age 5 · 9-8
109828
69
65
72
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 15/2 6/1
Beaten in an eighth last time out, though he was second two starts back and won six starts back, and he's back quickly after 11 days having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 134 lb from draw 9, his 72 rating ranks him fifth of ten, which points to a midfield finish.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sergeant Mayer silks
Sergeant Mayer
Age 5 · 9-7
961113
68
73
68
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 7/2 9/2
Sergeant Mayer won three on the spin before a third last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is ranked eighth of ten on our figures and his 133 lb leaves him plenty to prove. Fifteen days since his last run keeps him fit, though.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
North West Gal silks
North West Gal
Age 3 · 9-7
31-595
68
44
74
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/1 28/1
North West Gal arrives with a win four starts back and a third five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, while her 74 rating ranks third of ten. The risk is a 74-day absence after a fifth and a ninth in her last two starts before that.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Moira Express silks
Moira Express
Age 3 · 9-6
4325-0
67
42
63
3
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 40/1
Moira Express is winless in her last five, unplaced last time and a fifth two starts back, though a second three starts back and a third four starts back show she can get involved. She has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 132 lb from draw 3, she is hard to fancy with our figures ranking her ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Tees Aggregates silks
Tees Aggregates
Age 4 · 9-5
170003
66
61
71
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 5/1 17/2
Tees Aggregates bounced back with a third last time out after three unplaced runs, and he has run over today's trip and going, but a lone win six starts back shows how rarely he has got his head in front lately. Our rating of 71 leaves him seventh of ten, and he carries 131 lb from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Dragon Spin silks
Dragon Spin
Age 3 · 9-4
614053
65
53
71
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 14/1
Dragon Spin was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, though she's won just once in her last six, a fifth start back being her best before that. Off 130 lb from stall five, our rating of 71 sits above her official 65, but ranking sixth of ten caps the enthusiasm.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Houndhill silks
Houndhill
Age 3 · 9-3
008143
64
74
73
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 3/1 4/1
Houndhill steps up on a solid recent profile, third last time out and a fourth two starts back after a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 31-day gap and 129 lb from stall 10, with our rating of 73 only fourth best of ten.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Wrestling Revenue silks
Wrestling Revenue
Age 5 · 8-6
007565
53
45
57
5
8-6
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 13/2 15/2
Wrestling Revenue is winless in his last six, finishing fifth last time out and no better than a fifth in that spell, so he is hard to fancy as our bottom-ranked runner of ten. He has run over today's trip and going and gets in off 118 lb from stall two, but a 34-day break offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hanney Girl 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Castan 5/1 open 19.00 5/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Coral
3 Emperor's Son 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 15/2 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 Bet365
4 Sergeant Mayer 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
5 North West Gal 28/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Paddy Power
6 Moira Express 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Tees Aggregates 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
8 Dragon Spin 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 Paddy Power
9 Houndhill 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 9/2 Bet365
10 Wrestling Revenue 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hanney Girl

Speculative

Hanney Girl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Tim Easterby Jake Dickson(5)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Houndhill

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Nigel Tinkler
✓ Value Signal

North West Gal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · John & Sean Quinn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Hanney Girl
53.1 7/2
2 9. Houndhill
52.2 9/2
3 4. Sergeant Mayer
50.0 5/1
4 2. Castan
48.8 5/1
5 7. Tees Aggregates
45.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Castan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-3
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 8-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾 —

SR 45 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Castan
Confidence: Speculative

Castan (SR:72, 9/2) has steamed in by 55% — the most aggressive market move in the race — which is a strong signal that connections are confident. He carries 9-9 but has a 4lb drop in mark since last win (MarkMv:-4), giving him a handicap edge, and his GoingFit:~ on good ground is adequate. Trainer Bryan Smart (13% strike rate, 599 runners) and jockey Paul Mulrennan (14%, 2464 runners) is a reliable booking for a yard that knows when they have a live one. The form string 096389 shows inconsistency but the market money — 55% in — argues strongly that today's conditions suit. Each-way alternative: Houndhill. Main danger: Hanney Girl — Hanney Girl (SR:74, 7/2, Mkt:in14%) matches Houndhill for SR rating, has steamed in 14%, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) — the combination of market support and easier company makes her a genuine threat to take this.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 096389 includes a '0' (last-place finish) and a '3' as best recent effort — Castan has not won since the mark that was 4lb higher, raising doubt the drop alone unlocks a win.
  • HG:p (polytrack preference) flags a potential going concern on today's good turf at Redcar — his course record shows W0P1, meaning he placed but hasn't won here.
  • Houndhill (SR:74, 4/1 fav) holds a superior Speed Rating, carries 6lb less (9-3 vs 9-9), is trained by same-yard stablemate handler Nigel Tinkler with Cieren Fallon aboard (17% strike rate), and has…
  • Sergeant Mayer's recent form 961113 shows a hat-trick of wins and is only 27% out in the market despite that red-hot sequence, suggesting race conditions may suit an in-form rival more than a horse w…
Shortlist Castan, Hanney Girl, Houndhill, Sergeant Mayer
Each-way: Houndhill Danger: Hanney Girl

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade