Market Rasen 15:48 RESULTED
Class 5 25 Oct 2026

Last Sunday £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

£27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f125y

Official Result

£27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lightning Flash (IRE) James Turner · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
    7/4F
  2. 7/2
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lightning Flash silks
Lightning Flash FAV
Age 6 · 12-0
F63-34
103
93
103
6
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
15/8 32/17 3/2
Consistent sort who has finished third, third, then a fourth in his last three outings, and he's back after 27 days with experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 168 lb is the main risk, though he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kourosh silks
Kourosh
Age 6 · 11-13
6P324/
102
93
109
6
11-13
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 5/1 17/2
Kourosh bounced back from a pulled up with a second and a third before a fourth last time out, so he has been consistent in recent starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner, he is yet to win in that spell and has been off 585 days, but he still looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Character Testing silks
Character Testing
Age 5 · 11-3
244244
92
88
94
5
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 11/5
Consistent sort without a win in his last six, he has finished fourth last time out, fourth two starts back and second three starts back, and returns just 18 days later having run over today's trip and going before. The risk is the 157 lb burden, a hefty weight to carry.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Justus silks
Justus
Age 8 · 11-2
P85-24
91
91
98
8
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 11/4
Justus is a leading danger on form, a fourth last time out following a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 98 ranks him third of seven, but 143 days off and 156 lb are the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Klapton Boy silks
Klapton Boy
Age 6 · 10-10
/P56-6
85
79
89
6
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 11/1 9/2
Klapton Boy has finished sixth in his last two outings, a fifth three starts back before that, and returns after 170 days off, so fitness is a question. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 89 sits above his official 85, but 150 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Steel Fixer silks
Steel Fixer
Age 3 · 10-2
P45
91
73
69
3
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 7/1 12/1
Steel Fixer is winless in his last three, with a fifth last time out, a fourth two starts back and a pulled up three starts back, and he carries 142 lb off an official mark of 91. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 29 days, but our figures rank him sixth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Battle Stride silks
Battle Stride
Age 4 · 10-2
5-FP86
72
39
63
4
10-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 28/1
Battle Stride is hard to fancy, winless in his last five with a sixth last time out, an eighth before that, then a pulled up and a faller in the run of form. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 18 days, but our rating ranks him last of seven.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lightning Flash 15/8 7/4 open 3.00 6/4 open 2.88 6/4 open 2.88 15/8 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
2 Kourosh 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 Bet365
3 Character Testing 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.00 11/5 open 3.25 11/5 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 William Hill
4 Justus 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
5 Klapton Boy 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 12.00 6/1 Paddy Power
6 Steel Fixer 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Battle Stride 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lightning Flash

Speculative

Lightning Flash owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies James Turner(3)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Justus

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Micky Hammond
✓ Value Signal

Battle Stride

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Richard Armson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Lightning Flash
58.3 15/8
2 4. Justus
55.2 7/2
3 3. Character Testing
54.5 5/2
4 2. Kourosh
52.4 9/1
5 5. Klapton Boy
51.1 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lightning Flash
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 12-0
15/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-3
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 11-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 10-10
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-13
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lightning Flash
Confidence: Speculative

Lightning Flash (SR:93, 2/1) shares top SR in the field with Kourosh but carries top-weight 12-0 — the key negatives are DistFit:? and GoingFit:? (unproven at trip and going). However, when testing against Justus, the favourite's negatives (two unknowns) are no worse than Justus's GoingFit:- (a proven negative), MarkMv:+17 (a 17lb rise from last win), and a 143-day absence. The market is right to prefer Lightning Flash at 2/1: the weight burden is real but the SR is matched, and unproven is better than proven-poor on the going. The 12% conditional allowance claimed by Turner (3) offsets the 12-0 burden meaningfully in a Class 5 field. Each-way alternative: Character Testing. Main danger: Justus — Justus's 15% market support is a real signal and his 11-2 weight gives him a 12lb pull on Lightning Flash despite identical SR, which could prove decisive if the top-weight tires late.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are both unresolved — at Market Rasen on likely soft/heavy autumn ground, unproven is a genuine risk, not merely neutral, especially for a horse with F63-34 recent form showi…
  • James Turner (3) claims 3lb allowance but rides at only 8% strike rate from 151 rides — well below the conditional benchmark, raising doubt whether the allowance truly offsets the 12-0 top weight in…
  • Recent form F63-34 shows no win in at least 5 starts and a fall; the SR of 93 may reflect historical peak rather than current trajectory, with no evidence of a return to that level.
  • Kourosh shares SR:93 at 11-13 (3lb less weight) with a trainer who is 8% but jockey Hanlon's 5% SR is the only weakness — the market drifting Kourosh 32% out looks overdone if Lightning Flash's unpro…
Shortlist Lightning Flash, Justus, Character Testing
Each-way: Character Testing Danger: Justus

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m0f125y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade