Aw Trails Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes · 1m13y
SR 66 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 36 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 47 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Battle Standard | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Lili Marleen | 7/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 19/5 open 6.00 | 19/5 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Kev | 5/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 4 African Spirit | 7/1 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 Coral |
| 5 Grand Citadel | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Captain Corelli | 28/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Oscar's Sister | 22/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Crown The Future | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 Coral |
| 9 Knightmare | 11/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Love You More | 4/1 open 13.00 | 3/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 12.00 | 10/3 open 13.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Dumfries | 12/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Blue Samuna | 18/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Al Suil Eile | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 14 Rogue Desire | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kev owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 47 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
African Spirit (SR:64, 6/1, 9-7) arrives on the back of a winning run (form 783331) and carries one of the lighter weights in the competitive SR range. Billy Loughnane is a high-strike-rate jockey at 18% from 3,203 career rides — the best jockey booking in this field — and the horse is proven at this trip (DistFit:~) and on this going (GoingFit:~), unlike several rivals. The mark has risen only 2lb since the last win (MarkMv:+2), a modest penalty that Loughnane's 6lb claim effectively absorbs. The market hasn't steamed but hasn't drifted significantly either, leaving value at 6/1 against a field where the favourite (Battle Standard) has serious concerns. Each-way alternative: Love You More. Main danger: Kev — Kev (SR:64, 11/2) has the same SR as African Spirit and arrives on a recent winning run (form 805121) with Daniel Muscutt booked at 14% strike rate, and though DistFit:- is a concern, the going suits moderately (GoingFit:~) and the mark has only risen 3lb since the win.