Newbury 14:35 24 Oct 2026
Class 1 24 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Betvictor St Simon Stakes (Group 3)

Betvictor St Simon Stakes (Group 3) · 1m4f

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  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Aegean Prince Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 15 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Al Aasy silks
Al Aasy
Age 9 · 9-11
-21311
112
114
112OR
9
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 FCST 7/1
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Aegean Prince silks
Aegean Prince
Age 4 · 9-6
1/12-1
110
123
110OR
4
9-6
★★★★☆
—
11/10
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Al Qareem silks
Al Qareem
Age 7 · 9-6
13-154
113
114
113OR
7
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
7/1
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
By The Book silks
By The Book
Age 5 · 9-6
336224
106
92
106OR
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 FCST 16/1
SR 92 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Grey Cuban silks
Grey Cuban
Age 5 · 9-6
30-231
110
111
110OR
5
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 FCST 9/1
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Royal Playwright silks
Royal Playwright
Age 4 · 9-6
153-52
106
98
106OR
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 FCST 12/1
SR 98 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
White Birch silks
White Birch
Age 6 · 9-6
2450-3
118
118
118OR
6
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
7/2
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Evanesco silks
Evanesco
Age 3 · 9-0
753152
106
93
106OR
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 FCST 20/1
SR 93 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Rebel Rocker silks
Rebel Rocker
Age 3 · 9-0
1-2648
103
82
103OR
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1
SR 82 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Al Aasy 8/1 — 7/1 15/2 15/2 — 8/1 Bet365
2 Aegean Prince 11/10 — 11/10 — 5/4 11/10 5/4 William Hill
3 Al Qareem 7/1 — 8/1 — 8/1 7/1 8/1 Coral
4 By The Book 20/1 — 20/1 — 16/1 — 20/1 Bet365
5 Grey Cuban 11/1 — 9/1 — 11/1 11/1 11/1 Bet365
6 Royal Playwright 14/1 — — 12/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
7 White Birch 7/2 — — — 7/2 4/1 4/1 Betfred
8 Evanesco 25/1 — 25/1 25/1 20/1 28/1 28/1 Betfred
9 Rebel Rocker 40/1 — 40/1 — 40/1 50/1 50/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Aegean Prince

Live signal

Aegean Prince owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Charlie Appleby Billy Loughnane
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

White Birch

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Jamie Osborne
✓ Value Signal

Evanesco

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Aegean Prince
64.7 11/10
2 7. White Birch
62.1 7/2
3 1. Al Aasy
60.4 8/1
4 3. Al Qareem
59.3 7/1
5 5. Grey Cuban
58.2 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Aegean Prince
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-6
11/10
★★★★☆ SR 123 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 6 · 9-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 9-6
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 9-11
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-6
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Aegean Prince
Confidence: Medium

Aegean Prince (SR 123, 11/10) is the class standout in a field where the next-best SR is 118 — a meaningful gap at Group 3 level. Charlie Appleby's yard runs at 33% career strike rate and has clearly identified this as their #1 runner over stablemate By The Book (SR 92, 20/1), with Billy Loughnane booked rather than James Doyle, who takes the inferior yard companion. The form reads 1/12-1, with the last run a win just 49 days ago, and at age 4 this horse is at peak physical development. The two unproven flags (DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) are genuine questions — this is 1m4f on soft — but stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 11lb higher than the last win are offset by the SR dominance and the market's confidence in holding firm at a short price. Each-way alternative: White Birch. Main danger: White Birch — White Birch (SR 118, 7/2) is the second-highest rated horse in the field, holds course form, and at 7/2 the market clearly respects it — if Aegean Prince fails to handle the soft ground on its first attempt at the trip, White Birch is best placed to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven — Aegean Prince has no recorded form over 1m4f on soft ground, a double unknown that is particularly risky at Group 3 level where margins are tight.
  • Running off a mark 11lb higher than last winning mark (MarkMv:+11) is a steep rise; at Group 3 the class ceiling is real and the SR gap to White Birch (118) narrows sharply if Aegean Prince underperf…
  • Al Aasy (SR:114) brings Course:W4P7 — four course wins — plus William Haggas in excellent form at 23% SR; proven soft-ground Newbury stamina gives him a tangible edge on conditions Aegean Prince has…
  • Billy Loughnane replacing a yard's usual big-race jockey James Doyle could reflect Doyle's deliberate avoidance of this assignment rather than pure preference; the 49-day absence and unknown soft/1m4…
Shortlist Aegean Prince, White Birch, Al Aasy
Each-way: White Birch Danger: White Birch

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m4f Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade