Knickerbockerglory has been in the frame twice in his last five, including a second three starts back, and returns just 16 days after his latest run, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 152 makes him the one to beat, with 168 lb the only concern.
Form last 6202-50
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
113SR152RPR136OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kamsinas arrives with a third last time out and a second five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 144 ranks him third of 12, so he is a leading threat off 167 lb. The one concern is a 189-day absence, which leaves fitness the main risk.
Form last 6255F3-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
109SR144RPR135OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Deep Cave steps out quickly after 14 days, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 144 ranks him second of 12, a clear 12 lb above his official 132. The risk is a form line of seventh, sixth and pulled up, plus 164 lb on his back.
Form last 650P-67
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
103SR144RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Norn Iron arrives in cracking form, a second last time out and a winner two starts back and again three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. The one concern is a 177-day layoff, plus 162 lb on his back.
Form last 623112-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
119SR136RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won last time out and a second two starts back, plus a winner three starts back, so the form reads well, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, 185 days off is a long absence, and 161 lb is a big weight to carry; our rating of 127 ranks him eighth of twelve.
Form last 645121-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
115SR127RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 115 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Listentoyourheart won five starts back but has been unplaced last time out and a ninth two starts back since, though a third three starts ago shows she can still pitch in. She has run over today's trip and going, and her yard is in form, but 158 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 61739-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR134RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sanilam won three of his last five starts, including two starts back and three starts back, but he was pulled up last time out and returns after 191 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, yet 158 lb is a hefty burden for a gelding rated 126, and our rating of 128 ranks him seventh of 12.
Form last 61411P-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR128RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Vol Royale won last time out and has three wins in his last five starts, but he returns after 221 days off and carries 156 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating ranks him only eleventh of twelve.
Form last 651171-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR125RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hillberry Hill arrives with back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, but a 215-day layoff and 154 lb are big asks, and our rating of 126 leaves him only tenth of twelve.
Form last 6611-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR126RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Glancing Jack arrives in cracking recent form, second last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but 218 days off is a concern and 154 lb is a hefty burden. Our rating of 129 ranks him only sixth of twelve, though the in-form yard helps.
Form last 6/5212-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
114SR129RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Race To Base showed enough with a second last time out, but that came 183 days ago and he pulled up two starts back, so the layoff and patchy form make him hard to fancy. He has run on today's going and our figures still rank him twelfth of twelve, with 153 lb to carry.
Form last 6134P2-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR124RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Three wins in her last five starts looks smart, but Analiese returns after 193 days off, was only fourth last time out, and carries 152 lb. Our figures rank her ninth of 12, though she has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 611214-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR127RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Norn Iron owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
-Harry DerhamPaul O'Brien
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Analiese
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
- · Mel Rowley✓ Value Signal
A King of Magic
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
- · Paul Nicholls◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Glancing Jack (SR:114, Wgt:11-0, Age:5) is the Dan Skelton yard's #1 runner here — Harry Skelton (27% career strike rate, 1718 runners) takes the ride rather than Charlie Todd (9%) on Listentoyourheart or Harry Atkins on Knickerbockerglory, which is a clear signal of stable intent. At 11-0 he carries 14lb less than top-weight Knickerbockerglory (SR:113) who is drifting (Mkt:out8%), making the weight-for-SR comparison strongly in Glancing Jack's favour. His form string /5212- shows consistent competitiveness, and at age 5 he is the most progressive profile in the field. No odds are listed for this race, so market position cannot be confirmed, but the jockey booking alone makes him the yard's most credible representative.
Each-way alternative: Analiese.
Main danger: Norn Iron — Norn Iron (SR:119, Wgt:11-8) is the highest SR in the field and has a strong recent form line of 23112-, with trainer Harry Derham at 20% strike rate — if the unproven trip and going prove no obstacle, he is the class horse.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Glancing Jack's form string '/5212-' ends with a dash (last run a non-completion or well-beaten effort), and no days-since-last-run figure is listed, raising questions about his current fitness and r…
Norn Iron (SR:119) holds a 5-point speed-rating advantage over Glancing Jack (SR:114) at 11-8 — only 2lb more — with a tighter, more consistent recent form string (23112-) and a yard/jockey combo run…
A King of Magic matches Glancing Jack on age (both 5) and progressive profile, carries only 7lb more for an SR of 115, with form 45121- showing a recent win, and is trained by Paul Nicholls (22%) wit…
Analiese is drifting sharply IN (Mkt:in22%) with SR:117 and form 11214-, suggesting market participants have identified a live rival at a weight of 10-12 — 2lb below Glancing Jack — which undercuts t…