Wexford 16:40 RESULTED
25 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m1f110y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Socrates Smiled (IRE) Mr A P Ryan · A. Slattery
    5/6F
  2. 13/2
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
B U Train silks
B U Train
Age 5 · 11-11
—
—
86
—
5
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 13/2
B U Train is unraced on our figures, so she arrives a blank canvas and plenty remains open to improvement. She carries 165 lb on debut, and with nothing to go on yet she is best judged on what she shows here.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Back In Favour silks
Back In Favour
Age 5 · 11-11
1-8330
—
76
92
5
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 FCST 14/1
Back In Favour is a leading danger, having made the frame in two of her last three starts, a third two starts back and another three starts back, after winning five starts back, and she's fit after just 12 days off. The main risk is an unplaced run last time out, while 165 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Better Be Elusive silks
Better Be Elusive
Age 5 · 11-11
0-
—
68
—
5
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 40/1 150/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Better Be Elusive was unplaced on her only recent start and returns after 316 days off, so fitness is the question. Winless in that sole run, she carries 165 lb and may have more to offer.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Certavi Et Vici silks
Certavi Et Vici
Age 5 · 11-11
3
—
92
93
5
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 13/2
Certavi Et Vici arrives fit enough after a third last time out 30 days ago, and she is yet to win in her last start but ranks second of 11 on our rating, making her a leading threat. The main risk is the 165 lb she must carry.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Payslip silks
Payslip
Age 5 · 11-11
22-2
—
100
101
5
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 5/2 32/17
Payslip has finished second in each of her last three starts, a consistent run that makes her the one to beat, and she tops our ratings at 101 on 165 lb. The only reservation is a 103-day layoff, though she remains yet to win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Slaney Valley silks
Slaney Valley
Age 6 · 11-11
P
—
66
—
6
11-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
150/1 50/1 125/1
Slaney Valley is unexposed and open to improvement, with just one recent run on her card, when she was pulled up 79 days ago. She is yet to win in that sample and carries 165 lb, so she needs to bounce back from that setback.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

7
Itsasham silks
Itsasham
Age 4 · 11-10
—
—
69
—
4
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 40/1 50/1
Itsasham is an unexposed filly with no recorded form to lean on, so she's one to learn about on the day, and she shoulders 164 lb. Lightly raced, she's open to improvement, though there's nothing on the page yet to prove it.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Lake Pippaway silks
Lake Pippaway
Age 4 · 11-10
PU-67
—
69
—
4
11-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 40/1 28/1
Lake Pippaway is lightly raced and yet to win, but she showed more in a sixth two starts back before a seventh last time out, and a 48-day break could help her. Carrying 164 lb, she remains unexposed and open to improvement.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Lest Ye Forget silks
Lest Ye Forget
Age 4 · 11-10
5-
—
80
88
4
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 11/1
Fifth on her only recent start and she has had a long break, but she has run on today's going before and our rating of 88 ranks her fourth of 11, which makes her a leading danger. The main risk is fitness, with 295 days since her last run and 164 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Morning Rose silks
Morning Rose
Age 4 · 11-10
—
—
94
—
4
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 32/17 8/1
Morning Rose is unraced, so she's a blank canvas with no form to lean on and plenty of scope for improvement. She carries 164 lb on debut, and this unexposed filly will have to show what she can do.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Socrates Smiled silks
Socrates Smiled FAV
Age 4 · 11-10
—
—
97
—
4
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/6 5/2 2/3
Socrates Smiled is an unraced filly with no form to assess, so she's a pure unknown on debut. Carrying 164 lb, she's wide open to improvement and plenty remains to be learned about her.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 B U Train 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 9/1 William Hill
2 Back In Favour 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Better Be Elusive 200/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 41.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 200/1 Bet365
4 Certavi Et Vici 8/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 7/1 17/2 William Hill
5 Payslip 5/2 2/1 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 5/2 2/1 open 3.50 5/2 Bet365
6 Slaney Valley 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 Bet365
7 Itsasham 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
8 Lake Pippaway 33/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Lest Ye Forget 14/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Morning Rose 9/1 open 3.50 8/1 open 2.88 8/1 open 3.25 8/1 open 3.25 17/2 open 3.00 17/2 open 3.25 9/1 Bet365
11 Socrates Smiled 5/6 open 3.75 4/5 open 5.00 8/11 open 3.75 8/11 open 3.75 4/6 open 3.50 4/5 open 3.75 5/6 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Socrates Smiled

Live signal

Socrates Smiled owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/6 A. Slattery Mr A P Ryan(3)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Payslip

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Gavin Cromwell
✓ Value Signal

Itsasham

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · M A Cahill
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Socrates Smiled
60.9 5/6
2 5. Payslip
59.8 5/2
3 10. Morning Rose
54.4 9/1
4 1. B U Train
53.3 17/2
5 4. Certavi Et Vici
51.0 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Payslip
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 4 · 11-10
5/6
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 11-11
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 11-11
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 11-11
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 11-10
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 11-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Payslip
Confidence: Speculative

Payslip (SR:100, 5/2) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and is the only runner with a meaningful form record in competitive company — three second-place finishes (Form:22-2) demonstrates consistent ability to run to a high level without winning, suggesting she is well-placed to convert in a mares' bumper of this class. Gavin Cromwell (11% strike rate across 3,242 runners) is a serious handler for this type of race, and Mr D G Lavery at 12% on 176 rides is a competent amateur. The 103-day absence is a minor concern but Cromwell routinely produces horses fit fresh. Against the two dangers — Socrates Smiled (SR:97, 11/4) and Certavi Et Vici (SR:92, 11/2) — Payslip's advantage is proven racecourse form: those three rivals are all unraced (Form:------) or have only one bumper start, making Payslip's 22-2 form line a material edge when conditions are soft and experience matters. Each-way alternative: Certavi Et Vici. Main danger: Socrates Smiled — Socrates Smiled (SR:97, 11/4) has the second-highest SR, carries the lightest weight in the top group (11-10), is backed (Mkt:in6%), and A. Slattery's 11% strike rate across a large sample of 1,609 runners signals a stable that knows when to send a bumper horse out ready to run.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Payslip's form reads 22-2 — three runner-up finishes with no win; she has a demonstrated pattern of finding one too good and may be a serial bridesmaid, particularly worrying at 5/2 in a field she 's…
  • 103-day absence is non-trivial for a mare with a headgear flag (h) whose trainer strikes at only 11% — no market support (no 'in' movement shown) to suggest connections are confident she's spot-on.
  • Morning Rose (SR:94, 10/3) is trained by Emmet Mullins (14% strike rate, 669 runners) with Mr J L Gleeson aboard at 19% on 356 rides — a significantly stronger trainer/jockey combination than Payslip…
  • Socrates Smiled (SR:97, 11/4) is drifting only marginally and is trained by A. Slattery (11%, 1,609 runners) with Mr A P Ryan (14%, 269 rides) — a well-supported, well-connected debutante from a high…
Shortlist Payslip, Socrates Smiled, Certavi Et Vici, Lest Ye Forget
Each-way: Certavi Et Vici Danger: Socrates Smiled

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f110y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Wexford Track and setting