Uttoxeter 16:53 RESULTED
Class 5 16 Oct 2026

Today QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 1m7f168y

Official Result

QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Passing Chance (GB) Lewis Saunders · Olly Murphy
    14/1
  2. 20/1
  3. 4/9F
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Ebarayna silks
Ebarayna Non-Runner
Age 4 · 11-1
28
—
—
—
4
11-1
—
—
SP
—
1
Div Ine Glance silks
Div Ine Glance
Age 5 · 11-2
5-
—
98
108
5
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 11/2 8/1
Fifth on her latest outing, Div Ine Glance has run over today's trip and on this going before, and she's second-best on our ratings at 108 in a field of seven, so she's a leading danger. The main risk is a 223-day absence, with 156 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Harzandacassandra silks
Harzandacassandra
Age 5 · 11-2
70-
—
99
98
5
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 17/2 32/17
Our rating has her third of seven, and she has run over today's trip, but a 209-day absence is the main risk after an unplaced run last time and a seventh two starts back. She is yet to win in her last two starts and carries 156 lb.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Crystal Connemara silks
Crystal Connemara
Age 4 · 11-1
32-
—
91
94
4
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 6/1 9/1
Crystal Connemara arrives with a second last time out and a third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, so she looks a leading danger. The one risk is a 226-day absence, and she is still yet to win in recent form under 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Just Rizzo silks
Just Rizzo
Age 4 · 11-1
9-
—
56
81
4
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 50/1 150/1
Just Rizzo was ninth last time out and returns after 198 days off, so she is hard to fancy while still winless in recent form and carrying 155 lb. She has run over today's trip and on this going, which is a small positive, and our rating of 81 ranks her sixth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Madam Speaker silks
Madam Speaker FAV
Age 4 · 11-1
22-
—
121
116
4
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
8/13 FCST 1/2
Madam Speaker comes into this off back-to-back seconds, runner-up last time out and again two starts back, and she has run over today's trip, though a 209-day layoff is the one query. Our rating makes her the top-rated runner of seven despite 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mariah's Dream silks
Mariah's Dream
Age 4 · 11-1
5-
—
75
92
4
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 18/1
Mariah's Dream returns after 321 days off, having finished fifth last time out, and she is winless in her last start, which makes her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and our figures rank her fifth of seven, and she carries 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Passing Chance silks
Passing Chance
Age 4 · 11-1
—
—
95
—
4
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 5/1 15/2
Passing Chance is an unexposed debutant with no form to go on, so she is open to any amount of improvement. She carries 155 lb on her first start, and the lack of a recorded run makes her a blank canvas.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Ebarayna — — — — — — —
1 Div Ine Glance 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 14/1 William Hill
2 Harzandacassandra 3/1 open 13.00 11/4 open 9.50 15/8 open 11.00 15/8 open 11.00 5/2 open 11.00 5/2 open 11.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Crystal Connemara 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 15/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 15/1 William Hill
5 Just Rizzo 200/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 200/1 Bet365
6 Madam Speaker 8/13 open 1.67 8/13 open 1.50 1/2 open 1.57 1/2 open 1.53 4/7 4/6 open 1.57 4/6 Betfred
7 Mariah's Dream 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Passing Chance 12/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Madam Speaker

Live signal

Madam Speaker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/13 Nicky Henderson Mr Daniel Williams(7)
92% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Harzandacassandra

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
✓ Value Signal

Mariah's Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Fergal O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Madam Speaker
70.6 8/13
2 2. Harzandacassandra
57.5 3/1
3 8. Passing Chance
55.5 12/1
4 1. Div Ine Glance
52.9 12/1
5 3. Crystal Connemara
50.2 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Madam Speaker
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 11-1
8/13
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾 —

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 11-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 11-1
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 11-1
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Madam Speaker
Confidence: Medium

Madam Speaker (SR 121, 4/6) is the clear class standout — rated 22 points above the next-best Harzandacassandra (SR 99) and a full 30 points above Passing Chance (SR 95). Trained by Nicky Henderson (25% strike rate from 850 career runners), the strongest yard in the field by some margin, and dropping three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) into this Class 5 mares' bumper, which represents a significant competitive advantage. The form of 22- (two placed efforts on her last two runs) shows she has been hitting the frame consistently and comes here with a fitness edge over the more lightly-raced rivals. Yes, the 4/6 price is short, but the SR gap, the Henderson operation, and the class drop together make this a straightforward case — there is no credible rival running off a comparable profile. Each-way alternative: Harzandacassandra. Main danger: Harzandacassandra — Harzandacassandra (SR 99, 6/1) is the most market-fancied rival having steamed in 41%, suggesting stable confidence, and the trainer partnership of Killahena & McPherson hits 17% from 264 runners — the form of 70- contains a placed effort and the market move cannot be ignored.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Madam Speaker has been off the track for 209 days — a 7-month absence into a bumper where fitness is paramount and there is no hurdles/chase campaign to mask ring rust.
  • Ridden by an amateur claimer (Mr Daniel Williams, 7lb claim) rather than a senior Henderson jockey — unusual booking for a short-priced favourite and may signal the stable's true confidence level.
  • Form reads 22- meaning both placed efforts were second places, not wins — she has yet to demonstrate an ability to get her head in front when it matters.
  • Market shows no Days:in movement flagged for Madam Speaker, while Harzandacassandra is noted as drifting in 41% — if the Henderson runner were truly bombproof, firmer market support would be expected.
Shortlist Madam Speaker, Harzandacassandra, Crystal Connemara
Each-way: Harzandacassandra Danger: Harzandacassandra

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m7f168y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Uttoxeter Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade