Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race · 2m0f95y
Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Frisco Lad | 5/2 open 3.25 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Hill Silver | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 El Bilo | 40/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Hilly Filly | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hutton Star | 11/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 11/1 open 5.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Manu Reva | 25/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Sharbel | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 8 Soleil D'aure | 8/1 open 29.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 21.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Time Takes Time | 66/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Veales Cross | 16/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Whispered Verdict | 10/1 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Frisco Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Frisco Lad (SR:121, 15/8) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this field. His SR of 121 leads the field by 14 points over Sharbel (SR:107) and is well clear of the rest, and he carries 11-10 — the same as Hill Silver but with a substantial ability edge over that rival. His sole run produced a win, and the market has firmed 9% since opening, confirming professional confidence. In an amateur/bumper-style flat race at Punchestown over 2m, Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2,377 runners) is a powerful operation and Mr J L Gleeson rides at a 19% career strike rate — a strong booking. No distance or going fit data exists for any runner here given all are lightly raced, but Frisco Lad's superiority in SR and the market move give him a clear edge over an otherwise weak field. Each-way alternative: Sharbel. Main danger: Sharbel — Sharbel (SR:107, 4/1) has shortened 8% in the market, is ridden by Mr P W Mullins whose 33% career strike rate is exceptional for an amateur, and trainer Peter Fahey (11% strike rate) is a competent handler — the combination of jockey quality and market support makes him the most credible threat to the favourite.