Market Rasen 16:23 RESULTED
Class 5 25 Oct 2026

Last Sunday Tractor Drivers Go Free On Agriculture Raceday 'newcomers' National Hunt Flat Race (gbb Race)

Tractor Drivers Go Free On Agriculture Raceday 'newcomers' National Hunt Flat Race (gbb Race) · 2m0f125y

Official Result

Tractor Drivers Go Free On Agriculture Raceday 'newcomers' National Hunt Flat Race (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Soviet Sailor (IRE) Daniel Sansom · Seamus Mullins
    15/2
  2. 6/4
  3. 1/1F
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Soviet Sailor silks
Soviet Sailor
Age 5 · 11-4
—
—
143
—
5
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
9/1
Soviet Sailor is unexposed on his debut, with no form to go on, so he's open to any amount of improvement. He carries 158 lb.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Beau De Maine silks
Beau De Maine
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
155
—
4
11-3
★★★★☆
—
11/8 7/2 5/4
Beau De Maine is unexposed with no recorded form to go on, so this debut is a case of seeing what he offers. He carries 157 lb, and with so little known there should be scope for improvement.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Clos Du Mouche silks
Clos Du Mouche FAV
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
156
—
4
11-3
★★★★☆
—
6/5 6/5 11/10
Unraced and unexposed, Clos Du Mouche makes his debut with plenty of scope for improvement, and he carries 157 lb. His yard is in good form, having taken 8 of its last 31 runners over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Ezenli silks
Ezenli
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
144
—
4
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 FCST 9/1
Ezenli is an unraced gelding with no recorded form, so he is totally unexposed and open to improvement. He carries 157 lb on what is a blank slate, and there is nothing yet to judge him on.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Francisco Alvares silks
Francisco Alvares
Age 4 · 11-3
—
—
150
—
4
11-3
★★★★☆
—
7/2 3/2 10/3
Unraced and open to any amount of improvement, Francisco Alvares makes his debut with a clean slate, carrying 157 lb. The gelding is an unexposed type, and his yard is in fine form, with 22 winners from 86 in the last 14 days.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Soviet Sailor 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
2 Beau De Maine 11/8 open 5.50 5/4 open 5.50 11/8 open 5.50 11/8 open 5.50 11/8 open 5.50 11/8 open 4.50 11/8 Bet365
3 Clos Du Mouche 6/5 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.63 6/5 open 2.63 6/5 open 2.63 6/5 open 2.63 6/5 6/5 Bet365
4 Ezenli 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Francisco Alvares 7/2 open 2.63 10/3 open 2.50 7/2 open 2.50 7/2 open 2.50 7/2 open 2.50 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Clos Du Mouche

High conviction

Clos Du Mouche owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Olly Murphy Sean Bowen
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Francisco Alvares

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Ezenli

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Archie Watson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Clos Du Mouche
77.1 6/5
2 5. Francisco Alvares
73.0 7/2
3 2. Beau De Maine
72.3 11/8
4 4. Ezenli
65.9 10/1
5 1. Soviet Sailor
62.3 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Clos Du Mouche
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 11-3
6/5
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 4 · 11-3
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 4 · 11-3
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 5 · 11-4
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾 —

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 11-3
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Clos Du Mouche
Confidence: Medium

Clos Du Mouche (SR 156, 11/8) leads the field on ability and carries the strongest connections profile in this race: Olly Murphy strikes at 23% career rate from 1,844 runners — the highest trainer strike rate in this field by a clear margin — and Sean Bowen at 24% from 2,445 runners is the standout jockey booking. The market has backed this horse in by 9% since opening, confirming confidence, and at 11/8 it is the shortest price for good reason. In a five-runner newcomers' bumper where all runners show blank form and unknown trip/going profiles, connections quality and SR become the primary differentiators, and this horse wins both tests. Each-way alternative: Beau De Maine. Main danger: Beau De Maine — Beau De Maine (SR 155, 3/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the race, has steamed in by 23% in the market — the biggest move of any runner — and Twiston-Davies at 14% strike rate with jockey Toby McCain-Mitchell at 17% represents a yard that clearly expects to run well.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Beau De Maine has drifted only 23% in from a longer price, suggesting stronger stable confidence than the raw SR comparison implies — Twiston-Davies at 14% from 281 runners is a decent bumper yard an…
  • Francisco Alvares is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate, 2,668 runners) — almost identical trainer quality to Olly Murphy — yet has drifted 52% out, which may reflect inside knowledge that Skelt…
  • Beau De Maine's SR of 155 is within one point of Clos Du Mouche's 156, meaning the primary differentiator collapses to connections quality alone — a razor-thin margin in a five-runner field of comple…
  • At 11/8 in a five-runner bumper of debutants, Clos Du Mouche offers poor each-way value; a single poor draw, slow away or wide trip in a small field at Market Rasen's tight track could prove costly a…
Shortlist Clos Du Mouche, Beau De Maine, Francisco Alvares
Each-way: Beau De Maine Danger: Beau De Maine

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m0f125y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade