Book Boxing Day At Market Rasen Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race) · 2m0f125y
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 72 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 72 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Don Dandy | 4/5 open 1.25 | 8/11 open 1.40 | 8/11 open 1.33 | 8/11 open 1.33 | 8/11 open 1.40 | 5/6 open 1.33 | 5/6 Betfred |
| 2 Contemplation | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Elm Creek | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Minella Buoy | 9/4 open 9.50 | 9/4 open 8.50 | 6/4 open 8.00 | 6/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 8.00 | 9/4 open 8.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Ollierob | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 See Blue | 5/1 open 8.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 16/5 open 7.50 | 16/5 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Solar Jet | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Don Dandy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (75) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Don Dandy (SR 135, 8/13) is the class standout by a significant margin — a 22-point SR gap over the next-best Minella Buoy (SR 113) is substantial at this level. Olly Murphy (23% strike rate, 1,844 runners) is a high-calibre yard and Sean Bowen (24%, 2,445 runners) is one of the top jockeys in the sport — this is a serious booking. The 22% market drift is a genuine concern and cannot be ignored, but at 8/13 there is still heavy market support in absolute terms; the drift likely reflects the unproven nature of the horse over hurdles and on this ground (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) rather than a specific negative piece of work. The SR advantage is so large relative to the competition that even with those unknowns, Don Dandy is the most likely winner in a field where nothing else commands real confidence. Each-way alternative: Minella Buoy. Main danger: Minella Buoy — Minella Buoy (SR 113, 5/2) has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), a consistent form line of 2-2-2-3, has been heavily backed (Mkt:in57%) and was last seen just 35 days ago — if Don Dandy fails to handle the hurdles or the ground, Minella Buoy's consistency and distance experience make it the most likely beneficiary.