Taurus Bay won twice in his last four starts, taking a first three starts back and another four back, and a second two starts back adds to that solid record, while he has run over today's trip and going. The risk is a 228-day absence after an unplaced run last time out, with 164 lb to carry.
Form last 6/1120-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
139SR134RPR135OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 139 backed by market confidence at 3/1 — a genuine contender.
Won last time out and again four starts back, with a second and a fourth in between, so Un Sens A La Vie arrives in cracking form after 29 days off. He has run over today's trip and going before, and while 162 lb is a hefty burden, that recent consistency makes him our pick.
Form last 62142-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
129SR130RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Klub de Reve arrives with back-to-back wins and a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 134 ranks him second of eight. The one concern is a 246-day absence, with 161 lb to carry on an official mark of 132.
Form last 6/4211-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
138SR134RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 138 backed by market confidence at 7/2 — a genuine contender.
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Dance And Glance has run over today's trip and going, but a 169-day absence and 156 lb are the hurdles for a gelding rated 128 by us, fifth of eight.
Form last 61251-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
125SR128RPR127OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
We're Red And Blue showed solid consistency before his latest unplaced run, with a second two starts back, a third three starts back and a win five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. The main risk is a 180-day absence, while 154 lb is a stiff burden.
Form last 612320-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
120SR129RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kadastral has solid recent figures, a fourth last time out, a second four starts back and a win three starts back, but he returns after 225 days off and sits seventh of eight on our rating of 121 under 154 lb. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going, and his yard is in form.
Form last 6/2124-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
127SR121RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
The Gray Ghost was second last time out and has a win four starts back, with fourths either side of that, so he is consistent, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 149 lb off a mark of 120, he looks held by a few rivals, with our rating of 123 placing him sixth of eight.
Form last 64144-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR123RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out, with a win two starts back and another four starts back, but he returns after 214 days off and carries 148 lb, so rated last of eight on our figures he is hard to fancy; having run over today's trip and going is the main plus.
Form last 661213-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR118RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Taurus Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Ben PaulingBen Jones
80%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Un Sens A La Vie
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies✓ Value Signal
The Gray Ghost
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
14/1 · Robbie Llewellyn◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Un Sens A La Vie (SR:129, 7/2, 11-8) arrives on the back of a winning last run, dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) which is a clear positive signal, and the market has steamed in 14% — the sharpest move in the field and a strong indication of informed money. Sam Twiston-Davies at 17% strike rate riding for his family yard (14%) adds professional confidence. Although running off a mark 5lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+5), the class drop more than compensates and his 11-8 weight is manageable relative to Taurus Bay's 11-10 top burden. The combination of a recent win, dropping in class, 14% market support, and competent connections is the strongest multi-signal alignment in the race.
Each-way alternative: Klub de Reve.
Main danger: Taurus Bay — Taurus Bay (SR:139, 3/1, 11-10) is the highest-rated horse in the field by one point over Klub de Reve, has also been supported (Mkt:in7%), and trainer Ben Pauling at 16% with Ben Jones in the saddle makes this a professional combination — if the 11-10 weight burden and unknown going/distance fitness (both flagged ?) don't blunt him, his raw SR edge makes him the most likely to deny the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Klub de Reve (SR:138) and Taurus Bay (SR:139) both carry superior speed ratings — Un Sens A La Vie's SR:129 is the third-lowest among the fancied runners, a 9-10pt gap that represents a meaningful cl…
Klub de Reve shares the same 7/2 odds yet has a higher SR and a Harry Derham yard running at 20% strike rate with no form dashes on the last run — could be the sharper, fresher rival at the same pric…
The form string '2142-1' includes a dash (barrier or non-completion) before the winning return; the dash obscures what happened last season and the +5lb rise in mark means he now runs off a career-hi…
Kadastral (4/1, SR:127, Skelton yard at 22%) has been off 225 days — a yard with that strike rate returning a fresh horse often signals a calculated comeback, which could absorb Un Sens A La Vie's ma…
ShortlistUn Sens A La Vie, Taurus Bay, Klub de Reve, Kadastral