Moulin Booj won last time out and again three starts back, with a fifth in between, and has run over today's trip and going, though 28 days off and carrying 137 lb from stall one. Our rating of 84 sits seventh of 13, below his official 87, which tempers the optimism.
Form last 6252151
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR84RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Glamorous Breeze has finished in the first three only twice in her last six, but a third four starts back and a second six starts back show she can bridge the gap. Our rating of 90 ranks her third of 13, and she has run over today's trip and going; the risk is a ninth last time out.
Form last 6253659
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR91RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Night Storm won two starts in a row four and five starts back, then finished a third, a fourth and a sixth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 88 ranks him fourth of 13, but 102 days off and 135 lb are the risks.
Form last 611-346
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR88RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sugar Hill Babe has run over today's trip and going, and she was a winner three starts back, but she has finished a sixth then a ninth since, so her form has cooled. Carrying 134 lb from stall seven off a 21-day break, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 81 ranking her ninth of 13.
Form last 69-2169
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR81RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Betsen steps up on a third two starts back after a ninth last time, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 91 tops the field of 13 against an official 83. The one reservation is a stable out of form, but he looks the one to beat from stall 2.
Form last 6918539
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR91RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rhythm N Hooves bounced back from an eighth two starts back with a second last time out, and he returns after 21 days having run over today's trip and going, though a win three starts back is sandwiched by three eighths in his last six. Our rating of 85 puts him fifth of 13, and 132 lb from stall four leaves little room for error.
Form last 6388182
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR85RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Henrythenate was unplaced last time out and has only the one win, two starts back, in his last six outings, with a 41-day break to overcome. He has run over today's trip and going and the weight is 130 lb from stall 13, but our figures rank him 12th of 13.
Form last 6750410
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR76RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Wateen is hard to fancy, having finished seventh last time out and sixth in each of the two runs before, and she is winless in her last five. She has run over today's trip and going and is 28 days fresh, while our figures rank her tenth of 13.
Form last 630-667
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR80RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Almaty Star was second last time out and has a third three starts back, and he is fresh enough after 18 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Against that, he is just one win in his last six starts, and 128 lb from draw 9 leaves him looking midfield on our eighth-ranked rating of 81.
Form last 6108302
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR81RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bona Fortuna won last time out and was second two starts back, while a 26-day break looks fine and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 84 ranks him only sixth of 13, and a 74 speed figure suggests he may lack the pace to dominate from draw 12.
Form last 626-621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR85RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Our figures make Shes Got A Brother a leading danger: she has run over today's trip and going, returns after 24 days, and a third six starts back is her best recent finish. The risk is a poor run, with a ninth last time out and yet to win in her last six.
Form last 6350009
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR91RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Alondra won two starts back but was unplaced last time, and the form line is patchy, with an eighth and a fifth before that. Her yard is cold at 1/29, and she is ranked last of 13 on our figures, though she has run over this trip and going before.
Form last 6358410
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR75RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kanishka is hard to fancy, unplaced in his last three outings and winless in his last six, with a yard that is 0/27 in the last 14 days and a 48-day absence to overcome. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, and a third five starts back shows he can go close.
Form last 6436000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR77RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bona Fortuna owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Michael ApplebyLuke Morris
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Rhythm N Hooves
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Robert Cowell✓ Value Signal
Alondra
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Scott Dixon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rhythm N Hooves (SR:89, 9/2) is the top-rated horse in the field and drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2), giving it a significant competitive edge over this field. It has strong course form (Course:W2P5) and the market has backed it in by 12% (Mkt:in12%), confirming stable confidence — and as the Robert Cowell yard's #1 with Robert Havlin booked for stablemate Almaty Star and Barry McHugh here, the jockey deployment and market move identify this as the yard's primary runner. The recent form shows a win last time out (Form:388182, rightmost=2 but the '1' two runs back shows winning ability at this level), and the class drop is a significant positive. Night Storm (11/2) steams in 7% and has earlier wins in its form, but a 102-day absence is a concern; Betsen is backed in 12% but DistFit:- is a material flag at this trip.
Each-way alternative: Night Storm.
Main danger: Betsen — Betsen (SR:82, 11/2) is backed in 12% with course form (Course:W1P2) and is the lightest weight among the main market contenders at 9-7, though DistFit:- at this trip remains the key concern to oppose.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form:388182 — the most recent run is coded '2' but two of the last four runs are 8s (last-place finishes), suggesting inconsistency that a class drop alone may not cure.
HG:v flag indicates a going preference, and Southwell Fibresand is a specific surface that doesn't suit every AW performer — no evidence this horse excels on Fibresand specifically despite course for…
Jockey Barry McHugh (9% strike rate, 604 rides) is notably the yard's second-choice rider here, with Robert Havlin (15% SR) deployed on stablemate Almaty Star — undermining the 'yard's primary runner…
Bona Fortuna (SR:86, 5/1) is shorter in the market despite a lower rating and has a 'Form:26-621' showing a recent win, while Rhythm N Hooves' market move to 9/2 still leaves it second in the betting…
ShortlistRhythm N Hooves, Night Storm, Betsen, Moulin Booj