Keable has won twice in his last five starts, a first two starts back and another five back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. The main risk is a 225-day layoff, with an unplaced run last time out and 169 lb to carry.
Form last 613610-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
111SR131RPR131OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out and a winner three starts back, he has run over today's trip and going, and a 30-day break shouldn't be an issue. Against that, he's unplaced two starts back and carries 168 lb off 130, while our rating of 128 ranks him only seventh of 13.
Form last 6721-03
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
114SR128RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Molto Bene has finished second in each of her last four starts, after a win five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Against that, she's off 194 days and carries 164 lb, which may blunt a sharpish edge in this midfield-ranked profile.
Form last 612222-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
119SR130RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 119 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Walking On Air arrives winless in his last five, though a fourth last time out and a second four starts back show he can still run well, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our top-rated runner at 138, he is the one to beat despite a 155-day absence.
Form last 6P2F-54
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
90SR138RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Lihyan has run over today's trip and going, and a win five starts back shows the ability, while our 131 rating ranks him second of 13 and he carries 164 lb off an official 126. The main risk is a quick turnaround, back after just one day with an unplaced run last time out.
Form last 617-460
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
102SR131RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Western Monkey won his last two starts and has run over today's trip and going, but he returns after 326 days off and carries 163 lb off a mark of 125, so our figures leave him tenth of 13.
Form last 611-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
117SR115RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ile de Jersey has a decent profile, with a win three starts back and a second and third before that, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 316-day absence, with a pulled-up effort last time out and 163 lb to carry.
Form last 63216P-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
110SR130RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brookside La arrives fresh from a win last time out, 18 days ago, with a third two starts back and another third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 157 lb off 119, he looks held back by our ranking of ninth of 13 on a rating of 116.
Form last 64133-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
122SR117RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Masked Dance has run over today's trip and on this going, with a win five starts back and a pair of seconds before that, but she has tailed off with a sixth and a fifth since. A 163-day absence and 156 lb on an official mark of 118 temper enthusiasm, and our rating of 124 only ranks her eighth of 13.
Form last 61226-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR124RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pulled up last time out, but Some Scope was second two and three starts back and has run over today's trip and going; a 193-day absence and 154 lb are the hurdles, though our rating of 128 ranks him sixth of 13.
Form last 61022P-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR129RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unseated last time out and a seventh two starts back, so Azahara Palace arrives in poor form, with her last win five starts ago and 38 days off. She has run on today's going and a second three starts back is a positive, but carrying 150 lb is hard to overlook.
Form last 61527U-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
87SR115RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Crack Ops has been admirably consistent, second last time out, a winner two starts back, and placed in each of his last five runs, and he has run on today's going before. Our rating still ranks him 12th of 13, and he carries 142 lb.
Form last 6322-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
115SR112RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Keep On Cobbling has been in the frame in her last three runs, third last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, but 155 days off is a concern, and she carries 142 lb. She has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her last of 13.
Form last 61632-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR106RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Brookside La owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Dan SkeltonHarry Atkins(3)
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Western Monkey
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Harry Derham✓ Value Signal
Walking On Air
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Gary Brown◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Brookside La (SR 122, 2/1) is the top-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a relatively light 11-3 — a significant weight advantage over Keable (12-1) and Serious Chat (12-0). The form string 4133-1 shows a last-time-out win just 18 days ago, confirming peak fitness, and Dan Skelton's 22% career strike rate from 2,668 runners is the strongest training operation in this field by some distance. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 9lb higher than last win are the two genuine concerns, but the SR lead of 3+ points over the next-best (Molto Bene at 119) and the light weight assignment mean Brookside La retains a meaningful edge even accounting for those factors. The market at 2/1 reflects genuine confidence and there is no drift to explain away.
Each-way alternative: Crack Ops.
Main danger: Crack Ops — Crack Ops (SR 115, 7/1) has steamed in 14% in the market, carries a feather 10-2, and the form 322-12 shows genuine consistency with a recent win — if the unexposed 4-year-old handles the step up in class and the going, the light weight makes it the most dangerous alternative.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Brookside La's official mark is 9lb higher than when winning last time out — a significant jump that means the handicapper has had a sharp say and the horse must now prove it can match that form unde…
The step up in class (ClassMv ↑1) combined with a +9 MarkMv creates a dual compounding burden; the last-time-out win came at a lower grade and the form may not translate at this level.
Apprentice jockey Harry Atkins (5lb claimer, 12% strike rate, 155 rides) loses his claim at this weight, meaning Brookside La effectively carries more than the card shows — a meaningful factor in a c…
Western Monkey (SR:117, 11/2) is a lightly raced 7yo on a form string of 11- trained by Harry Derham (20% strike rate) and is shortening in the market, suggesting market confidence in an unexposed ri…
ShortlistBrookside La, Crack Ops, Western Monkey, Keep On Cobbling