Bay City Boy is a debutant with no recorded form, so he is totally unexposed and open to improvement. He carries 154 lb, and his first run should reveal plenty about his profile.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hansel The Purse is our selection and arrives fresh from a fourth last time out just 11 days ago, having run over today's trip before, while our rating of 67 makes him the top-rated runner of nine. The only concern is a yard without a winner in 20 recently, plus 154 lb.
Form last 64
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR67RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Hilarion is an unraced gelding with no form to go on, so he's unexposed and open to improvement, though he carries 154 lb on debut. The yard is 0/20 over the last 14 days, which tempers the mood somewhat.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unraced and making his debut, Noon Blu Dodville is a blank canvas with no form to assess, so he is unexposed and open to improvement. He carries 154 lb, and his first public run should tell us plenty.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ten Gears is an unexposed gelding with no recorded form to go on, so he's one to learn about on the day. Carrying 154 lb, he's open to any amount of improvement, with nothing yet on the page to say otherwise.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unexposed and open to improvement, The Two Degrees has no recorded form to go on, so this is a clean-sheet debut. He carries 154 lb, and any progress would be a bonus rather than a given.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Toll Road is unraced on the facts we hold, so he arrives as a blank slate and wholly unexposed, with plenty of room for improvement. He carries 154 lb on debut, and his first start should tell us far more than any form line can.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Burleigh Beach is an unexposed filly with no recorded form to go on, so this is a clean-sheet debut and there should be scope for improvement. She carries 147 lb, and the first run will reveal plenty.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unraced and making her debut, One For Christy is a blank canvas with no form to go on, so she is wholly unexposed and open to improvement. She carries 147 lb.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Noon Blu Dodville owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Emmet MullinsDonagh Meyler
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
The Two Degrees
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Paul Nolan✓ Value Signal
One For Christy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · L J Archdeacon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
The Two Degrees holds the joint-top SR (70) in the field and is the Paul Nolan yard's #1 runner — confirmed by the significantly more experienced jockey booking in Sean Flanagan (10%, 997 career rides) versus stable-companion Toll Road's Sean O'Keeffe, and crucially by a 20% market tightening against Toll Road's 17% drift. At 7/2 co-favourite that price reflects genuine confidence, and the SR edge over every rival is clear: the next-best is Noon Blu Dodville at SR 69 who has drifted 7% and is trained by a 14%-strike-rate yard but lacks the inbound market money. In a race where every runner is a hurdling debutant (all DistFit:? GoingFit:?) the combination of top SR, strongest jockey booking, and steaming market is the most reliable cluster of signals available.
Each-way alternative: Noon Blu Dodville.
Main danger: Noon Blu Dodville — Emmet Mullins runs at a 14% career strike rate — the best trainer in the field — and at SR 69 Noon Blu Dodville is only fractionally below the selection; if that training edge translates on debut over hurdles, it is the likeliest winner ahead of The Two Degrees.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Noon Blu Dodville is trained by Emmet Mullins (14% strike rate vs Nolan's 10%) and is co-favourite at 3/1 — shorter in the market than The Two Degrees despite the analyst's framing, suggesting strong…
Ten Gears (SR:66) is trained by Gavin Cromwell, the field's highest-volume handler (3242 career rides), yet has drifted 36% — if market money is the key signal, the fact a powerful yard's runner is b…
Hilarion (SR:65) has tightened 44% into 17/2 — the sharpest inbound move in the field — suggesting significant informed support for a rival that the primary analysis largely ignores.
Every runner is a hurdling debutant with no DistFit or GoingFit data; The Two Degrees' 1-SR-point edge over Noon Blu Dodville (70 vs 69) is too marginal to be decisive when jumping ability on debut i…
ShortlistThe Two Degrees, Noon Blu Dodville, Hilarion