Awc Season 14 Has Begun Ebf Maiden Stakes (Div II) (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m13y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 136 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 128 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 139 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Champagne Poetry | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Geometry | 10/11 open 2.38 | 5/6 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 3 Golden Eagle | 50/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 13.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 15.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Haldon Fire | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Jebayli | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Kings Medal | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Oldbullyoungbull | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Saxon Law | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Stellar Max | 250/1 open 34.00 | 250/1 open 41.00 | 200/1 open 34.00 | 200/1 open 34.00 | 250/1 open 34.00 | 200/1 open 34.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Yellow Vision | 80/1 open 51.00 | 30/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kings Medal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 139 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 136 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Geometry (SR 92, 11/8) is the only runner in this field with racecourse experience that directly informs today's contest — a 3-2 form line showing a place and a close finish at the same class (ClassMv:=), and a course place (Course:W0P1) at Southwell AW tells us she handles this track. Roger Varian's yard runs at a 20% strike rate from 1,462 runners, the joint-best training operation represented today alongside Gosden, and Jack Mitchell (16%, 1,898 runners) is a capable AW pilot. Kings Medal (SR 153, 3/1) has a meaningfully higher Saturday Rating but is a complete unknown — debutant, no DistFit, no GoingFit, no course form — and in a maiden on AW, proven track experience and solid recent form from a top yard makes Geometry the likeliest winner at a price that still offers fair value. Each-way alternative: Kings Medal. Main danger: Kings Medal — Kings Medal has the highest SR in the field (153) and is trained by the potent Gosden yard (24% strike rate); if natural ability overrides the lack of experience on debut, as it regularly does with well-bred AW maidens, he is capable of winning.