Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Moore Brion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (90) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
8/15Olly MurphySean Bowen
85%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Running Happy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Seamus Mullins✓ Value Signal
Mags Ocean
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Dan Skelton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Moore Brion (SR 162, 4/5) is in a class of his own — a 3-point SR gap over the next-best Running Happy (SR 159) and a 39-point gap over the bulk of the field. His form reads 1-1 in his two completed starts, he has course form (Course:W1P1 at Market Rasen), and the market has firmed 6% since opening, suggesting stable confidence despite a 211-day absence. Trainer Olly Murphy strikes at 23% and Sean Bowen at 24%, a formidable combination. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is the only flag, but with an SR this far clear of the field in a Class 4 maiden, he simply does not need to improve to win.
Each-way alternative: Running Happy.
Main danger: Running Happy — Running Happy (SR 159, 11/4) has steamed in 32% since opening — the biggest market move in the race — and his 1-2 form with a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) makes him the only horse whose SR is genuinely in the same conversation as Moore Brion's.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
211-day absence is a significant fitness question — Moore Brion has only two career starts and returns from a lay-off of nearly 7 months into a class rise, with no indication of racecourse prep run.
Step up to Class 4 from lower grade means today is his stiffest test yet; his SR of 162 was built in easier company and may not fully translate here.
Running Happy (SR 159, Mkt:in32%) is firming hard in the market — a 32% move in suggests strong confidence in a rival who is only 3 SR points behind and carries less fitness risk having run more rece…
ShortlistMoore Brion, Running Happy, Kaldoun des Rocs