Unplaced in each of his last five starts, King's Call has run over today's trip and on this going and returns fresh after 20 days; our rating of 76 ranks him top of 13, but the main risk is that he is yet to show any recent form.
Form last 60-0090
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Mr Cool arrives fit after a second last time out ten days ago, with two wins in his last six starts and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before. Carrying 138 lb from stall 12, the main risk is that weight, which leaves him little room for error.
Form last 6131302
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ingleby Archie arrives fresh from a second last time out just 15 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, so he is a leading threat from stall one. The main risk is consistency, as a seventh and an eighth sit in his last four runs.
Form last 6135872
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sugar Baby has been out of the frame lately, unplaced last time out, a fifth two starts back, and a seventh three starts back, though he did win five starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 135 lb from stall four after 31 days off, he's sixth of 13 on our rating of 67.
Form last 6510750
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR67RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
You Will See has slipped from a second four starts back to a seventh last time out, and he is winless in his last four, which makes him hard to fancy on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 20 days, but carrying 134 lb from stall eight, he rates tenth of 13 by our numbers.
Form last 62567
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR64RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Bravo Hotel was fourth last time out, and he has been placed in two of his last five, a third four starts back and another third five back, though he is yet to win in that spell. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 68 ranks him fifth of 13, but 133 lb from stall 7 leaves little margin.
Form last 633-504
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR68RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Wodao has been running into mid-field finishes, a sixth last time out and a fifth five starts back, but he's fresh after 32 days off and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 73 sits well clear of his official 62, which makes him our pick off 130 lb, though he is yet to win in his last five.
Form last 65-9696
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR73RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Taygar is winless in her last six, though a second two starts back shows she can still go close, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Back in just four days, with the yard 0/29 lately, she's a midfield type from draw 2 off 129 lb.
Form last 6269920
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR64RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fifth last time out and a winner two starts back, Showtime Mahomes is fit enough after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going, but a single win in his last six starts and 129 lb from stall 11 temper enthusiasm; our rating of 65 ranks him eighth of 13.
Form last 6050315
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR65RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mayo County is hard to fancy, ranked 11 of 13 on our figures and with a trainer 0/21 in the last 14 days, though two thirds in her last two starts and a win five starts back show she's not hopeless. She has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 14 days.
Form last 6314033
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR62RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Run This Way arrives in solid recent form, second last time out and with a win six starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Fresh enough after 20 days, she's held back by a sixth two starts back and a seventh-ranked rating of 66 in a field of 13.
Form last 6143362
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR66RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hurstwood won two starts back and three starts back before a fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him 12th of 13. Carrying 125 lb from draw 6 after 20 days off, he looks short of the speed to make an impact.
Form last 6047114
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR60RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hares Bredth is winless in his last six, finishing sixth last time out and no better than a third four starts back, so he is hard to fancy at the foot of our ranking. He has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after six days, but that is thin support.
Form last 6763686
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
39SR55RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ingleby Archie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Adrian NichollsJack Garritty
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mayo County
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Julie Camacho✓ Value Signal
You Will See
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Iain Jardine◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ingleby Archie (SR:71, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a manageable 9-11, only 1lb more than joint-topweight Mr Cool. His Course:W1P2 record at Redcar is a meaningful advantage on a track that often favours course specialists, and his MarkMv:-1 means he runs off a mark 1lb lower than his last win — a slight handicapper's edge. The market has backed him in 8% since opening, while the favourite Mr Cool (SR:74 by the broader line but SR:71 here — second in the field) has drifted 19%, a clear signal that the money is moving away from Johnston's runner. Ingleby Archie's recent 2 at the finish in a form string of 135872 shows a return to form, and trainer Adrian Nicholls at 13% strike rate is consistent.
Each-way alternative: Mayo County.
Main danger: Mayo County — Mayo County (SR:64, 11/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2, has an outstanding Course:W2P5 record at Redcar, and the market has backed him in 16% — the combination of course form and market confidence on a track where he clearly goes well makes him the most likely horse to beat the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 135872 contains two poor runs (8th, 7th) before the recent 2nd — the bounce-back may be fragile, and a single placed effort does not confirm a full return to form.
Mayo County (SR:64, Course:W2P5) and Hurstwood (SR:64, Course:W5P6) both carry significantly lower weight (9-2 and 8-13) and have stronger course records; Hurstwood's five Redcar wins is a major spec…
Ingleby Archie's SR:71 is listed but Mr Cool's broader SR:74 suggests on raw ability the Johnston runner may be superior — the market drift on Mr Cool could reflect a negative draw or ground concern…
Jack Garritty's 11% strike rate is modest, and Adrian Nicholls at 13% with a small yard (499 runs) offers limited depth of confidence against Johnston's 13% from 2,574 runs — a meaningfully larger da…
ShortlistIngleby Archie, Mr Cool, Mayo County, Hurstwood