Arcland was third last time out and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but 44 days off and 166 lb are hurdles to clear. Our rating of 116 ranks him fifth of 13, a midfield profile.
Form last 6-52103
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR116RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Caher Roes Den arrives in decent heart, a third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run on today's going before, but he carries 166 lb and the patchy form behind that win, including a pulled up, makes him hard to fancy. Our rating has him 11th of 13.
Form last 69P/413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR107RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Chase The Moon won twice in his last five starts, but a ninth last time out and a 204-day absence temper the appeal, while he has run on today's going and the yard is 0/23 lately. Top weight of 166 lb adds to the task, and our rating has him sixth of 13.
Form last 614619-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR115RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hesasmoothoperator is hard to fancy after being pulled up last time out, with a sixth two starts back and no win in his last four starts. That said, he has run over today's trip and going, was second four starts back, and a quick 15-day turnaround suggests he is fit, though 166 lb is a big burden.
Form last 62/06-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR96RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
King In Love was a third four starts back but has faded since, with a seventh last time out, and he returns after 167 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and carries 166 lb, yet he is winless in his last five starts.
Form last 65350-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR109RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kir has a winner five starts back and a third three starts back, but he has faded to a sixth and then a ninth since, and returns after 220 days off carrying 166 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, though our rating of 111 only ranks him eighth of 13.
Form last 61P369-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR111RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lisnagar Fortune has been well beaten in his last five starts, but he has run over today's trip and going and is rated 120 by us, second of 13, so he looks a leading danger off an official mark of 118. The risk is a poor recent form line, with a pulled up two starts back and no better than a seventh in the others.
Form last 687-8P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
80SR120RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Long Branch has been consistent, finishing fourth last time out, another fourth two starts back and second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, with our rating of 116 ranking him fourth of 13. The one concern is a 171-day absence, with 166 lb to carry adding to the task.
Form last 63U24-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR116RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Maverick Mack is hard to fancy, winless in his last five with a sixth last time out after a pulled up, a brought down and an unseated, and he returns after 62 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and a third five starts back is the best of it, but 166 lb is a big ask.
Form last 63U-BP6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR109RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Mullaghgloss is a leading danger, having twice finished fourth in his last four completed runs and shown he can win, with a victory five starts back, while he has run on today's going and returns fresh after 22 days. The main risk is that he fell last time out, and he carries 166 lb.
Form last 61844-F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR117RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
No Looking Back arrives fresh from a second last time out just 15 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last five, he carries 166 lb, but our top-rated runner (124) is the one to beat.
Form last 630-7P2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR125RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pat's Legacy won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but he was unplaced last time out and returns after 180 days off, carrying 166 lb. Our rating of 112 ranks him seventh of 13, a midfield profile.
Form last 652410-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR112RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kelya has slipped to a fifth last time out and a seventh before that, and she returns after 78 days off carrying 159 lb, which makes her hard to fancy. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and won four starts back, while our figures rank her 12th of 13.
Form last 62137/5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR101RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Caher Roes Den owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1W. P. MullinsPaul Townend
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Kir
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Henry de Bromhead✓ Value Signal
King In Love
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Sean Aherne◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Caher Roes Den (SR 100, 5/2) is trained by W.P. Mullins (26% strike rate, 2,966 runners) and ridden by Paul Townend (38% strike rate, 905 runners) — the strongest connections combination in the field by a considerable margin. The form string 9P/413 shows a recent third and then a win, indicating upward trajectory, and while the distance and going are question marks (?), the Mullins/Townend combination at this level rarely turns up without confidence. The 5/2 market position is the shortest price in the field and has not drifted, suggesting stable confidence from connections who know exactly what they have on a chase debut. Chase The Moon (SR 110, 11/2) has the highest SR and a striking 38% market steam, but 204 days off with a '9-' tail to the form and a low-grade trainer (7% strike rate) makes the Mullins runner the more reliable vehicle.
Each-way alternative: Chase The Moon.
Main danger: Kir — Kir (SR 98, 5/1) has steamed 34% in the market for Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate) and while the form tail shows a '9-', the strong market move and competent handler suggest a horse that may have found its feet over fences.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Chase debut: the '9P/413' form is entirely over hurdles — jumping fences for the first time today is a significant unknown, and even Mullins horses can make costly errors on their chasing bow.
Chase The Moon holds a 10-point SR advantage (110 vs 100) and has been backed in 38% from 11/2 — that market move from a low-volume trainer is unusually decisive and suggests strong stable confidence…
The 'P' in the form string (a pull-up) is recent enough in a short form line to raise stamina/soundness questions at chase distances, and both distance and going are flagged as question marks by the…
Kir (SR 98, 5/1) has also been backed in 34% and is trained by de Bromhead (16% SR) — Caher Roes Den faces two market movers with more chasing experience in a field where its price offers limited ups…