Kempton (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 4 14 Oct 2026

Last Wednesday Racing TV Handicap Stakes

Racing TV Handicap Stakes · 7f

Official Result

Racing TV Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Siwa Oasis (IRE) Jason Watson · Charles Hills
    9/2
  2. 9/2
  3. 6/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Nottingham

13:19–17:22 · 8 races

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Punchestown

13:35–17:40 · 8 races

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Kempton (AW)

16:25–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Rogue Messiah silks
Rogue Messiah Non-Runner
Age 3 · 10-0
-21982
87
—
87OR
3
10-0
—
—
SP FCST 11/2
—
1
Blue Prince silks
Blue Prince
Age 5 · 10-0
317732
85
82
89
5
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 7/2 9/2
Blue Prince arrives in solid nick, second last time out and third the run before, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a fresh 25-day break. Our rating of 89 sits above his official 85, but the trainer's 0/21 spell is the one concern.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Philanthropist silks
Philanthropist
Age 4 · 9-12
134023
83
84
90
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 5/1
Philanthropist arrives in sound recent form, third last time out and second the run before, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 90 makes him the one to beat, with 33 days since his last run the only brief reservation, off 138 lb from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Do Bronxs silks
Do Bronxs
Age 3 · 9-12
725824
85
63
88
3
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 14/1
Fourth last time out and second two starts back suggest Do Bronxs is in decent order, and he has run over today's trip, but he is yet to win in his last six and returns after 44 days off. Our rating of 88 sits above his official 85, though 138 lb from stall 11 leaves little margin.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

5
Dr Strangelove silks
Dr Strangelove
Age 4 · 9-11
322507
82
55
89
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 18/1
Dr Strangelove showed his hand with a run of seconds and a third before slipping to a fifth and a seventh last time out, yet he has run over today's trip and going and is back after 17 days; our rating of 89 sits well clear of his official 82. The main risk is that he is yet to win and his latest effort was a step backwards.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Marengo Storm silks
Marengo Storm
Age 3 · 9-10
512155
83
90
88
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 7/2
Won twice in his last six starts, including a first three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, so he's a leading danger. Two fifths since leave him with questions to answer after 36 days off, and 136 lb is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Waistcoat silks
Waistcoat
Age 5 · 9-8
190165
79
62
80
5
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
Waistcoat has slipped to a fifth last time out and a sixth the start before, after winning three starts back, so the recent trend is the wrong way. He has run over today's trip and going, but 134 lb from draw 2 and a tenth-of-thirteen ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Spy Kingdom silks
Spy Kingdom
Age 4 · 9-8
14-50P
79
51
81
4
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 50/1 66/1
Spy Kingdom was pulled up last time out and unplaced the run before, a worrying slide since a win five starts back, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 23 days. Carrying 134 lb from stall 12, he's rated 81 by us, eighth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Chalk Mountain silks
Chalk Mountain
Age 6 · 9-8
274634
79
84
88
6
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 10/3 7/2
Chalk Mountain arrives fit after 14 days, a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet he is winless in his last six, and 134 lb from draw 7 asks plenty, even with our rating of 88 a notch above his official 79.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Musical Angel silks
Musical Angel
Age 4 · 9-7
586328
78
53
80
4
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 12/1 40/1
Musical Angel is yet to win in her last six starts, though a second two starts back and a third three starts back show she can pick up cash, and she has run over today's trip and going. Last time's eighth and a 133 lb burden from draw 13 temper the case.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

11
Rage of Thunder silks
Rage of Thunder FAV
Age 4 · 9-4
513524
75
79
78
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 4/1
Rage of Thunder was fourth last time out and runner-up the start before, but he has won once in his last six, five starts back, and the yard is cold at 1/25. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating ranks him 12th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Siwa Oasis silks
Siwa Oasis
Age 3 · 9-4
-75415
77
83
83
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 8/1 5/1
Siwa Oasis won two starts back but was only fifth last time out, a quick 11-day turnaround, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 83 ranks him seventh of 13, and 130 lb from stall six looks a fair weight to carry, though his form is patchy.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Enricher silks
Enricher
Age 3 · 9-2
51-099
75
55
79
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 40/1 66/1
Enricher has finished ninth in each of his last two runs, which makes him hard to fancy, though he did win four starts back and has run over today's trip. Our rating of 79 ranks him just eleventh of 13, and he carries 128 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Pints In Peace silks
Pints In Peace
Age 3 · 8-13
076569
72
47
71
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 50/1 66/1
Pints In Peace is winless in his last six, finishing ninth last time out and no better than a fifth three starts back, so he is hard to fancy as our bottom-ranked runner of 13. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 16 days, but that is about all he has going for him.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Rogue Messiah 11/2 13/2 — — — — 13/2 Paddy Power
1 Blue Prince 11/2 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Philanthropist 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
4 Do Bronxs 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Dr Strangelove 28/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Marengo Storm 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 Coral
7 Waistcoat 16/1 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Spy Kingdom 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
9 Chalk Mountain 4/1 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
10 Musical Angel 50/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Rage of Thunder 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
12 Siwa Oasis 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 Bet365
13 Enricher 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
14 Pints In Peace 100/1 open 51.00 66/1 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Chalk Mountain

Speculative

Chalk Mountain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Zoe Hawkins Marco Ghiani
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rage of Thunder

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Gary & Josh Moore
✓ Value Signal

Musical Angel

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Simon Dow
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Chalk Mountain
55.4 4/1
2 11. Rage of Thunder
52.8 9/2
3 6. Marengo Storm
52.4 7/2
4 12. Siwa Oasis
52.1 11/2
5 3. Philanthropist
51.8 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Marengo Storm
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Age 5 · 9-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Marengo Storm
Confidence: Speculative

Marengo Storm (SR 90, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 16% since opening, suggesting market confidence. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 7f, Course:W1P1 at Kempton shows course familiarity, and a form line of 512155 shows consistent involvement with a recent fifth that keeps the mark competitive (MarkMv:=). Carrying 9-10 is manageable, and Richard Hughes at 15% with 1,400 runners is a solid handler. The headgear (p) has been applied before and clearly hasn't hindered — this is the freshest, most multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Chalk Mountain. Main danger: Chalk Mountain — Chalk Mountain (SR 84, 7/2) has been backed in 23% and boasts a remarkable Course:W3P9 record at Kempton, though GoingFit:- is a concern — if the ground dries enough to suit, this course specialist with a MarkMv:-2 advantage is fully capable of winning.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Chalk Mountain (SR:84, 7/2) has steamed in 23% and boasts Course:W3P9 — vastly superior Kempton course record versus Marengo Storm's single win here, a direct market threat at the same price.
  • Marengo Storm's last four runs read 2155 — two fifths in the most recent pair suggest a horse that is finding its level and struggling to convert, not one peaking into today.
  • Jockey Finley Marsh at 14% strike rate is notably weaker than rivals' pilots: Billy Loughnane (18%), Rossa Ryan (18%), and Marco Ghiani (16%) all have superior booking claims in this field.
  • Siwa Oasis (SR:83) has steamed in 27% fresh off an 11-day turnaround and MarkMv:= at 13/2 — a market mover with a more recent run may represent undiscounted danger at a bigger price.
Shortlist Marengo Storm, Chalk Mountain, Siwa Oasis, Rage of Thunder
Each-way: Chalk Mountain Danger: Chalk Mountain

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade