Spooky Spectacular Fireworks At Doncaster Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes · 7f6y
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 National Honour | 4/7 | 8/15 | 8/15 | 8/15 | 1/2 open 1.53 | 4/7 open 1.50 | 4/7 Bet365 |
| 2 Shadow King | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Scienza | 4/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Rock Steady Beat | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
National Honour owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
National Honour (SR 95, 4/7) is the clear class leader in a small field of four, with a SR advantage of 13 points over the next-best Rock Steady Beat (SR 82). The 1-1-2 form (rightmost = latest) shows a win last time out, trained by Charlie Appleby (33% strike rate, 892 runners) and ridden by William Buick (25%, 1544 runners) — the premier yard-jockey combination in the field by a wide margin. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 7f and the 9-9 weight, while heavier than rivals, is manageable given the SR gulf. GoingFit:? is the one caveat on heavy ground, but no rival has a proven edge on today's going either, and the MarkMv:+6 is modest for a horse at this ability level. Each-way alternative: Rock Steady Beat. Main danger: Rock Steady Beat — Rock Steady Beat (SR 82, 6/1) has a MarkMv:-2 advantage, carries only 8-4 (a 19lb pull on National Honour adjusted for ability), and trainer K.R. Burke (20% strike rate) has significant experience placing horses competitively, making this the most likely source of an upset despite the step up in class.