Pedro The Poet booked a second last time out, a clear step up on the fourth and sixth before it, and returns fresh after 23 days with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating of 73 tops the field, though he is yet to win and carries 156 lb from draw 2.
Form last 6508642
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR73RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out and a third two starts back suggest Jam Lass is in decent heart, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but she is winless in her last five and carries 155 lb from draw 10. Our rating of 64 puts her sixth of 14.
Form last 696-734
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR64RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Alazwar arrives in cracking nick with back-to-back wins and a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but 45 days off and 154 lb are concerns. Our rating of 62 ranks him ninth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort from draw 12.
Form last 6900211
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR62RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sweet Kiss arrives in sound order, third last time out just eight days ago, with two seconds in her last six and experience of today's trip and going; she is yet to win in that spell, though, and 153 lb is a hefty burden to carry.
Form last 6622543
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Star Start was fourth last time out and sixth two starts back, so the form is drifting, and a quick return after four days plus a stable 0/23 in the last 14 days make him hard to fancy. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and he won five starts back.
Form last 6212064
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR61RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Boy Named Sioux sits third of 14 on our rating of 68, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while 25 days since his last run keeps him fresh. The risk is a form line of sevenths and eighths in recent starts, yet to win in his last six, with 152 lb to carry from stall six.
Form last 6579087
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR68RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Woodleigh was a fifth last time out, 13 days ago, and has just one win in his last six, a victory four starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and a second two starts back is a positive, but 151 lb from stall 1 and a 12th-of-14 ranking on our figures say plenty.
Form last 6451625
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR60RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Masekela bounced between a second two starts back and a second five starts back, and he's back after 18 days having run over today's trip and on this going before; our rating of 70 ranks him second of 14, against an official 58. The risk is an eighth last time out and 151 lb from draw 11.
Form last 62462-8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR70RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Eeetee is winless in his last five, with finishes of eighth, ninth and eighth in his last three, and he returns after 37 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating ranks him fifth of 14, but 150 lb from stall 13 is a big ask.
Form last 680-898
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR64RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Electric Arc is winless in her last three, finishing sixth last time out after a third two starts back, and our figures have her last of 14, so she's hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 27-day break is no concern, but 149 lb from stall eight is a big ask.
Form last 6836
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR47RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cosmic Man arrives with back-to-back thirds and has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last six and the yard is out of form at 1/34. Carrying 149 lb from draw 7, he looks a midfield sort on our 62 rating, ranked tenth of 14.
Form last 6908733
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR62RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kitsune Power is winless in his last six, with consecutive sixths last time and two starts back, though a third six runs ago shows he can get involved, and he's fresh enough after 13 days. He has run over today's trip and going, but 147 lb from stall 14 is a hefty burden for an official mark of 54, while our rating of 63 ranks him eighth of 14.
Form last 6340066
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR63RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Haltonwood is yet to win in his last six, though a fifth last time out and a third two starts back show he is competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 146 lb from stall 15 and ranked seventh of 14 by our rating, he looks more a place player than a winner.
Form last 6549435
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR64RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tiberio Force was beaten into seventh last time out and has just one win in his last six, a victory three starts back, with a third two starts back the only other real shining moment. He has run over today's trip and going and is fit after 14 days, but 145 lb from draw 5 is a big ask, and our figures rank him 13th of 14.
Form last 6789137
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR56RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sweet Kiss owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Tim EasterbyMiss Amy Collier
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pedro The Poet
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Nicky Richards✓ Value Signal
Masekela
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · James Moffatt◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jam Lass (SR:63, 13/2) is the standout market mover in the field — a 36% steam since opening is the strongest money signal in the race, matching only Eeetee at 20/1 which is far less credible. She drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), has a course win and place to her name (Course:W1P1), and shows moderate distance and going fit (DistFit:~, GoingFit:~) which at least does not flag active problems. Her form string 96-734 is not flashy but the drop in class and the significant market confidence are pointing in the same direction. The mark is up 2lb from her last win (MarkMv:+2), which is a mild concern, but the class relief and sustained market move override that.
Each-way alternative: Sweet Kiss.
Main danger: Sweet Kiss — Sweet Kiss (SR:67, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed 19% in the market, drops a class, and has two places at Redcar (Course:W0P2) — the combination of top SR, market confidence and course familiarity makes her the most likely alternative winner, and the amateur jockey Miss Amy Collier carries a 18% strike rate which is strong for this sphere.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 96-734 shows no finish better than 3rd in recent runs, with a 9 and 6 among the figures — she has not threatened to win for some time despite the class drop already being factored in prev…
Sweet Kiss (4/1) carries a higher SR of 67 vs Jam Lass's 63, is ridden by a jockey striking at 18%, has placed twice at Redcar, and is backed in 19% herself — the market leader makes a stronger empir…
Amateur jockey Mr Joshua Brown has only 7 rides recorded in this data with no visible win strike-rate listed, a material negative in a competitive 14-runner handicap where jockeyship can be decisive.
Woodleigh has won 3 times and placed 5 times at Redcar — by far the deepest course form in the field — and at 9/1 is drifting only mildly, representing an underrated course specialist threat at this…