Kelso 16:25 RESULTED
Class 3 24 Oct 2026

Last Saturday luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Nuts Well Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Nuts Well Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m1f14y

Official Result

luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Nuts Well Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Newtown Rambler (IRE) Oakley Brown · Adrian Keatley
    5/2
  2. 5/6F
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 23 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
The Other Mozzie silks
The Other Mozzie
Age 7 · 12-0
770F7-
135
120
143
7
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 FCST 7/1
Our top-rated runner, The Other Mozzie has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's rated 143 here against an official mark of 135, which gives him a clear edge on ratings. He's winless in recent starts and returns after 185 days off, but he looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Newtown Rambler silks
Newtown Rambler
Age 7 · 11-11
P-111P
132
135
133
7
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 3/2 9/4
Newtown Rambler won three on the bounce before being pulled up last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 133 ranks him third of five. The risk is a 98-day absence and a big weight of 165 lb after that latest flop.
AI verdict

SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Coup de Coeur silks
Coup de Coeur
Age 8 · 11-9
U122-1
130
135
136
8
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/4 9/2
Winner last time out and a second two and three starts back, Coup de Coeur has been consistently in the frame, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating ranks him second of five, but 152 days off and 163 lb are the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Smoke Trail silks
Smoke Trail FAV
Age 5 · 10-13
13341-
120
138
129
5
10-13
★★★★☆
—
4/5 6/5 8/11
Smoke Trail won last time out and has two wins in his last five starts, with a third and a fourth in between, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The trainer is in form, but a 187-day layoff and 153 lb are the main risk.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
From The Clouds silks
From The Clouds
Age 9 · 10-12
U/246-
119
124
123
9
10-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 7/1 13/2
From The Clouds is winless in his last four, finishing sixth last time out, and that 256-day absence is a concern, while he is ranked bottom of five on our figures. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip, was second three starts back, and the yard is in form at 7/27.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 The Other Mozzie 8/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 Bet365
2 Newtown Rambler 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 2.50 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 9/4 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 Bet365
3 Coup de Coeur 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Smoke Trail 4/5 open 3.00 8/11 open 3.00 4/5 open 2.88 4/5 open 2.88 4/5 open 2.88 4/5 open 2.20 4/5 Bet365
5 From The Clouds 7/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 15/2 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Smoke Trail

High conviction

Smoke Trail owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Patrick Wadge
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Newtown Rambler

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Adrian Keatley
✓ Value Signal

From The Clouds

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/1 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +29.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Smoke Trail
74.0 4/5
2 2. Newtown Rambler
69.5 5/2
3 3. Coup de Coeur
65.8 9/2
4 1. The Other Mozzie
62.8 8/1
5 5. From The Clouds
61.6 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Smoke Trail
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 10-13
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 138 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 7 · 11-11
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 135 🐾 —

SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 135 🐾 —

SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 9 · 10-12
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 124 🐾 —

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 120 🐾 —

SR 120 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Smoke Trail
Confidence: Medium

Smoke Trail (SR 138, 10/11) is the standout on every meaningful signal. It carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-13, giving it a 1lb edge on From The Clouds and a 14lb swing against top-weight The Other Mozzie (SR 120). The market has hammered it in 32% from its opening price — the strongest move in the race — and as the yard's declared #1 (Patrick Wadge preferred over the apprentice Jack Power on From The Clouds), the Russell/Scudamore stable is clearly pointing here. Its form of 13341- shows consistent competitiveness at this level, and at age 5 it is the most progressive horse in the field with upside the older rivals cannot match. Each-way alternative: Coup de Coeur. Main danger: Newtown Rambler — Newtown Rambler (SR 135, 11/4) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), is proven on this going (GoingFit:+), and ran a sequence of three consecutive wins before a pulled-up last time — if that run is excused, it returns to form that makes it a live threat, though the 30% market drift and unproven trip (DistFit:?) are real concerns.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Smoke Trail's last run shows a '-' (pulled up or fell) — the most recent form figure is a blank, meaning it returns from an incomplete effort with unknown fitness and confidence.
  • Russell/Scudamore yard strike rate is just 7% (361 runners) — well below the national average — so stable confidence signals carry less weight from this operation.
  • Newtown Rambler (SR 135, 11/4) has drifted 30% and Coup de Coeur 25% — both market drifters have strong recent form (111P and U122-1) and may represent market over-reaction creating overlay value aga…
  • At 10/11 Smoke Trail is odds-on in a 5-runner handicap where the second-rated horse on SR (Newtown Rambler, SR 135) is only 3 points behind — insufficient class gap to justify such a short price with…
Shortlist Smoke Trail, Newtown Rambler, Coup de Coeur
Each-way: Coup de Coeur Danger: Newtown Rambler

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m1f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade