Captain Parma is winless in his last six, with a ninth last time out and a fifth two starts back, but he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 22 days. Our rating of 73 sits three pounds above his official 70, though 135 lb from stall 8 is a stiff ask.
Form last 6390059
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR73RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six, Packetofbiscuits did bounce back from a sixth four starts back with a second three starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and returns after 15 days. He has run over today's trip and going, carries 135 lb from stall four, and our rating of 71 ranks him tenth of 14.
Form last 6786260
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR71RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Anthropologist arrives off a fourth last time out, with a second three starts back and a third four starts back showing he can get involved, but he's winless in his last six and followed an eighth two starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 72 ranks him eighth of 14.
Form last 6843284
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Red Hat Eagle is a leading threat, having been a second three starts back and a third two starts back, fresh after 15 days, with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating of 76 sits well above his official 68, but he is yet to win in his last six, and a fifth last time out is the main worry.
Form last 6475235
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR76RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Espanita was only seventh last time out, just 12 days ago, and that leaves her hard to fancy after a run of two seconds and a win; she has run over today's trip and going, but 132 lb from draw 7 is a big ask, and our rating of 68 has her ranked 12 of 14.
Form last 6631227
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR68RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Akabusi was beaten into seventh last time out, but he's yet to win in his last six starts and has a third three starts back to lean on, plus a fresh 15-day break and experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 132 lb from stall nine, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 72 only just above his official 69.
Form last 6408347
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Finn Ironside arrives in cracking form, having won last time out and two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him only 11th of 14. Carrying 132 lb from stall 11 after 22 days off, he looks to have plenty to prove.
Form last 6745211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR70RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ribble Emperor has run over today's trip and going, and he was third two starts back, with a second five runs ago showing he can get involved. A 146-day break is the one reservation, but our figures rank him third of 14 and he's our pick on overall profile.
Form last 62-9030
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR75RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Janora is winless in her last three, though a third last time out, a fourth two starts back and a sixth three starts back show some consistency, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 131 lb from stall 12, she is hard to fancy with our rating of 57 putting her last of 14.
Form last 6643
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR57RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Flash Rascal arrives fresh enough after 15 days, having run over today's trip and on this going, and he won five starts back; our rating of 76 ranks him top of 14 against an official 68. The risk is form that has tailed off, with a sixth last time out and finishes of eighth, seventh and eighth before that.
Form last 6318786
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR76RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Fresh from a 15-day break, Santiago Boy has a pair of seconds among his last six runs and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 74 sits well clear of his official 67. The risk is two lacklustre sevenths on his latest starts, and he is yet to win in that spell.
Form last 6822477
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR74RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Piscean Star has finished fourth, sixth, fifth and sixth before an unplaced run last time, so he's yet to win in his last five, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 19 days. Our rating of 72 sits above his official 67, but carrying 130 lb from draw 13 leaves him a midfield sort.
Form last 6-46560
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR72RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Gladiadora was only ninth last time out, and her form is patchy, though she won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Ranked 13th of 14 on our figures, she looks hard to fancy from stall 1 under 130 lb.
Form last 6424619
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Shaw Park is consistent, finishing third last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, yet he is winless in his last six and has had only seven days since that run. He has run over today's trip and going, but the yard is out of form at 1/29.
Form last 6435323
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Anthropologist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Michael HerringtonDylan Hogan
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Captain Parma
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · James Owen✓ Value Signal
Akabusi
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Micky Fenton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Captain Parma (SR:71, 13/2) carries the strongest market signal in the race — a 24% inward move is the sharpest steam in the field and suggests informed support. He has a course record of W1P2 at Southwell, GoingFit:+ on today's good surface, and a mark that has dropped 2lb since his last win (MarkMv:-2), all combining to paint a favourable handicap picture. Trainer James Owen runs at 18% strike rate with 2,325 career runners — a solid operator — and while his recent form string of 390059 is patchy, the visor is retained and the market move dwarfs every other mover in the field. Anthropologist (SR:78, 9/2) is the top-rated runner and also steamed in (31%), but his DistFit:- at 7f is a specific negative Captain Parma does not carry.
Each-way alternative: Anthropologist.
Main danger: Anthropologist — Anthropologist (SR:78, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed in 31% and holds course form (W0P2), and only his DistFit:- at 7f gives reason to hesitate — if that flag is soft, he wins.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 390059 includes a distant 9th and two 0s (non-completions or tailed off) in the last six — only one placing and no win since the mark dropped, suggesting the -2lb hasn't yet sparked a rev…
Jockey Luke Morris strikes at just 12% overall (3120 runners) and has no recorded Course win flagged here — a workmanlike booking rather than a confident stable declaration.
Finn Ironside (SR:75, 745211) and Shaw Park (SR:76, W1P7 at Southwell, fresh 7-day turnaround, in-13%) both rate at or above Captain Parma's SR:71 and represent sharper recent form or superior course…
Despite the 24% market move, Captain Parma remains a co-outsider in the top half of the market at 13/2 — Anthropologist (9/2, in-31%) and Gladiadora (7/1, trainer 21% strike rate) both attract strong…
ShortlistCaptain Parma, Anthropologist, Shaw Park, Espanita