Kelso 14:10 RESULTED
Class 4 24 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m7f96y

Official Result

Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Wearelongterm (IRE) Charlie Maggs · Dianne Sayer
    15/2
  2. 7/2
  3. 15/8F
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 23 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Society Soldier silks
Society Soldier
Age 6 · 12-0
5/313-
109
107
104
6
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 31/19 5/2
Society Soldier arrives in solid form, third last time out and a winner two starts back, and she has run over today's trip, while a yard in good nick (7 from 27 lately) adds support. The one concern is a 190-day absence, and 168 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Realisation silks
Realisation
Age 8 · 12-0
3312-3
109
104
110
8
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 5/2 9/2
Realisation arrives with a consistent profile, third last time out, a second two starts back and a winner three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. The main risk is a 153-day absence, with 168 lb to carry, while our rating of 110 ranks her top of five.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Suspected silks
Suspected
Age 6 · 11-6
4861-3
101
97
108
6
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 3/1 11/2
Suspected arrives in solid recent form, a third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A 164-day break is the one reservation, but his profile makes him our pick despite carrying 160 lb.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Malayalam silks
Malayalam FAV
Age 6 · 10-10
1/785-
91
93
98
6
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 5/2 32/17
Malayalam signed off with a fifth last time out and has a winner four starts back, while our rating of 98 sits above his official mark of 91 and a yard in cracking form (7 from 27) adds weight to his claims. The big risk is a 231-day absence, with a eighth and a seventh also in his recent form.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Wearelongterm silks
Wearelongterm
Age 9 · 10-2
5-P7U3
81
81
88
9
10-2
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 11/2 5/1
Wearelongterm is winless in his last five, with an unseated and a pulled up in that run, so he is hard to fancy, though a third last time out and 31 days' rest are positives. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating ranks him last of five.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Society Soldier 11/4 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 2.63 3/1 Betfred
2 Realisation 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 3.50 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
3 Suspected 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
4 Malayalam 15/8 open 4.33 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 Bet365
5 Wearelongterm 11/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Malayalam

Live signal

Malayalam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Patrick Wadge
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Society Soldier

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
✓ Value Signal

Suspected

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/2 · N. W. Alexander
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Malayalam
61.7 15/8
2 1. Society Soldier
60.2 11/4
3 2. Realisation
59.9 5/1
4 3. Suspected
55.2 11/2
5 5. Wearelongterm
51.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Society Soldier
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Malayalam FAV
Age 6 · 10-10
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 12-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 9 · 10-2
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Society Soldier
Confidence: Medium

Society Soldier (SR 107, 15/8) is the top-rated runner in the field and has been backed in 14% since opening — the strongest steaming move in this race. As the yard's #1 pick from the Russell/Scudamore duo (stablemate Malayalam has drifted 13%, is rated 14 points lower at SR 93, and carries a more favourable weight but without the market confidence), Society Soldier's claim rests on SR leadership, a decisive market move, and the booking of experienced conditional Jack Power who has a 11% strike rate. The form string 5/313- shows competitive finishes at this level and the dash (last run) warrants watching, but the market is clearly backing a return to form. Carrying top-weight of 12-0 is a concern on good ground over 2m7f, but the SR and money override that in a thin field of five. Each-way alternative: Realisation. Main danger: Malayalam — Malayalam (SR 93, 7/2) carries a much lighter weight of 10-10 — a 14lb pull on Society Soldier — which over nearly 3 miles on good ground is a tangible physical advantage, and being trained by the same yard means connections will know its readiness.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string ends with a dash (unknown last run outcome) — if that run was a fall, unseated or pulled-up, returning off that unknown over 2m7f at Kelso is a significant risk unaddressed by the market…
  • Top-weight of 12-0 shared with Realisation, but Society Soldier concedes 8lb to Suspected and 14lb to Malayalam over a stamina-sapping 2m7f chase at Kelso — weight-for-age and handicap penalties comp…
  • Jack Power's 11% strike rate on 95 rides is modest, and the Russell/Scudamore yard runs at only 7% — the stable's conditional jockey booking does not inspire confidence for a horse needing to prove f…
  • Realisation (SR 104, Sean Quinlan 15% SR) is only 3 points inferior on rating, races off the same weight, has a recent completed run 153 days ago with a positive form line of 3312-3, and is trained b…
Shortlist Society Soldier, Realisation, Malayalam
Each-way: Realisation Danger: Malayalam

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m7f96y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade