Chart Topper looks the one to beat, having run fifth last time out after a third two starts back, and he returns fresh enough after 19 days. He has run over today's trip and going before, though he is yet to win in his last five and carries 166 lb.
Form last 6PF03-5
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR135RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Two seconds in his last three completed runs show Da Capo Glory is in the mix, and he has experience of today's trip and going, while our rating of 132 ranks him second of six. The risk is a 107-day absence, plus 166 lb and a fifth last time out.
Form last 68U-225
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR132RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lengaruka is hard to fancy, winless in his last four with a fifth last time out and a third two starts back as his best recent effort. He has had 36 days to recover and carries 166 lb, while our figures rank him last of six on a rating of 96.
Form last 60535
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR96RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mint Boy has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows he can go close, while carrying 166 lb off an official mark of 132 gives him a solid profile. The main risk is a 517-day absence, with a pulled up last time out.
Form last 63U0/P-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
107SR124RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Will Do bounced back with a third last time out after three pulled-up efforts in his previous four runs, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating has him third of six, but top weight of 166 lb is the main risk.
Form last 6P0PP-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
115SR129RPR127OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Survivors Sister is hard to fancy, having fallen last time and finished eighth and ninth in the two runs before that, and she is winless in her last five starts. A third four starts back and a quick 19-day turnaround are small positives, but 159 lb off 102 is a lot to carry.
Form last 67-398F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR97RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Chart Topper owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/11W. P. MullinsBrian Hayes
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Will Do
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Gordon Elliott✓ Value Signal
Survivors Sister
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Paul John Gilligan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Da Capo Glory (SR 123, 10/3) matches the favourite on raw ability but brings three specific advantages: a course record of W1P1 at Galway, a mark 9lb lower than at last win (MarkMv:-9) indicating he arrives well-treated, and a significant market move of +17% suggesting stable confidence after a 107-day break. The favourite Chart Topper (SR 123, 11/10) has drifted 15% since opening — a meaningful opposer signal — and shows GoingFit:? on today's soft ground, while his recent form of PF03-5 is messy and unreliable. Da Capo Glory's GoingFit:~ is not ideal but he has handled similar conditions, and his headgear change (p) alongside the market money points to a yard expecting a bold show. Will Do is the live danger but Da Capo Glory's course experience and market support give the edge.
Each-way alternative: Will Do.
Main danger: Will Do — Will Do (SR 115, 4/1) is proven at both the distance (DistFit:+) and on soft ground (GoingFit:+), has backed in 8% in the market, and blinkers applied for the first time could sharpen a horse whose P0PP form string may understate his latent ability over this trip.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Da Capo Glory is a 9-year-old returning from a 107-day break with only a headgear change (hood) as intervention — horses this age often need the run back after such a layoff, and his last three runs…
Jockey Michael Kenneally carries a 3lb claim but holds only a 10% strike rate from 474 rides — well below the standard for a horse expected to beat a Willie Mullins hotpot at a competitive Galway fes…
GoingFit:~ means Da Capo Glory is unproven on today's soft ground — a 107-day break compounds the risk that he simply won't handle conditions, with no confident confirmation he stays effective on thi…
Trainer Padraig Butler's 13% strike rate from just 75 runners is a small-yard profile; festival pressure at Galway historically favours high-volume operations like Mullins (26%) and Elliott (18%) who…