Aintree 14:25 ABANDONED
Class 2 25 Oct 2026

Last Sunday William Hill Vieux Lion Rouge Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 7 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Steeple Chase Series)

William Hill Vieux Lion Rouge Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 7 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Steeple Chase Series) · 3m0f210y

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Abandoned
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 4 days, 14 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Monbeg Genius silks
Monbeg Genius
Age 10 · 12-0
P5735-
142
134
136
10
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 11/4 5/2
Monbeg Genius brings a consistent profile, a third two starts back and a fifth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating has him second of five. The main risk is a 202-day layoff under 168 lb, which leaves fitness the big question.
AI verdict

SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Knappers Hill silks
Knappers Hill
Age 10 · 11-10
/43PP-
138
130
143
10
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 10/3
Knappers Hill is the one to beat on our numbers: he has run over today's trip and going, finished third three starts back and fourth four starts back, and his 143 rating tops this field of five. Two pulled-up runs most recently and 218 days off are the concerns, while 164 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Hold Your Fort silks
Hold Your Fort
Age 10 · 11-2
-39512
130
128
117
10
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
SP 9/4 5/2
Hard to fancy on our figures, ranked last of five and carrying 156 lb off an official rating of 130, but he's in decent nick with a second last time out, a win two starts back and just 11 days since his last run. He has also run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Kitty's Light silks
Kitty's Light
Age 10 · 10-13
9P85/5
127
123
133
10
10-13
★★★★☆
—
SP 7/2 4/1
Kitty's Light has run over today's trip and going and sits third of five on our figures, with a 133 against an official 127 hinting at untapped scope, while two fifths in his last two starts show him heading the right way. The risk is a 174-day absence, and he carries 153 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Grozni silks
Grozni
Age 10 · 10-12
/5614-
126
124
118
10
10-12
★★★★☆
—
SP 5/1 6/1
Grozni looks a leading threat on form, a winner two starts back before a fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is fitness, as he returns after 266 days off and carries 152 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Monbeg Genius 11/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
2 Knappers Hill 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Hold Your Fort 11/4 open 3.25 5/2 5/2 5/2 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 11/4 Bet365
4 Kitty's Light 4/1 9/2 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Paddy Power
5 Grozni 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Knappers Hill

Live signal

Knappers Hill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Paul Nicholls Freddie Gingell
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Monbeg Genius

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
✓ Value Signal

Grozni

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · Sandy Thomson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Knappers Hill
66.1 7/2
2 1. Monbeg Genius
65.6 11/4
3 5. Grozni
60.4 -
4 3. Hold Your Fort
59.2 -
5 4. Kitty's Light
58.3 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Monbeg Genius
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 10 · 12-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 134 🐾 —

SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 10 · 11-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 130 🐾 —

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Monbeg Genius
Confidence: Speculative

Monbeg Genius (SR 134, 11/4) carries the heaviest weight at 12-0 but has the strongest SR in the field and is steaming in the market (Mkt:in11%), suggesting stable confidence from a yard (Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill, 11% strike rate) that knows this horse well. Jonjo O'Neill Jr. at 15% career strike rate is a solid booking on a horse whose recent form, while mixed (P5735-), shows competitive runs at this level. The market support is meaningful in a five-runner field — when both the connections and the money align on a Class 2 handicap chase at Aintree, that carries genuine weight. Hold Your Fort (SR 128, 11/4) is the co-favourite at the same price with a recent second last time (form -39512, Days:11), but steps up 4lb on the mark (MarkMv:+4) and is trained by a small yard (Debra Hamer, 15%, 53 runners) whose jockey Shane Fenelon has only a 9% career strike rate. Each-way alternative: Hold Your Fort. Main danger: Knappers Hill — Knappers Hill (SR 130, 7/2) is steaming in the market (Mkt:in12%), carries a fair 11-10, and Paul Nicholls (22% career strike rate, 567 runners) is the strongest training operation in the field — if connections have freshened this horse up after the PP-heavy recent form, it represents a serious threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string P5735- ends with a dash (most recent run unknown/pulled up indicator context unclear), but the visible finishes show a pull-up and no win in last 5 starts — no recent winning form to anch…
  • Top weight of 12-0 in a 5-runner Class 2 handicap at Aintree is a significant burden; no other runner carries more than 11-10, giving rivals a structural weight-for-age advantage across the field.
  • Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill yard strike rate of only 11% is below-average for a fancied runner; market move of 11% inward in a thin 5-runner field can reflect small-field compression rather than genuine sta…
  • At age 10 with a form line showing a pull-up (P) and multiple mid-field finishes, there is a pattern of inconsistency at this level that the SR of 134 alone does not resolve — he has the rating but h…
Shortlist Monbeg Genius, Hold Your Fort, Knappers Hill
Each-way: Hold Your Fort Danger: Knappers Hill

🗺 The Course Class 2

3m0f210y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Aintree Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade