Last SaturdayRacingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)
Racingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)
· 2m6f151y
Consistent sort who has been third, fourth, third in his last five before two fifths, and he's rated top of nine by our figures, while the yard's 7 from 27 in the last fortnight adds weight. The risk is he's yet to win in that spell, and 170 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 634-355
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR119RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lets Mingle has won once in her last six starts and has run over today's trip and going before, while a yard in form (7 winners from 27 in the last 14 days) adds weight to the case. Two sevenths in her last two outings are the main concern, along with 167 lb on her back.
Form last 6351577
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
103SR116RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Punxsutawney Phil is our pick on profile: he was second two starts back and won four starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and returns fresh after just 14 days. Being pulled up last time out is the one reservation, but 118 on our figures keeps him firmly in the picture.
Form last 60142/P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR119RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Summergrounds arrives in sound form, third last time out and third again two starts back, with a fourth three starts back, and he has run on today's going before. Our rating of 112 puts him fourth of nine, but he is yet to win in his last five and carries 164 lb.
Form last 6P-3433
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR113RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Evenwood Sonofagun won four starts back and was second three starts back, but he's faded since with a sixth then a seventh last time out, and a 98-day absence adds a fitness question. He has run over today's trip and going, though 160 lb is a big weight, and our rating of 105 puts him fifth of nine.
Form last 66-1267
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR105RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ebselysees won twice in her last five starts, though those wins came four and five starts back and she has since managed a fifth, another fifth, then a fourth last time out. She has run over today's trip and going and is fresh after 16 days, but 158 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 61-1554
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR103RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Maillot Blanc is hard to fancy after an eighth last time out and a pulled up two starts back, though he did win three starts back and has run on today's going. Carrying 157 lb off 99, he's seventh of nine on our figures.
Form last 632-1P8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR100RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Berwick Law is winless in her last five, finishing seventh last time out after a fifth, an eighth, a seventh and a fifth, and she returns from a 218-day break under 147 lb. Our figures rank her eighth of nine, though her 93 sits above her official mark of 89.
Form last 657857-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR93RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six, Burgundy Man has been pulled up three times in that spell, though a fifth last time out and a sixth two starts back hint at some improvement. He has run over today's trip and going, but ranks ninth of nine on our figures and is hard to fancy.
Form last 6P9PP65
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR93RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Summergrounds owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Nicky RichardsElla McGarry(8)
80%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ebselysees
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Susan Corbett✓ Value Signal
Punxsutawney Phil
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Mark Walford◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ebselysees (SR:100, 5/1, 11-4) carries the lightest weight among the top-SR trio and has been backed dramatically — Mkt:in41% is the single strongest market signal in this field, indicating serious money. The 7-year-old shows a form line of 1-1554, with two wins suggesting class when things go right, and at 11-4 enjoys a weight advantage over Bold Light (12-2) and Summergrounds (11-10) while matching them on SR. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a DistFit:- are genuine concerns, but the 41% market support from Susan Corbett's yard (10% strike rate) with Ben Smith (12%, 117 runners) aboard overwhelms every hesitation — this is a horse the market has decided it wants at this price.
Each-way alternative: Bold Light.
Main danger: Bold Light — Bold Light (SR:100, 4/1, Course:W2P2) is the standout course specialist — two wins and two places at Kelso — and MarkMv:-11 means it runs off a mark 11lb below its last win, a huge handicap concession that compensates for the hefty 12-2 weight and GoingFit:- concern.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form line 1-1554 shows four consecutive non-wins with two 5th-place finishes — no victory since the run before last season's break, suggesting current form is declining not building.
DistFit:- is a concrete red flag: Ebselysees has not demonstrated suitability for today's trip, making the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) a compounding risk rather than an isolated one.
Susan Corbett's yard runs at only 10% strike rate with Ben Smith at 12% from just 117 rides — the market support (Mkt:in41%) may be overstated relative to the team's modest win conversion at this lev…
Summergrounds (7/2, MarkMv:+4) and Bold Light (4/1, Course:W2P2) both carry proven course form at Kelso that Ebselysees entirely lacks, giving rivals a significant track-specific edge today.