Kelso 15:14 RESULTED
Class 4 24 Oct 2026

Last Saturday luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier) · 2m0f51y

Official Result

luckytiger.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Scots Poet (GB) Conor O'Farrell · Ewan Whillans
    11/2
  2. 22/1
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 23 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Monaco Rules silks
Monaco Rules
Age 6 · 12-0
P/42-7
110
101
115
6
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 9/1 15/2
Monaco Rules showed his hand with a second two starts back and has run over today's trip, while carrying 168 lb and our top-ranked 115 suggests he's a leading threat from an official 110. The main risk is a 168-day absence after a seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Two Auld Pals silks
Two Auld Pals
Age 8 · 11-11
38-143
107
107
108
8
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 3/1
Two Auld Pals arrives in solid shape, third last time out and a winner three starts back, with only 22 days since that run and experience of today's trip and going. The main risk is the 165 lb he must carry.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Travis Wheatley silks
Travis Wheatley
Age 6 · 11-7
6813-8
103
95
103
6
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 8/1 17/2
Travis Wheatley won three starts back and was third two runs ago, but he was eighth last time out and returns after 153 days off. He has run over today's trip and on the going, though 161 lb is a stiff burden for a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Heart Above silks
Heart Above
Age 8 · 11-6
-1P953
102
92
106
8
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 9/2 13/2
Heart Above signed off with a third last time out just 20 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 106 ranks him fourth of eight. The risk is a burden of 160 lb, with only one win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Ashdown Forest silks
Ashdown Forest FAV
Age 4 · 11-4
6-1331
101
112
98
4
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
11/8 7/4 5/4
Ashdown Forest arrives in fine fettle, a winner last time out and again four starts back, with two thirds between, and he has run over today's trip and going. Back out after just seven days and carrying 158 lb off 101, though, he looks plenty to do, and our rating of 98 has him last of eight.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Boston Jury silks
Boston Jury
Age 6 · 11-4
87-6P7
100
67
109
6
11-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 25/1
Boston Jury has been well beaten recently, with a seventh last time out and a sixth three starts back, but he has run over today's trip and going, returns after 31 days and sits second on our figures at 109. The 158 lb burden is the one concern.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Scots Poet silks
Scots Poet
Age 10 · 11-2
11U254
98
95
100
10
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Scots Poet won twice in his last six starts, though those wins came five and six starts back, and he's been a fourth last time out and a fifth before that. He has run over today's trip and going, but 156 lb and a 38-day break temper the appeal, with our rating of 100 placing him sixth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Character Testing silks
Character Testing
Age 5 · 10-10
244244
92
89
99
5
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 6/1 12/1
Character Testing is consistent but yet to win in his last six starts, with fourths last time out and two starts back, and seconds three and six runs ago. Carrying 150 lb, he's hard to fancy, ranked seventh of eight on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going and is fit after 17 days.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Monaco Rules 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
2 Two Auld Pals 7/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 4.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 Bet365
3 Travis Wheatley 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Paddy Power
4 Heart Above 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Ashdown Forest 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 5/4 open 2.75 5/4 open 2.75 11/8 Bet365
6 Boston Jury 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 William Hill
7 Scots Poet 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Coral
8 Character Testing 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ashdown Forest

Live signal

Ashdown Forest owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Dan Skelton Miss Heidi Palin(5)
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Monaco Rules

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Micky Hammond
✓ Value Signal

Boston Jury

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Andrew Hamilton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Ashdown Forest
65.4 11/8
2 1. Monaco Rules
59.0 8/1
3 2. Two Auld Pals
57.8 7/2
4 7. Scots Poet
57.3 6/1
5 3. Travis Wheatley
54.6 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ashdown Forest
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 11-4
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 11-11
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 10 · 11-2
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 11-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-7
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 10-10
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ashdown Forest
Confidence: Medium

Ashdown Forest (SR 112, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin of 5 points over Two Auld Pals (SR 107), carries a fair 11-4, and comes in off a recent 6-1331 form string — a last-time-out winner — with the market affirming confidence via an 11% shortening. Dan Skelton's 22% career strike rate is the strongest training record in this field, and Miss Heidi Palin matches that 22% strike rate personally, an unusually potent combination. GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits, which is today's going, removing a key risk for a 4-year-old stepping up one class. The class rise (ClassMv:↑1) and a 6lb rise in mark (MarkMv:+6) are the only reservations, but a trainer of Skelton's calibre running a last-time-out winner back just seven days later signals genuine confidence that this horse is well within itself. Each-way alternative: Two Auld Pals. Main danger: Two Auld Pals — Two Auld Pals (SR 107, 4/1) has the second-best SR, is proven at this trip (DistFit:+), has course form (W0P1 at Kelso), has been backed 15%, and drops a class — if Ashdown Forest finds the step up in class tougher than expected, Two Auld Pals is the most likely beneficiary, despite running off a mark 8lb higher than the last win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Runs just 7 days after last victory — quick back-to-back turnaround for a 4-year-old stepping up in class risks residual fatigue at a track like Kelso that demands jumping accuracy.
  • MarkMv:+6 combined with ClassMv:↑1 means the handicapper has reacted swiftly; Ashdown Forest has never been tested at this mark or class level, so the form string of 6-1331 may not translate.
  • Two Auld Pals (SR 107, 4/1) has a course placing (W0P1) at Kelso and was beaten only 4lb on adjusted ratings last time, offering a live threat with 22 days' fresher prep and a jockey who knows the tr…
  • Heart Above holds W3P10 at this course — by far the most prolific course record in the field — and races off a mark 2lb lower than last time (MarkMv:-2), a dangerous combination at a track where loca…
Shortlist Ashdown Forest, Two Auld Pals, Monaco Rules, Heart Above
Each-way: Two Auld Pals Danger: Two Auld Pals

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f51y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade