Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 6f16y
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Al Arraab | 5/1 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Crystal Dark | 2/1 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Flick of An Eye | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 | 15/8 open 2.88 | 15/8 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Hot Moonstone | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hunstanton | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sigma | 10/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 The Honey Thief | 14/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 7.50 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 World Star | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Al Arraab owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Al Arraab (SR 152, 13/2) is the standout on ability — a 6-point SR advantage over the next-best Sigma (SR 146) and a clear 11-12 point edge on the market-leader Crystal Dark (SR 94). Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) into a novice where the favourite and second-favourite carry strikingly modest SRs, the Fahey runner has been backed in 11% since opening, suggesting informed money agrees this represents an opportunity. The form figure of 2 on debut means he ran a solid race at a higher level, and Oisin Orr — 14% career strike rate from over 1,600 rides — is a competent booking. The market leaders Crystal Dark and Flick of An Eye are priced as though their SRs of 94 and 90 respectively belong in a competitive novice, which they simply do not. Each-way alternative: Sigma. Main danger: Sigma — Sigma (SR 146, 9/1) is a debut runner from Harry Eustace's yard carrying the second-highest SR in the field — first-time starters from smaller yards can be fit and forward, and at 9/1 there is a real price if connections know more than the market.