O'Moore Park showed his best form last time with a third, and he's fresh enough after 20 days, having run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 139 ranks him second of 11, but the main risk is a modest run of finishes before that, with 164 lb to carry.
Form last 6067-93
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR139RPR134OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Last-time-out winner Spectacularsunrise returns after 30 days with his confidence high, has run over today's trip and going, and has a yard firing at 32% in the last fortnight. The main risk is a patchy run of sixth, ninth and sixth before that win, with 160 lb to carry.
Form last 62696-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
129SR131RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rockonliam arrives on a hat-trick having won last time out, and two and three starts back, with experience of today's trip and going, but a 77-day break and 159 lb off an official mark of 129 make him tough to fancy, and our figures rank him tenth of eleven.
Form last 634-111
★AI Rating★★★★☆
123SR118RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 backed by market confidence at 5/1 — a genuine contender.
Sogna In Grande won three on the bounce before a fourth last time out, but he has been off for 185 days and carries 158 lb off an official mark of 128. Our figures rank him ninth of 11, so a layoff and a big weight make him hard to fancy.
Form last 61/114-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
114SR119RPR128OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
De Temps En Temps showed he retains ability with a third last time out, and he's a winner four and five starts back, with experience over today's trip and going. The main risk is a 252-day absence, while 156 lb is a big weight to carry.
Form last 6116U3-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR128RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sony Bill is yet to win in his last six, but two thirds in his previous five runs and a fifth two starts back show he is competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going. Fresh enough after 15 days, he tops our rating at 140, though 154 lb is a big weight.
Form last 6433P50
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR140RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won his last two starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but 210 days off is a long layoff and 152 lb is a hefty burden; our rating of 122 ranks him seventh of eleven.
Form last 63F411-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
120SR122RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Palamon bids to build on a second last time out and a win two starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and is race-fit after five days off; however, he carries 152 lb off 122, and our rating of 120 ranks him only eighth of eleven.
Form last 6553512
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
120SR120RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lisbane Park arrives with a second last time out, another second two starts back and a win five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but 217 days off is a concern. Carrying 150 lb off an official mark of 120 adds to the task, though our rating of 127 and a yard in form give some encouragement.
Form last 614322-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
130SR127RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ballykinlar arrives in decent nick, third last time out and third again two starts back, just 14 days after his latest run, and he has experience of today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last five, he carries 150 lb off 120, which may cap his ceiling.
Form last 6070-33
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR127RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kahavari won last time out and was second in three of his last five, but he returns after 182 days off and carries 148 lb off 118. Our figures rank him last of 11, though he has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 625221-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR116RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lisbane Park owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Joe TizzardBrendan Powell
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Spectacularsunrise
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies✓ Value Signal
Sony Bill
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Faye Bramley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Spectacularsunrise (SR 129, 3/1, 11-6) arrives on the back of a last-run win at Class 3 level (form 2696-1, rightmost digit = 1), carries a manageable 11-6, and the market has firmed 8% since opening — meaning money has come for this horse without panic buying. At joint-shortest price in the field, the SR of 129 is only beaten by Lisbane Park (SR 130, 3/1), but Lisbane Park has both DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — unknown quantities at this trip and on Good to Soft — plus the lightest weight of the two co-favourites at 10-10 is offset by those question marks. Spectacularsunrise is running at the same class as last time (ClassMv:=), has Twiston-Davies booking their stable jockey Sam (17%, 1040 runners), and the 8% market move in rather than out is the cleaner endorsement between the two joint-favourites.
Each-way alternative: Rockonliam.
Main danger: Lisbane Park — Lisbane Park holds the top SR in the field (130) at the joint-shortest price (3/1), carries 10-10 (8lb less than the selection), and has had gentle market support (Mkt:in6%), so if the trip and going suit — the unknowns — it has the raw ability to win.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
Rockonliam (SR 123) has won three on the spin (form 34-111) with Skelton-level handler de Bromhead at 16% — a rival in form far sharper than Spectacularsunrise's single recent win after a string of p…
Palamon has been backed in 26% from opening (strongest market move in the field) and runs just 5 days ago — fresher evidence of well-being and serious stable confidence from the powerful Dan/Harry Sk…
Spectacularsunrise's form reads 2696-1: four efforts before the last win included a 9th and a 6th, suggesting the Class 3 victory may flatter given the weak overall profile; stepping up in quality at…
ShortlistSpectacularsunrise, Lisbane Park, Rockonliam, De Temps En Temps