Matata won five starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, while carrying 166 lb off an official mark of 155 and rated second of 13 by us at 160. The big risk is a 190-day absence after a fall last time out and a pulled up before that.
Form last 6155PF-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR160RPR155OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Master Chewy has run over today's trip and going before, and a second three starts back shows he can be competitive, though he's winless in his last five and returns after 227 days off. Our pick on overall profile, he carries 163 lb off an official rating of 152.
Form last 647256-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
144SR160RPR152OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hitman is a leading threat, with a win four starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our ratings have him top of 13, and 161 sits above his official 152. The main risk is a 198-day absence after a fall last time out and a pulled up before that.
Form last 6/13PF-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
138SR161RPR152OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wendigo won twice in his last five starts, including three starts back, but he was sixth last time out after a fall, and he returns from 198 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and carries 158 lb, while our rating of 146 leaves him seventh of 13.
Form last 6131F6-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
138SR146RPR147OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Two wins in his last five starts, including a third-start-back success, but he was only sixth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 11 days. Carrying 157 lb off 146 and ranked ninth of 13 by our rating, he looks more midfield than match-winner.
Form last 61-2136
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
115SR145RPR146OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 115 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Teddy Blue was third last time out, and has a win three starts back, but a pulled up two starts back and 183 days off the track make him hard to fancy under 155 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank him tenth of thirteen.
Form last 6531P3-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR143RPR144OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Matterhorn's form is patchy, with a seventh last time out and two pulled-up efforts in his last five, though he did score five starts back and was second three starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, is back quickly after 11 days, and has a yard in form, but 154 lb is a big weight to carry.
Form last 61P2P-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
108SR148RPR143OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Boombawn comes here fresh from a sixth last time out just 15 days ago, has run over today's trip and going, and is in the hands of a yard landing 22 from 86 lately, while our rating of 153 sits well clear of his official 143. The risk is a winless recent run of finishes no better than sixth, plus 154 lb on his back.
Form last 68098-6
★AI Rating★★★★☆
141SR153RPR143OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Imperial Saint won three starts back but has been a sixth-form shadow since, finishing eighth two starts back and unplaced last time, and now returns after 197 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, though 154 lb is a big burden and our rating of 146 ranks him only eighth of 13.
Form last 656180-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
134SR146RPR143OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prairie Wolf won last time out and two starts back, so the form is hard to knock, but he returns after 218 days off and carries 153 lb off an official mark of 142. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him 11th of 13.
Form last 631911-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
133SR142RPR142OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Etalon was pulled up last time out, though that follows a third and a fifth in his previous efforts, and he's back quickly after 11 days. He has run over today's trip and going, and the in-form yard helps, but he's winless in his last five and carries 152 lb.
Form last 634-35P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
109SR148RPR141OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bluey's recent form reads well, winning last time out and three starts back with seconds in between, and she has run over today's trip and going. However, 194 days off, 147 lb and a 13th-of-13 ranking on our figures make her hard to fancy.
Form last 642121-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
140SR134RPR136OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Insurrection is winless in his last four, though he was third last time out and a third four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 192-day absence and a 12th-of-13 ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy under 146 lb.
Form last 6/3803-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR140RPR135OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Master Chewy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (80) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Wendigo (SR 138, 4/1, 11-4) is the most compelling package in this Grade 2. The market has steamed in 26% — the strongest move in the field — validating the form case. He carries a manageable 11-4 against a GoingFit:+ on good-to-soft, DistFit:+ proven at this trip, and arrives off an unchanged mark (MarkMv:=) following a sequence that includes a win and two placed efforts. Jamie Snowden runs at a 26% career strike rate, and Gavin Sheehan at 23% — both among the strongest connections in the race. The favourite Boombawn (SR 141, 10/3) has a GoingFit:- flag, is running off a mark 8lb above his last win, and his recent form reads 8-0-9-8-6 — a horse in poor order whose market position likely reflects yard reputation rather than live form signals.
Each-way alternative: Bluey.
Main danger: Bluey — Bluey (SR 140, 7/1, 10-7) has steamed in 28%, carries the lightest weight of the leading group, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed, and a recent form string of 4-2-1-2-1 showing a horse in progressive form — the weight and going advantages are real threats to Wendigo.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Wendigo's form reads 131F6- — the fall and then a '6' (beaten finish) in his last two starts raises a fitness/confidence question after 198 days off; he has not hit the track since spring.
SR 138 ties him with Hitman but sits 3lb below favourite Boombawn (SR 141) and 6lb below Master Chewy (SR 144) on ratings — he is not the highest-rated horse despite being second favourite.
Bluey (SR 140, 7/1) has steamed in 28% — almost matching Wendigo's 26% move — is 7lb lower in the weights at 10-7, and posts a tighter recent form sequence (42121-), representing a serious unexposed…
A 198-day layoff into a Grade 2 at Aintree is a significant fitness ask; Jamie Snowden's runners returning from 6+ months off show no particular first-time-out edge to justify confidence at 4/1.