Arctic Piper bounced back with a third last time out, but she is winless in her last five and had a ninth two starts back, a ninth four back and a fall five back. Quick back up after 12 days and has run over this trip and going, yet 140 lb is a big ask and our figures rank her last of 14.
Form last 6-F9093
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR94RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Club Manager arrives with a fourth last time out and a second two starts back, fresh enough after 24 days, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in recent starts and carrying 166 lb, but our rating of 115 puts him top of the 14 and the one to beat.
Form last 672824-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR115RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
River Vale won last time out and has run over today's trip and on this going, while a fourth two starts back backs that up for a gelding carrying 164 lb. The main risk is a 202-day absence, which leaves fitness a question.
Form last 68DF41-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR111RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jumbos Jet won last time out and was second and third in the two runs before, but she returns after 164 days off, carries 160 lb, and our figures rank her 13th of 14. She has run over today's trip and going, which is something in her favour.
Form last 6632-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR98RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Quick back-up run after a sixth last time out is a slight concern, but Crowsatedappletart has run over today's trip and going, won five starts back, and our rating of 114 ranks him second of 14, well clear of his official 102. The main risk is 158 lb on a patchy recent run.
Form last 6-165P6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR114RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Qaasid won three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 107 ranks him fourth of 14 and sits above his official 102. The risk is a poor recent book, pulled up last time out and 115 days off, with 158 lb to carry.
Form last 60S-10P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
74SR107RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Cathryns Ruby has been consistent, with a third two starts back and another third three starts back, but she is winless in her last five and was only sixth last time out. A 235-day layoff and 157 lb are concerns, though she has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 644336-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR102RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rathbawn Soldier won two starts back before being brought down last time, but she returns after 218 days off and was unplaced in the three runs before that win. She has run over today's trip and carries 157 lb, while our rating ranks her seventh of 14.
Form last 60001B-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
80SR103RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Albatala is yet to win in her last five starts, though she finished second last time out and has two other runner-up efforts in that spell, but a pulled up and an unplaced run in between make her hard to trust. She has run over today's trip, but 155 lb is a big burden, and our rating of 98 ranks her 12th of 14.
Form last 622P0/2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR98RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Chosen Shant has been well held since her win five starts back, with a third three starts back the best of her last three runs, and she carries 153 lb, which makes her hard to fancy. She is fresh enough after 14 days and has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank her 11th of 14.
Form last 6516364
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR99RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Land Of Punt has run over today's trip and going and was third twice before a sixth and an eighth last time out, so he is yet to win in recent starts and on a downward curve. Fitness is no issue after 24 days, but 151 lb is a big burden, though our rating of 107 sits well above his official 95.
Form last 6533-68
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR107RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prince Inger returns after 443 days off, having finished seventh last time out and in a seventh and a fifth in his previous runs, and he is yet to win in his last four starts. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 101 sits above his official 95, but the long layoff, 151 lb and a yard 0/23 recently temper the appeal.
Form last 6570/7-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR101RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Jay Jay Zee is winless in his last four, unplaced last time out and again two starts back, with a faller three starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 19 days. Our rating of 106 sits well above his official 94, but 150 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 60/F-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR106RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
You Done Well has been pulled up in two of his last three outings, though a sixth two starts back and a pair of thirds before that show he has some ability. He has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in recent form and carries 148 lb off 92.
Form last 6433P6P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR101RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Esticky End won two starts back and three starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and has just had a quick turnaround, only six days ago. Our rating has him an outsider, and 143 lb off an official 87 is a tall order, though he has run over today's trip.
Form last 67P2110
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR80RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Club Manager owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Ross O'SullivanShane O'Callaghan(3)
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jumbos Jet
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · W J Martin✓ Value Signal
Jay Jay Zee
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Charlie Keegan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Crowsatedappletart (SR:86, 12/1) is the most compelling case in a messy 15-runner soft-ground handicap. The horse carries 11-4 off a mark that has dropped 15lb since last win — the most generous mark movement in the field — and pairs that with Course:W3P3, the strongest course record among all 15 runners at Wexford. GoingFit:~ confirms adequate soft-ground credentials. The Mkt:in20% move is meaningful given that trainer M Winters runs two horses here and has clearly fired the stable ammunition at Crowsatedappletart over River Vale (Mkt:out39%, 202 days off, different jockey). Mike O'Connor takes the ride and at 12/1 there is genuine each-way value attached to a horse with three course wins, a 15lb drop in mark, and market support.
Each-way alternative: Club Manager.
Main danger: Club Manager — Club Manager (SR:96, top SR in field, 13/2, Mkt:in19%) has the strongest ability rating, course place form (W0P2), and is being backed — if the MarkMv:+6 penalty is manageable, the SR edge and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner despite carrying 11-12.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Trainer M Winters has a 0% strike rate from 22 runners — the worst trainer stat in the field — making the stable support harder to trust regardless of market move.
Recent form reads -165P6: a pulled-up and a 6th in the last two completed starts; the 15lb mark drop reflects a horse the handicapper has already conceded is regressing, not improving.
HG:tp (tongue-tie and cheekpieces) suggests the horse has already needed significant headgear intervention to be competitive; the equipment combination is already in place so there is no fresh stimul…
Chosen Shant (#9) matches the identical Course:W3P3 record at Wexford, races off a lower weight (10-13 vs 11-4), and has shown consistently more recent form (516364) — a direct rival with the same co…
ShortlistCrowsatedappletart, Club Manager, Jumbos Jet, Land Of Punt