Blue Prince arrives in solid nick, second last time out and third the run before, and he has run over today's trip and going before after a fresh 25-day break. Our rating of 89 sits above his official 85, but the trainer's 0/21 spell is the one concern.
Form last 6317732
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Philanthropist arrives in sound recent form, third last time out and second the run before, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 90 makes him the one to beat, with 33 days since his last run the only brief reservation, off 138 lb from stall eight.
Form last 6134023
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR90RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out and second two starts back suggest Do Bronxs is in decent order, and he has run over today's trip, but he is yet to win in his last six and returns after 44 days off. Our rating of 88 sits above his official 85, though 138 lb from stall 11 leaves little margin.
Form last 6725824
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR88RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Dr Strangelove showed his hand with a run of seconds and a third before slipping to a fifth and a seventh last time out, yet he has run over today's trip and going and is back after 17 days; our rating of 89 sits well clear of his official 82. The main risk is that he is yet to win and his latest effort was a step backwards.
Form last 6322507
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR89RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won twice in his last six starts, including a first three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, so he's a leading danger. Two fifths since leave him with questions to answer after 36 days off, and 136 lb is the main risk.
Form last 6512155
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR88RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Waistcoat has slipped to a fifth last time out and a sixth the start before, after winning three starts back, so the recent trend is the wrong way. He has run over today's trip and going, but 134 lb from draw 2 and a tenth-of-thirteen ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy.
Form last 6190165
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR80RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Spy Kingdom was pulled up last time out and unplaced the run before, a worrying slide since a win five starts back, though he has run over today's trip and returns after 23 days. Carrying 134 lb from stall 12, he's rated 81 by us, eighth of 13.
Form last 614-50P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR81RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Chalk Mountain arrives fit after 14 days, a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet he is winless in his last six, and 134 lb from draw 7 asks plenty, even with our rating of 88 a notch above his official 79.
Form last 6274634
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR88RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Musical Angel is yet to win in her last six starts, though a second two starts back and a third three starts back show she can pick up cash, and she has run over today's trip and going. Last time's eighth and a 133 lb burden from draw 13 temper the case.
Form last 6586328
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR80RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Rage of Thunder was fourth last time out and runner-up the start before, but he has won once in his last six, five starts back, and the yard is cold at 1/25. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating ranks him 12th of 13.
Form last 6513524
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR78RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Siwa Oasis won two starts back but was only fifth last time out, a quick 11-day turnaround, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 83 ranks him seventh of 13, and 130 lb from stall six looks a fair weight to carry, though his form is patchy.
Form last 6-75415
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR83RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Enricher has finished ninth in each of his last two runs, which makes him hard to fancy, though he did win four starts back and has run over today's trip. Our rating of 79 ranks him just eleventh of 13, and he carries 128 lb from stall five.
Form last 651-099
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR79RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pints In Peace is winless in his last six, finishing ninth last time out and no better than a fifth three starts back, so he is hard to fancy as our bottom-ranked runner of 13. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 16 days, but that is about all he has going for him.
Form last 6076569
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR71RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Chalk Mountain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Zoe HawkinsMarco Ghiani
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Rage of Thunder
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Gary & Josh Moore✓ Value Signal
Musical Angel
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Simon Dow◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Marengo Storm (SR 90, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 16% since opening, suggesting market confidence. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 7f, Course:W1P1 at Kempton shows course familiarity, and a form line of 512155 shows consistent involvement with a recent fifth that keeps the mark competitive (MarkMv:=). Carrying 9-10 is manageable, and Richard Hughes at 15% with 1,400 runners is a solid handler. The headgear (p) has been applied before and clearly hasn't hindered — this is the freshest, most multi-signal case in the race.
Each-way alternative: Chalk Mountain.
Main danger: Chalk Mountain — Chalk Mountain (SR 84, 7/2) has been backed in 23% and boasts a remarkable Course:W3P9 record at Kempton, though GoingFit:- is a concern — if the ground dries enough to suit, this course specialist with a MarkMv:-2 advantage is fully capable of winning.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Chalk Mountain (SR:84, 7/2) has steamed in 23% and boasts Course:W3P9 — vastly superior Kempton course record versus Marengo Storm's single win here, a direct market threat at the same price.
Marengo Storm's last four runs read 2155 — two fifths in the most recent pair suggest a horse that is finding its level and struggling to convert, not one peaking into today.
Jockey Finley Marsh at 14% strike rate is notably weaker than rivals' pilots: Billy Loughnane (18%), Rossa Ryan (18%), and Marco Ghiani (16%) all have superior booking claims in this field.
Siwa Oasis (SR:83) has steamed in 27% fresh off an 11-day turnaround and MarkMv:= at 13/2 — a market mover with a more recent run may represent undiscounted danger at a bigger price.
ShortlistMarengo Storm, Chalk Mountain, Siwa Oasis, Rage of Thunder