Supermac's Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m4f156y
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 backed by market confidence at 11/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ole Ole | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Minella Hollow | 5/2 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Brother Walfrid | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Harpy Eagle | 13/8 open 7.50 | 6/4 open 5.50 | 13/8 open 7.50 | 13/8 open 7.50 | 7/4 open 6.00 | 6/4 open 4.50 | 7/4 William Hill |
| 5 Tradonthebay | 28/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 67.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Direct Approach | 11/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 7 Fly Away Home | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Harpy Eagle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 backed by market confidence at 11/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Harpy Eagle (SR:128, 11/4, Wgt:10-13) is the top-rated horse in the field and carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders, giving it a real lb advantage over Ole Ole (11-5) and Minella Hollow (11-4). The form string 661221 shows a horse that has been progressively improving — back-to-back wins in recent outings — and critically, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm it handles today's 2m4f trip and good ground from a solid evidence base. The market has backed this judgement emphatically, shortening 44% (Mkt:in44%) — the single strongest market move in the field by a wide margin — which strongly suggests connections and informed money are on the same page. Running off a mark 8lb higher (MarkMv:+8) is a mild concern, but the combination of peak form, proven trip and ground, light weight, and powerful market support makes it the clear pick. Each-way alternative: Minella Hollow. Main danger: Minella Hollow — Minella Hollow (SR:123, 11/4, GoingFit:+) shares the same odds as Harpy Eagle, has a confirmed going preference for today's conditions, and is backed (Mkt:in9%) — if the MarkMv:+8 penalty blunts Harpy Eagle's improvement curve, Minella Hollow is the most likely beneficiary.